The Future of Privacy in 2015

Introduction

Privacy in itself is a term often used, but never defined clearly. Psychologists, philosophers, scientists and linguists debate over the meaning. Aside from the ambiguity of the meaning of the word, there is much changing in the field of privacy. The question is: Where will privacy be, as an issue, in 2015? To answer this question extensive research has to be done first into different aspects of privacy: What is done against it, what is done to create privacy invasion, what rules are set, how do different people value privacy, etc. Upon answering these questions, scenarios will be created for the world of privacy in the future.

Research

Questions regarding the Future of Privacy
Sources of information and interesting links

Driving Forces

Driving forces categorized by PEST factors method.
Every driving force in the categories below are built up out of predetermined constituents: Description, Enablers, Inhibitors, Paradigms, Experts, and Timing

Political

New

1. immigration - Growing immigration in the western countries
2. European_Union - Growing European Union
3. cybercrime - Upcoming internet criminality (cybercrime)

Existing

1. War on terror - War on terror
2. Terrorism - Terrorism
3. Global Terrorism - Global Terrorism
4. Control of the Internet - Control over the internet

Economic

New

1. Electrical component costs - Cheaper integration of cameras or audio-recording equipment
   
2. Disclosure for tax purposes - Information disclosure
   
3. Exchange rates - Cheaper wholesale of electrical components, leading to cheaper integration
   
4. Purchasing power - A country with high purchasing power can spend more on invading or preventing physical invasion of privacy

Existing

1. Digital Literacy
2. Energy crisis in Asia

Social

New

1. Globalization - improvement on existing Driving Force
2. Curiosity to cultural differences
   
3. Increasing individualization
   
4. Increasing Demand for new types of entertainment
   

Existing

1. Mobility
2. Increasing social isolation
   
3. The Globalization of Culture (or Cultural Globalization)
   
4. Community Feeling
   
5. Chinese people's increasing leisure time
   
6. Movement Towards World Unification
   
7. Urbanization and Social Status
   

Technological

New

1. Data Warehousing
2. Digital ID
3. introduction of RFID
4. Mass digitalization
5. ISP Snooping

Existing

1. Virtual Communities
2. GPS Evolution
3. Increasing Use of e-Commerce
4. The Increasing Use of Internet
5. Reduction of organizational and technological complexity
6. The war on Spy- and Ad ware
7. Whereabout the fourth generation mobile technology

Scenarios

Scenario 3

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