Difference between revisions of "The future of mobility"

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'''Cheat Sheet:'''<br><br>
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Team members</h2>
''EDGE CITIES''<br><br>
* René de Groot
* Mark Duivesteijn
* Stefan Guijt
* Sander van der Zon
<br>
 
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Cheat Sheet:</h2>
 
=== Edge cities ===
[[What are edge cities?]]<br>
[[What are edge cities?]]<br>
[[How big are edge cities?]]<br>
[[How big are edge cities?]]<br>
Line 8: Line 16:
[[Will there be more edge cities in the future?]]<br><br>
[[Will there be more edge cities in the future?]]<br><br>


''TELEWORKING''<br>
=== Teleworking ===
[[How much and what kind of companies are using teleworking?]]<br>
[[How much and what kind of companies are using teleworking?]]<br>
[[How many people are working from home or another location then the main office?]]<br>
[[How many people are working from home or another location then the main office?]]<br>
[[Are people bound to working places? (IT/hospitals/etc)]]<br>
[[Are people bound to working places? (IT/hospitals/etc)]]<br>
''[[Where are they located/What size has the company/what sector are they in?]]''<br>
'''[[Where are they located/What size has the company/what sector are they in?]]'''<br>
[[What is the impact on traffic jams?]]<br>
[[What is the impact on traffic jams?]]<br>
[[What is the impact on the environment?]]<br>
[[What is the impact on the environment?]]<br>
[[What is the impact of programs like skype and webbex on teleworking?]]<br>
[[What is the impact of programs like skype and webbex on teleworking?]]<br>
[[What are the cost/benefits for the employee?]]<br>
[[What are the cost/benefits for the employee?]]<br>
[[What are the cost/benefits for the company?]]<br>
[[Are companies or the government supporting this way of working? and Why/not?]]<br><br>


What are the cost/benefits for the company?
=== Technologies ===
 
[[What future technologies are being developed?]]<br>
    * Less control over employees
[[What are the current technologies being used?]]<br>
    * Reduction of lease cars and fuel.
[[What happens if the fuel burns out? Then what?]]<br>
 
[[Batteries? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?acceptance?]]<br>
Are companies or the government supporting this way of working? and Why/not?
[[Hybride? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?acceptance?]]<br>
 
[[What about hydrogen? Life? Coverage? Fuel stations? Costs? saving environment? acceptance?]]<br>
What is the impact on the work that will be accomplished? do people work more/less when working from home for the same amount of money?
<br>
 
TECHNOLOGIES
 
What future technologies are being developed?
 
What are the current technologies being used?
 
What happens if the fuel burns out? Then what?
 
What about electric?
 
      Batteries? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?
 
            acceptance?
 
      Hybride? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?
 
            acceptance?
 
What about hydrogen?


      Life? Coverage? Fuel stations? Costs? saving environment? acceptance?  
=== General questions ===
[[Who are traveling?]]<br>
[[How do people travel?]]<br>
[[Why do people travel?]]<br>
[[Would public transportation still be available in 10 to 15 years?]]<br>
[[How and how much does the government try to encourage the public transportation?]]<br>
[[How and mow much do companies support public transportation?]]<br>
[[How much cleaner is public transportation versus a car?]]<br>
[[How many cars are there in the Netherlands?]]<br>
[[How many roads are there? Length?]]<br>
[[How is the mobility of the future affected by the credit crisis?]]<br>
<br>


GENERAL QUESTIONS
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Driving Forces:</h2>
[[Working at home]]<br>
[[Traffic jams]]<br>
[[Exhausting Oil Supply]]<br>
[[Traffic prices]]<br>
[[Teleworking]]<br>
[[Changing needs]]<br>
[[Travelling salesmen problem]]<br>
[[Upcoming Technological Changes]]<br>
[[Upcoming Edge Cities]]<br>
[[Environmental Changes]]<br>


Who are traveling?
<br>


      Business people
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Systems Diagram:</h2>
[[Image:SystemDiagram.jpg|750px]]


      Students


      Older people
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">"Old Scenarios:"</h2>
[[Future Transportation]]<br>
[[Edge-cities]]<br>
[[Grow in teleworking]]<br>
[[Exhausting Fossil Fuels and New Technology]]<br>


How do people travel?
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">The comments made by the CIO team:</h2>


Why do people travel?
There are 3 main issues why people want to be mobile:


Would public transportation still be available in 10 to 15 years?
* Transport of Goods
* Entertainment
* Work


How and how much does the government try to encourage the public transportation?
Explore deeper into the scenarios, there is no clear solution


How and mow much do companies support public transportation?
Teleworking has also to deal with trust, employer -> employee, does the employee really the amount of work he says he does.


How much cleaner is public transportation versus a car?
Explore also extreme things i.e. No more cheap ryanair like flights


How many cars are there in the netherlands?
Give scenarios in ways of the use of mobility. Set the amount of mobility for each scenario, so the key uncertainties become clear.


How many roads are there? Length?
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Revised Scenarios:</h2>
After discussing the comments made on our "previous" scenarios we changed our 4 scenarios into the following:
[[Image:scenarios_new.jpg|frame|Figure 2: Future Scenarios]]


How is the mobility of the future affected by the credit crisis?
[[Innovators]]<br>
[[Radical change]]<br>
[[Risk/change avoiding]]<br>

Latest revision as of 15:43, 17 February 2012

Team members

  • René de Groot
  • Mark Duivesteijn
  • Stefan Guijt
  • Sander van der Zon


Cheat Sheet:

Edge cities

What are edge cities?
How big are edge cities?
How many people live in an Edge City?
How is the transportation to and in Edge Cities?
What impact have edge cities on the transportation/environment/etc?
Will there be more edge cities in the future?

Teleworking

How much and what kind of companies are using teleworking?
How many people are working from home or another location then the main office?
Are people bound to working places? (IT/hospitals/etc)
Where are they located/What size has the company/what sector are they in?
What is the impact on traffic jams?
What is the impact on the environment?
What is the impact of programs like skype and webbex on teleworking?
What are the cost/benefits for the employee?
What are the cost/benefits for the company?
Are companies or the government supporting this way of working? and Why/not?

Technologies

What future technologies are being developed?
What are the current technologies being used?
What happens if the fuel burns out? Then what?
Batteries? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?acceptance?
Hybride? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?acceptance?
What about hydrogen? Life? Coverage? Fuel stations? Costs? saving environment? acceptance?

General questions

Who are traveling?
How do people travel?
Why do people travel?
Would public transportation still be available in 10 to 15 years?
How and how much does the government try to encourage the public transportation?
How and mow much do companies support public transportation?
How much cleaner is public transportation versus a car?
How many cars are there in the Netherlands?
How many roads are there? Length?
How is the mobility of the future affected by the credit crisis?

Driving Forces:

Working at home
Traffic jams
Exhausting Oil Supply
Traffic prices
Teleworking
Changing needs
Travelling salesmen problem
Upcoming Technological Changes
Upcoming Edge Cities
Environmental Changes


Systems Diagram:

SystemDiagram.jpg


"Old Scenarios:"

Future Transportation
Edge-cities
Grow in teleworking
Exhausting Fossil Fuels and New Technology

The comments made by the CIO team:

There are 3 main issues why people want to be mobile:

  • Transport of Goods
  • Entertainment
  • Work

Explore deeper into the scenarios, there is no clear solution

Teleworking has also to deal with trust, employer -> employee, does the employee really the amount of work he says he does.

Explore also extreme things i.e. No more cheap ryanair like flights

Give scenarios in ways of the use of mobility. Set the amount of mobility for each scenario, so the key uncertainties become clear.

Revised Scenarios:

After discussing the comments made on our "previous" scenarios we changed our 4 scenarios into the following:

Figure 2: Future Scenarios

Innovators
Radical change
Risk/change avoiding