Increasing Human Mobility

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Social driving force of The Future of Secondary Education in 2020

Description:

When entering the 21st century, people are more and more capable of moving readily from place to place, and traveling and relocating frequently. The picture below which shows immigration situation in past years also predicts what will happen in the future.

Figure1.jpg

Enablers:

  • Increasing integration of economies and societies around the world resulted from globalization.[1]
  • The advances of information and communication technology, especially wireless technology, which free people from restraints of their location, you can communicate anywhere anyway.[2]
  • Ground and air transportation allow people to travel around the world with safety, comfort and speed. [2]
  • World's rapid urbanization and motorization. [2]


Inhibitors:

  • Rigid national boundaries and controls on migration
  • Cultural barriers [2]
  • Language barriers [2]


Paradigms:

The trend of increasing human mobility will not stop in the following 10 years, thus making sure young people who are involved in this kind of frequent relocation can get adequate education with high quality will promote the development of educational technology which can be wildly used in area such as distant-learning and on-line education community.

Timing:

2010-2020
The trend of international immigration into OECD countries and social urbanization continue and social network connectivity becomes an important factor in human mobility. In addition, more and more youth generation accept the idea of global freeman. And, refugee, amnesty and undocumented flows increase as the same time. All those factors increase future human mobility.

WEB Resources:

http://www.ccpr.ucla.edu/ccprwpseries/ccpr_033_06.pdf
http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Increasing_Mobility