RSM MBA 2010 Scenarios
Scenario Course
What makes a good Scenario Set (Class Learning)
- new thinking
- shocking beliefs
- methodology (fit for purpose)
- make sure you answer the question
- plausible
- coherent
- easy to understand (same language)
- depth of knowledge (eg. Future of China)
- research question -> driving forces -> scenarios
- introduction should state the purpose of project
- balance across scenarios (equally likely)
Main Learning Points
please add your learning points here!!
- Investigating Fundamental Business Model of Consulting
- General Trends of No Value, i.e. tracing the root of the symptom
- Move away from obvious Assumptions
Admin
Several students have mailed me, and it seems that the word on mail and in the class has NOT spread. Groupwork is to be handed in on the wiki (which I mark), and on Blackboard (which admin require) - just convert your site to a pdf. OK? OK! (and good luck)
Individual learning logs (because it is confidential) is not to be placed on the wiki, but handed in to admin.
I shall mark the driving forces on the wiki, so please make sure that in your link page to the DF, you cite that you have made it
if you have improved exisiting driving forces, just indicate that in your group link page as well
have I missed anything, I hope not, good luck and look forward to reading your final reports!
Numbers that matter presentation dates
(please write the title of the presentation here)
(please put your numbers that matter presentation up here)
Tue 17th of Aug-
Wed 18th of Aug- World Runs on Solar Power - "Future of the City Centre 2025" presentation
Thu 19th of Aug- Better Usage of Global Military Expenditure - "Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030" presentation
Mon 23rd of Aug- Antiretroviral Therapy Programme for South Africa - "Climate Change Negotiations" presentation
Tue 24th of Aug- Achieving Millennium Development Goal 2 - "Tablets in Education" presentation
Wed 25th of Aug- Deforestation vs adult&drug tax - "Future of Consulting 2020" presentation
Fri 27th of Aug- "Future of Innovation 2020" presentation
Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030
The Netherlands has 90 billion km driven in NL, of which 50% is business related, with a significant increase in business use, yet not a corresponding increase in productivity of the economy. This means that investing in new roads is NOT the best way to spend public money. How will mobility evolve in the next 20 years.
Problem Owner:Herman Wagter, Business Development Director Glasvezelnet Amsterdam
Twitter http://twitter.com/hermanwagter
Team Members: Imelia Bonahan, Pieter Cusell, Vikas Rajgarhia, Vishal Kapoor, Mert Cakar
Future of the City Centre 2025
The city center is a place of special significance to communities and nations. Long the economic engine, the city center has change as technology has improved. Transportation, communication, and internet technologies has destroyed some city centers while enhancing others. Climate change, natural resources, green technology, immigration, and the financail crisis of 2008 will shape the city centers of the future. So what will city centre be like in 2025? What will a post-crisis center look like? Will it remain a meeting spot, with a business function? Will people continue to work in offices? Will centers decay and the land return to agricultural function like in Detroit, or will centers have a new lease on life and reinvent themselves through the green movement? The Future of the City Centre 2025 explores this question and provides a peek into what the future may hold.
Problem Owner:Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR
http://www.iabrotterdam.com/Content/www.iabrotterdam.com/Documenten/CV%20Sander%20de%20Iongh.pdf
Team members: Cole Carrigan, Eglantine Dang, Akcan Islamoglu, Fahad Nayyar, Louis Tzeng For further information could be found on Future of the City Centre 2025
Future of Tablets in Education
In this scenario set we explore the future of tablet technology in education. Neither the desktop PC/laptop, nor the internet have thus far managed to revolutionize the education system, in spite of the enormous potential these technologies hold for education. The excitement around tablet computers appears to be different though. We explore whether the penetration of tablets in the educational system will differ from that achieved by previous computing technologies. We also explore what form or manner this could possibly hold. In addition we broadened our research to explore whether technology, in general, will revolutionize the whole learning process. Our research focuses mainly on the EU region and refers both to primary and secondary education.
Problem owner: Bernard de Groot, CIO Sanoma Learning & Literature
Team Members:
Chun Seok Chang
Spyridoula Drakopoulou
Margo Martinez
Ines Ranguelova
Neels Steyn
Please visit our Future of Tablets in Education Main Page
Future of Consulting 2020
Traditional consulting evolved out of McKinsey's practice in New York who famously said that men's socks should reach their knees, because "a client should never see flesh". Much of these ideas are still alive in consulting today.
Problem Owner:Joost Pryde, Co-Founder House of Performance
http://www.hofp.nl/wa.asp?idWebPage=18558&idDetails=378
Twitter: http://twitter.com/jpreyde
Future of Innovation 2030
What will innovation look like in the future (2030)? Will all innovation be open, or will that lead to the average, and no innovation? What role will technology play in this space?
Problem Owner: Russ Conser -Manager GameChanger Shell International E&P Inc [1] .
Please visit our Future of Innovation Main Page
Future of Climate Change Negotiations in 2020
A scenario set that explores the different pathways that negotiations on Climate change will take in the next 10 years. Will there be multilateral agreements lead by the UN, or bilateral agreements, will countries or companies be in the lead, will this result in a new economic order, etc.
Aart van der Horst: http://nl.linkedin.com/pub/aart-van-der-horst/18/121/53a
Further information could be found on the scenario page
Agenda for presentations for Friday 27th of August 2010
13.30 - 14.00 Future of the City Center 2025
14.00 - 14.30 Future of Consulting
14.30 - 15.00 Future of Innovation
15.00 - 15.30 Future of Mobility in Netherlands
15.30 - 16.00 Future of Tablets in Education
16.00 - 16.30 Future of Climate Change Negotiations