Scenario for the Internet in 2015

The following 4 scenarios describe possible futures for the development of the Internet in the next 10 years.

Each group pick an scenario to write and develop. My suggestion is as follows (if there is another preference please indicate it on the wiki- 1st come 1st serve):

Group 1 - More of the Same 
Group 3 - Real Net
Group 2 - Virtual Society
Group 4 - Seperate Directions

Group 5 - Writes a section explaining the scenario logic. (i.e. explain the key uncertainties)
  How did we get to these scenarios?  What would be the early indicators that lead us into these scenarios.
  What technologies would lead us into which world?  (reference this with web sites, driving forces, etc)

Group 6 - (Really small group)  Responsible as the editors.  Improve the text, add references to the scenarios that
 link to other web sites, driving forces etc.

Group 5: More of the Same - Edo Avraham, Lars Eriksen, Kentaro Kodaka, Taro Honda, Daniel Perez Whitaker

Group 3: Real Net - Daan van Vroonhoven, Ute Stahl, Katsuya Nakamura, Frederik De Meyer, Tom Wang

Group 2: Virtual Society - Michael Khalili, Kelly Pender, Luis Fernandez, Ricardo Terukina, Miguel Yanes

Group 1: More The Same - Katsushi Yaginuma, Arif Shivji, Joan Carles, Siarhei, Stian, Amadeo

Group 1: More The Same (as Daniel's allocated) (as all content was gone in the above link, I have now re-inserted this "title" for group 1. Note: Wiki creates a new link/page when the name is altered ... Lars)

Group 4: The Scenario Logic - Claudie, Eser, Mari, Lucia, Spencer

Group 6: Editors - Daniel, Ricardo, Carmel

The logic for the scenarios is listed below: