Difference between revisions of "Future of the European Union in 2030"
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[[Image:EUCandidatecCountries.png|thumb|Candidate countries|250px]] | [[Image:EUCandidatecCountries.png|thumb|Candidate countries|250px]] | ||
[[Image:LikelyFutureEnlargements.png|thumb|Likely Future Enlargements|250px]] | [[Image:LikelyFutureEnlargements.png|thumb|Likely Future Enlargements|250px]] | ||
==Research Questions== | ==Research Questions== | ||
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==Driving Forces== | ==Driving Forces== | ||
=== Political Driving Forces | === Political Driving Forces === | ||
*[[Political Stability in Europe]] | *[[Political Stability in Europe]] | ||
*[[Institutional & Bureaucratic Dynamics]] | *[[Institutional & Bureaucratic Dynamics]] | ||
*[[To be a world power house]] | *[[To be a world power house]] | ||
*[[Economic Success]] | *[[Economic Success]] | ||
*[[Turkey Joining the EU]] | *[[Turkey Joining the EU]] | ||
*[[Movement Towards World Unification]] | *[[Movement Towards World Unification]] | ||
*[[Islamic Fundamentalism]] | *[[Islamic Fundamentalism]] | ||
*[[Terrorism]] | *[[Terrorism]] | ||
=== Technological Driving Forces | === Technological Driving Forces === | ||
*[[Balancing clean & efficient technology against cost]] | *[[Balancing clean & efficient technology against cost]] | ||
*[[Economic Growth through Innovation]] | *[[Economic Growth through Innovation]] | ||
*[[Alternative sources of energy]] | *[[Alternative sources of energy]] | ||
=== Environmental Driving Forces | === Environmental Driving Forces === | ||
*[[Greenhouse gases emissions trading affecting production in the EU]] | *[[Greenhouse gases emissions trading affecting production in the EU]] | ||
*[[Scarcity of Water in the EU]] | *[[Scarcity of Water in the EU]] | ||
| Line 139: | Line 132: | ||
*[[Effects of climate change]] | *[[Effects of climate change]] | ||
=== Economic Driving Forces | === Economic Driving Forces === | ||
*[[EU as a Counterweight to America]] | *[[EU as a Counterweight to America]] | ||
*[[Energy Scarcity in Europe]] | *[[Energy Scarcity in Europe]] | ||
*[[The increasing globalization of markets]] | *[[The increasing globalization of markets]] | ||
=== Societal Driving Forces | === Societal Driving Forces === | ||
*[[Increasing Mobility]] | *[[Increasing Mobility]] | ||
*[[Changes in Religion buildup of Europe]] | *[[Changes in Religion buildup of Europe]] | ||
*[[Aging Europe]] | *[[Aging Europe]] | ||
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==Scenarios== | ==Scenarios== | ||
These are the four scenarios that are likely to be the future of Europe in 2030. Included are two diagrams that indicate our train of thought when trying to come to these scenarios. Each scenario consist of a story that tell about how the future looks in 2030. Following that comes a section that gives all background information, illustrating in detail how this future came to be. | These are the four scenarios that are likely to be the future of Europe in 2030. Included are two diagrams that indicate our train of thought when trying to come to these scenarios. Each scenario consist of a story that tell about how the future looks in 2030. Following that comes a section that gives all background information, illustrating in detail how this future came to be. | ||
*[[Reactionary]] | |||
*[[ | *[[Green Revolution]] | ||
*[[ | *[[Slow Decline]] | ||
<--[[Image:EUMatrix.png|thumb|250px|The scenarios]] | |||
[[Image:EUMatrix.png|thumb|250px|The scenarios]] | |||
<br><br><br><br><br>--> | <br><br><br><br><br>--> | ||
Revision as of 07:05, 2 October 2009
Team Composition
Introduction
Research Questions
EU & Europe Definitions
- What is the definition of Europe?
- What countries are part of the European Union?
- What is the history of the European Union?
- What are the candidate countries that want to be part of the European Union?
- What is the euro zone?
Politics
- How is the European Union Governed?
- What are the main bodies of the EU?
- How is the European parliament elected?
- How is the European parliament structured?
- How do the countries work together?
- How does the EU take decisions?
- How does the EU tick?
- How is the EU budget managed?
- Are there any planned budget policy changes?
- What is the main driver for the EU expansion?
- Will the expansion of the EU now come to a halt?
- Is public opinion in the EU in favour of more enlargement?
- What are the main issues in Europe (other than financial)?
Policy
- What are the Agriculture policies of the EU? - check if you agree GK
- What are the Energy policies of the EU? - same here, M
- What are the Infrastructure policies of the EU?
- What are the Regional policies of the EU?
- What are the Environment policies of the EU? - same here
- What are the Educational policies of the EU?
- What are the foreign policies of the EU?
Environment
Economics
- What is the GDP and Growth Rate of the EU?
- How is monetary policy governed within the EU?
- What can cause the instability of the Euro?
- What are trade statistics for the EU?
- What is the energy profile of the EU?
Society
- Does European Union really bond its members together?
- How do European inhabitants feel about EU?
- What are the immigration trends to EU for EU and Non-EU citizens?
- What present of EU states are satisfied with being a member state?
- How "European" are EU citizens and do they share a common identity?
Terrorism
- What has been the impact of terrorism on the EU?
- How the recent rebirth of radical nationalist movements influences the EU?
- European countries are fighting against terrorism but, what about separatist groups like IRA and ETA?
Demographics
- What is the population of the EU and how is it distributed?
- What are the main religions practiced in the EU?
- What are the main languages spoken in the EU?
- What are other key demographic statistics for the EU?
- What is the level of immigration and emigration?
- What are the main issues with changing religion makeup of Europe?
Geopolitics
- Do non EU countries prefer to deal with EU or to deal directly with individual members?
- Enlargement of EU?
- The future of European Union: Managing Globalization
- The future of European Union: Future Trends
- What is the EU's outlook towards full membership of the Balkans and Turkey?
- Can the EU disintegrate like the USSR?
- Can EU form a larger economic block with Russia, India and China?
- In case that the EU will form a large economic block, what USA would do?
- EU and Asia?
- EU and India?
- EU and China?
- EU and Japan?
- EU and South Korea?
- EU and US?
- EU and Canada?
- EU and Africa?
- EU and Latin America?
- EU and Russia?
- EU and Middle East?
- What role does Africa play for Europe?
- What if Primakov's triangle becomes a reality?
- Would Russia with its huge gas reserves would like to play a pivotal role in Europe?
- How does the world (US, BRICS,etc.,) perceive the EU? Would they want a strong EU?
Infrastructure
- Does the EU need to focus on new infrastructure approaches?
Systems Diagram
Driving Forces
Political Driving Forces
- Political Stability in Europe
- Institutional & Bureaucratic Dynamics
- To be a world power house
- Economic Success
- Turkey Joining the EU
- Movement Towards World Unification
- Islamic Fundamentalism
- Terrorism
Technological Driving Forces
- Balancing clean & efficient technology against cost
- Economic Growth through Innovation
- Alternative sources of energy
Environmental Driving Forces
- Greenhouse gases emissions trading affecting production in the EU
- Scarcity of Water in the EU
- Increasing need to clean energy
- Interests of lesser developed member states and the cost of subsidizing their practices
- Pressure from developing countries
- Effects of climate change
Economic Driving Forces
Societal Driving Forces
Scenarios
These are the four scenarios that are likely to be the future of Europe in 2030. Included are two diagrams that indicate our train of thought when trying to come to these scenarios. Each scenario consist of a story that tell about how the future looks in 2030. Following that comes a section that gives all background information, illustrating in detail how this future came to be.
<--
-->
References
Scenario Reports
- NIC Europe 2020 - Scenarios - Workshop Date: April 28-29, 2004 - Venue: Budapest, Hungary
- New Technology Wave – Scenarios for Europe in 2020 (pdf)
- European Energy to 2020 - A scenario approach (pdf)
- Water Scenarios for Europe and for Neighbouring States
- Trends and drivers of change in the EU transport and logistics sector: Scenarios (pdf)
- Scenarios on the territorial future of Europe to 2030
- Could we imagine another future for Europe? (very good resource)
Economic Reports & Statistics
- Statistics and figures for all countries of the European Union
- Europe Interactive Map - Can compare different EU region
News & Other Sources
- Trends and drivers of change in the EU energy sector: Scenarios
- Economic Problems of European Union
- Immigration Problems in EU
- Immigration in the European Union: problem or solution?
- Q&A: EU enlargement
- About the European Union on Wikipedia
Presentations
Research Papers and Books
- Anderson, M. (2000) States and nationalism in Europe. London
- Bauman, Z., 1989, Modernity and the Holocaust. Cambridge: Polity Press.
- Bauman, Z., 1993, Postmodern Ethics. Oxford: Blackwell.
- Bauman, Z., 1991. Modernity and Ambivalence. Cambridge: Polity Press.
- Bauman., Z., 1995. Life in Fragments: Essays in Postmodern Morality. Oxford: Blackwell.
- Bauman/Europe: An Unfinished Adventure. Final Proof 18/08/2004
- Drake, G. (1994) Issues in the new Europe. London
- Foucher, M. (1995) The new faces of Europe. Strasbourg
- Hermet, G. (1998) A history of nations and nationalism in Europe. London
- Lichtenberger, H. (2000) Studying Europe: challenges and prospects for European studies. Baden-Baden
- Marsden, W.E and V.M. (1989) Going into Europe. Edinburgh
- Morin, E. (1991) Europa denken. Frankfurt
- Morris, J. (1998) Fifty years of Europe. London
Videos
- The European Union - the New Soviet Union?
- Barroso: European Union is 'empire'
- Should the UK leave the European Union?
- Interview - Jose Manuel Barroso
- Economic future of EU is Green" Philippe Lamberts from EGP on EU Elections
- Davos Open Forum 2006 - The Future of Europe in the World
- EU European Union Strasbourg Parliament Poster Pentagrams
- The Rise of the European Superstate
- An alternative view of the European Union
- Which future for Europe? The Regression of the EU into an Anti-historic Europe of 27 Little Fatherlands - 3 Day Conference
- The Uncertain Future of Europe (Eurabia?)