Difference between revisions of "Future of the City Centre 2025"

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=Introduction=   
=Introduction=   
How will city centre be like in 2025? What could change in the city centre, in a post-crisis environment. Will it stay as a meeting spot, with a business function. Will offices still be the place where people work? City centres in Huston or Detriot city has returned to markert gardering, with the houses abandoned. Or will it have a new lease of life, renewed through urban agriculture, (witness the NYC lightrail project, etc)? What will the city's relevance be when physical meetings come to an end?
The city center is a place of special significance to communities and nations.  Long the economic engine, the city center has change as technology has improved.  Transportation, communication, and internet technologies has destroyed some city centers while enhancing others.  Climate change, natural resources, green technology, immigration, and the financail crisis of 2008 will shape the city centers of the future.  So what will city centre be like in 2025? What will a post-crisis center look like? Will it remain a meeting spot, with a business function? Will people continue to work in offices? Will centers decay and the land return to agricultural function like in Detroit, or will centers have a new lease on life and reinvent themselves through the green movement? The Future of the City Centre 2025 explores this question and provides a peek into what the future may hold.
 
 
Problem Owner:Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR
Problem Owner:Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR


=Scenarios=
=Scenarios=
==Scenario Stories==
[[File:4scenarios.jpg]]
 
 
[[ Business as Usual ]]     
 
[[ Spiral of Destruction ]]   
 
[[ Green clusters ]] 
 
[[ Empowerment]]
 
==Drafts==
 
[[Systems Map]]
 
[[Matrix]]


==Scenario Tree==
[[Scenario Axis]]


==Systems Diagram==
==Systems Diagram==


==Timelines==
[[System Diagram]]
 
[[Emotions Chart]]
 
== Scenario Axis ==
 
[[Scenario Axis Matrix ]]


=Driving Forces=
=Driving Forces=
Line 23: Line 46:


[[ Government intervention ]]
[[ Government intervention ]]
[[Public participation]]
[[Future of climate change negotiation]]


====Environmental Driving Forces====
====Environmental Driving Forces====
[[Scarcity of Natural Resources]]
[[Strain on Fresh Water Supplies]]
[[Climate Change]]


[[Limited Oil Reserves]]
[[Migration of population]]


====Societal Driving Forces====
====Societal Driving Forces====
Line 32: Line 67:


[[Increased urban mobility ]]
[[Increased urban mobility ]]
[[Increased need for young and educated immigration ]]
[[Green lifestyle]]
[[Increase in Green Space within Cities]]
[[Increase in Climate Refugees]]


====Economic Driving Forces====
====Economic Driving Forces====
Line 38: Line 81:


[[Incubators]]
[[Incubators]]
[[Consumption Falls]]
[[Savings Levels in West Rise]]
[[Euro Devalues Against Dollar]]
[[China's Growth Slows]]


====Technological Driving Forces====
====Technological Driving Forces====
[[Personal Rapid (PRT)  and Transportation (CTS) ]]
[[Personal Rapid Transit� (PRT)  and �Cybernetics Transportation System� (CTS) ]]<BR>


=Research Questions=
[[Floating House]]<BR>


What is a city centre?<br>
[[Future of mobility (The Netherlands)]]
A city center is the traditional, historical or artificial hub where people meet, grouping:<br>
- business activity (),<br>
- and high population density.<br>


What is the scope of the research? What do we mean by future of city centre?<br>
[[Future of innovation]]
We are looking at trends that influence the role of city centers in Western countries. What makes a city center attractive, vibrant, an economic and social heart? What defines and will define the quality of a city center?  What are the worldwide trends that impact positively or negatively the city centre?


Does globalization affect city center? (Cole)
[[Increase use of biometrics such as Iris Scans]]


of city centers? (Fahad)
[[Rise of Vertical Farms]]


[[How does the political system in Western countries influence city development?]]  (Louis)
=Research Questions=


What are the global environmental policies impact the city center? (Fahad)
[[ What is a city centre?]]


What is the inter relation between economic activity and city center? (Cole)
[[ Why and where do people traditionally meet?]]


Is there any common pattern for success-story cities? (Akcan)
[[ What are the existing forces challenging physical meetings in city centers?]]


Is there any common pattern for unpopular cities? (Akcan, Eglantine)
[[ Why do face-to-face meetings still matter?]]


How will the climate change impact the city geography? (Akcan)
[[ What are the demographic trends in city centers? ]]
What are the ? (Akcan)<br>


[[ What are the global population trends? ]]  
- [[What kind of technologic advance can we expect in the next 15 years?]] (Louis)<br>
- How do Information and technology technologies impact city centers? (Louis)<br>
- How does transportation system impact city center? (Eglantine)<br>


What are the demographic trends in city centers? (Eglantine)
[[ How does the crisis impact living and business activities in city centres? ]]


How does the crisis impact living and business activities in city centers? (Cole)
[[ What is the current climate / environment state of city centers? ]]


[[ How does transportation impact city centers?]]


==Government and Politics==
[[Does globalization affect city center?]]


[[What is the current state of the world's water supply?]]


==Economics==
[[What will the population look like in 2025?]]


==Society and Culture==
[[How does the political system in Western countries influence city development?]]


==Environment==


=References=
=References=


==Websites==
Pictures obtained from the following sources


==Videos==
Empowerment: http://3danimation.e-spaces.com/royalty-free-images.html


==News and Journal Articles==
Green Clusters: http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/04/china-plans-green-city.php


==Previous Scenarios==
Spiral of Destruction: http://www.guardian.co.uk/books/2010/jan/09/whole-earth-catalog-book-review


=Recommended Reading=
Business as Usual: http://www.hkoutdoors.com/hong-kong-news/hk-air-pollution.html

Latest revision as of 23:15, 1 November 2021

Group Members

Cole Carrigan
Eglantine Dang
Akcan Islamoglu
Fahad Nayyar
Louis Tzeng

Introduction

The city center is a place of special significance to communities and nations. Long the economic engine, the city center has change as technology has improved. Transportation, communication, and internet technologies has destroyed some city centers while enhancing others. Climate change, natural resources, green technology, immigration, and the financail crisis of 2008 will shape the city centers of the future. So what will city centre be like in 2025? What will a post-crisis center look like? Will it remain a meeting spot, with a business function? Will people continue to work in offices? Will centers decay and the land return to agricultural function like in Detroit, or will centers have a new lease on life and reinvent themselves through the green movement? The Future of the City Centre 2025 explores this question and provides a peek into what the future may hold.


Problem Owner:Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR

Scenarios

4scenarios.jpg


Business as Usual

Spiral of Destruction

Green clusters

Empowerment

Drafts

Systems Map

Matrix

Scenario Axis

Systems Diagram

System Diagram

Emotions Chart

Scenario Axis

Scenario Axis Matrix

Driving Forces

Political Driving Forces

Government intervention

Public participation

Future of climate change negotiation

Environmental Driving Forces

Scarcity of Natural Resources

Strain on Fresh Water Supplies

Climate Change

Limited Oil Reserves

Migration of population

Societal Driving Forces

Increased demand for a higher quality of life

Increased urban mobility

Increased need for young and educated immigration

Green lifestyle

Increase in Green Space within Cities

Increase in Climate Refugees

Economic Driving Forces

Debt Levels

Incubators

Consumption Falls

Savings Levels in West Rise

Euro Devalues Against Dollar

China's Growth Slows

Technological Driving Forces

[[Personal Rapid Transit� (PRT) and �Cybernetics Transportation System� (CTS) ]]

Floating House

Future of mobility (The Netherlands)

Future of innovation

Increase use of biometrics such as Iris Scans

Rise of Vertical Farms

Research Questions

What is a city centre?

Why and where do people traditionally meet?

What are the existing forces challenging physical meetings in city centers?

Why do face-to-face meetings still matter?

What are the demographic trends in city centers?

What are the global population trends?

How does the crisis impact living and business activities in city centres?

What is the current climate / environment state of city centers?

How does transportation impact city centers?

Does globalization affect city center?

What is the current state of the world's water supply?

What will the population look like in 2025?

How does the political system in Western countries influence city development?


References

Pictures obtained from the following sources

Empowerment: http://3danimation.e-spaces.com/royalty-free-images.html

Green Clusters: http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/04/china-plans-green-city.php

Spiral of Destruction: http://www.guardian.co.uk/books/2010/jan/09/whole-earth-catalog-book-review

Business as Usual: http://www.hkoutdoors.com/hong-kong-news/hk-air-pollution.html

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