RSM MBA 2010 Scenarios
Scenario Course
What makes a good Scenario Set (Class Learning)
- new thinking
- shocking beliefs
- methodology (fit for purpose)
- make sure you answer the question
- plausible
- coherent
- easy to understand (same language)
- depth of knowledge (eg. Future of China)
- research question -> driving forces -> scenarios
- introduction should state the purpose of project
- balance across scenarios (equally likely)
Main Learning Points
- Investigating Fundamental Business Model of Consulting
- General Trends of No Value, i.e. tracing the root of the symptom
- Move away from obvious Assumptions
Numbers that matter presentation dates
(please write the title of the presentation here)
(please put your numbers that matter presentation up here)
Tue 17th of Aug-
Wed 18th of Aug- World Runs on Solar PV power - "Future of the City Centre 2025" presentation
Thu 19th of Aug- Elimination of Poverty "Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030" presentation
Mon 23rd of Aug-"Climate Change Negotiations" presentation
Tue 24th of Aug- "Tablets in Education" presentation
Wed 25th of Aug- "Future of Consulting" presentation
Fri 27th of Aug- "Future of Innovation 2020" presentation
Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030
The Netherlands has 90 billion km driven in NL, of which 50% is business related, with a significant increase in business use, yet not a corresponding increase in productivity of the economy. This means that investing in new roads is NOT the best way to spend public money. How will mobility evolve in the next 20 years.
Problem Owner:Herman Wagter, Business Development Director Glasvezelnet Amsterdam
Twitter http://twitter.com/hermanwagter
Team Members: Imelia Bonahan, Pieter Cusell, Vikas Rajgarhia, Vishal Kapoor, Mert Cakar
Future of the City Centre 2025
How will city centre be like in 2025? What could change in the city centre, in a post-crisis environment. Will it stay as a meeting spot, with a business function. Will offices still be the place where people work? City centres in Huston or Detriot city has returned to markert gardering, with the houses abandoned. Or will it have a new lease of life, renewed through urban agriculture, (witness the NYC lightrail project, etc)? What will the city's relevance be when physical meetings come to an end?
Problem Owner:Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR
http://www.iabrotterdam.com/Content/www.iabrotterdam.com/Documenten/CV%20Sander%20de%20Iongh.pdf
Team members: Cole Carrigan, Eglantine Dang, Akcan Islamoglu, Fahad Nayyar, Louis Tzeng For further information could be found on Future of the City Centre 2025
Future of Tablets in Education
Future of Tablets in Education Main Page
Future of Consulting 2020
Traditional consulting evolved out of McKinsey's practice in New York who famously said that men's socks should reach their knees, because "a client should never see flesh". Much of these ideas are still alive in consulting today.
Problem Owner:Joost Pryde, Co-Founder House of Performance
http://www.hofp.nl/wa.asp?idWebPage=18558&idDetails=378
Twitter: http://twitter.com/jpreyde
Future of Innovation 2030
What will innovation be in the future? Will all innovation be open, or will that lead to the average, and no innovation? What role will technology play in this space?
Russ Conser -Manager GameChanger Shell International E&P Inc.
http://www.linkedin.com/ppl/webprofile?vmi=&id=3080859&pvs=pp&authToken=feji&authType=name&locale=en_US&trk=ppro_viewmore&lnk=vw_pprofile
Future of Innovation Main Page
Future of Climate Change Negotiations in 2020
A scenario set that explores the different pathways that negotiations on Climate change will take in the next 10 years. Will there be multilateral agreements lead by the UN, or bilateral agreements, will countries or companies be in the lead, will this result in a new economic order, etc.
Aart van der Horst: http://nl.linkedin.com/pub/aart-van-der-horst/18/121/53a
Further information could be found on the scenario page
Agenda for presentations for Friday 27th of August 2010
13.30 - 14.00 Future of the City Center 2025
14.00 -14.30 Future of Consulting
14.30 - 15.00 Future of Innovation
15.00 - 15.30 Future of Mobility in Netherlands
15.30 - 16.00 Future of Tablets in Education
16.00 - 16.30 Future of Climate Change Negotiations