Difference between revisions of "The Future of Privacy in 2015"

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[[Image:Futureofprivacy-logo.jpg]]
[[Image:Futureofprivacy-logo.jpg]]
<h1 style="background:#e0ecf1; line-height:14pt">Introduction</h1>
<h1 style="background:#e0ecf1; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Introduction</h1>
<div style="text-align: justify; padding-bottom: 10px;">Privacy in itself is a term often used, but never defined clearly. Psychologists, philosophers, scientists and linguists debate over the meaning. Aside from the ambiguity of the meaning of the word, there is much changing in the field of privacy. The question is: Where will privacy be, as an issue, in 2015? To answer this question extensive research has to be done first into different aspects of privacy: What is done against it, what is done to create privacy invasion, what rules are set, how do different people value privacy, etc. Upon answering these questions, scenarios will be created for the world of privacy in the future.
<div style="text-align: justify; padding-bottom: 10px;">Privacy in itself is a term often used, but never defined clearly. Psychologists, philosophers, scientists and linguists debate over the meaning. Aside from the ambiguity of the meaning of the word, there is much changing in the field of privacy. The question is: Where will privacy be, as an issue, in 2015? To answer this question extensive research has to be done first into different aspects of privacy: What is done against it, what is done to create privacy invasion, what rules are set, how do different people value privacy, etc. Upon answering these questions, scenarios will be created for the world of privacy in the future.
</div>
</div>


<h1 style="background:#e0ecf1; line-height:14pt">Research</h1>
<h1 style="background:#e0ecf1; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Research</h1>
[[Questions regarding the Future of Privacy]]<br />
[[Questions regarding the Future of Privacy]]<br />
[http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Sources_regarding_the_Future_of_Privacy Sources of information and interesting links]
[http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Sources_regarding_the_Future_of_Privacy Sources of information and interesting links]


<h1 style="background:#e0ecf1; line-height:14pt">Driving Forces</h1>
<h1 style="background:#e0ecf1; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Driving Forces</h1>
Driving forces categorized by [http://www.valuebasedmanagement.net/methods_PEST_analysis.html PEST] factors method. <br />
Driving forces categorized by [http://www.valuebasedmanagement.net/methods_PEST_analysis.html PEST] factors method. <br />
Every driving force in the categories below are built up out of predetermined constituents: ''Description, Enablers, Inhibitors, Paradigms, Experts,'' and ''Timing''
Every driving force in the categories below are built up out of predetermined constituents: ''Description, Enablers, Inhibitors, Paradigms, Experts,'' and ''Timing''


<h2 style="border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Political</h2>
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Political</h2>
'''New'''
'''New'''
# [[immigration]] - Growing immigration in the  western countries  
# [[immigration]] - Growing immigration in the  western countries  
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# [[Control of the Internet]] - Control over the internet
# [[Control of the Internet]] - Control over the internet


<h2 style="border-left:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-top:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-right:solid 2px #a5cad9;">Economic</h2>  
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Economic</h2>  
'''New'''
'''New'''
# [[Electrical component costs]] - Cheaper integration of cameras or audio-recording equipment<br />
# [[Electrical component costs]] - Cheaper integration of cameras or audio-recording equipment<br />
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# [[Energy crisis in Asia]]
# [[Energy crisis in Asia]]


<h2 style="border-left:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-top:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-right:solid 2px #a5cad9;">Social</h2>
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Social</h2>
'''New'''
'''New'''
# [[Globalization]] - improvement on existing Driving Force
# [[Globalization]] - improvement on existing Driving Force
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# [[Urbanization and Social Status]] <br />
# [[Urbanization and Social Status]] <br />


<h2 style="border-left:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-top:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-right:solid 2px #a5cad9;">Technological</h2>
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Technological</h2>
'''New'''
'''New'''
# [[Data Warehousing]]
# [[Data Warehousing]]
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# [[Whereabout the fourth generation mobile technology]]
# [[Whereabout the fourth generation mobile technology]]


<h1 style="background:#e0ecf1; line-height:14pt">Diagrams</h1>
<h1 style="background:#e0ecf1; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Diagrams</h1>
<h2 style="border-left:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-top:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-right:solid 2px #a5cad9;">Systems diagram</h2>
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Systems diagram</h2>
<h2 style="border-left:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-top:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-right:solid 2px #a5cad9;">Matrix of uncertainties</h2>
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Matrix of uncertainties</h2>
<h1 style="background:#e0ecf1; line-height:14pt">Scenarios</h1>
<h1 style="background:#e0ecf1; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Scenarios</h1>
<h2 style="border-left:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-top:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-right:solid 2px #a5cad9;">Scenario 1</h2>
<h2 style="background-color: #EFF6F8; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Scenario 1</h2>
<h2 style="border-left:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-top:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-right:solid 2px #a5cad9;">Scenario 2</h2>
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Scenario 2</h2>
<h2 style="border-left:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-top:solid 2px #a5cad9;border-right:solid 2px #a5cad9;">Scenario 3</h2>
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid gray;border-top:1px solid gray;border-right:1px solid gray; padding-left: 10px;">Scenario 3</h2>


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Revision as of 13:45, 6 March 2007

Futureofprivacy-logo.jpg

Introduction

Privacy in itself is a term often used, but never defined clearly. Psychologists, philosophers, scientists and linguists debate over the meaning. Aside from the ambiguity of the meaning of the word, there is much changing in the field of privacy. The question is: Where will privacy be, as an issue, in 2015? To answer this question extensive research has to be done first into different aspects of privacy: What is done against it, what is done to create privacy invasion, what rules are set, how do different people value privacy, etc. Upon answering these questions, scenarios will be created for the world of privacy in the future.

Research

Questions regarding the Future of Privacy
Sources of information and interesting links

Driving Forces

Driving forces categorized by PEST factors method.
Every driving force in the categories below are built up out of predetermined constituents: Description, Enablers, Inhibitors, Paradigms, Experts, and Timing

Political

New

  1. immigration - Growing immigration in the western countries
  2. European_Union - Growing European Union
  3. cybercrime - Upcoming internet criminality (cybercrime)

Existing

  1. War on terror - War on terror
  2. Terrorism - Terrorism
  3. Global Terrorism - Global Terrorism
  4. Control of the Internet - Control over the internet

Economic

New

  1. Electrical component costs - Cheaper integration of cameras or audio-recording equipment
  2. Disclosure for tax purposes - Information disclosure
  3. Exchange rates - Cheaper wholesale of electrical components, leading to cheaper integration
  4. Purchasing power - A country with high purchasing power can spend more on invading or preventing physical invasion of privacy

Existing

  1. Digital Literacy
  2. Energy crisis in Asia

Social

New

  1. Globalization - improvement on existing Driving Force
  2. Curiosity to cultural differences
  3. Increasing individualization
  4. Increasing Demand for new types of entertainment

Existing

  1. Mobility
  2. Increasing social isolation
  3. The Globalization of Culture (or Cultural Globalization)
  4. Community Feeling
  5. Chinese people's increasing leisure time
  6. Movement Towards World Unification
  7. Urbanization and Social Status

Technological

New

  1. Data Warehousing
  2. Digital ID
  3. introduction of RFID
  4. Mass digitalization
  5. ISP Snooping

Existing

  1. Virtual Communities
  2. GPS Evolution
  3. Increasing Use of e-Commerce
  4. The Increasing Use of Internet
  5. Reduction of organizational and technological complexity
  6. The war on Spy- and Ad ware
  7. Whereabout the fourth generation mobile technology

Diagrams

Systems diagram

Matrix of uncertainties

Scenarios

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario 3


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