Difference between revisions of "Future of Sustainability 2030"

From ScenarioThinking
Jump to navigation Jump to search
 
(147 intermediate revisions by 6 users not shown)
Line 4: Line 4:
Yojiro Fukaya<br>
Yojiro Fukaya<br>
Eric Lam<br>
Eric Lam<br>
Ynzhu (Carrie) Ma<br>
Yunzhu (Carrie) Ma<br>
[[User:Hugh.malkin|Hugh Malkin]]<br>
[[User:Hugh.malkin|Hugh Malkin]]<br>
Kay Mei Tan<br>
Kay Mei Tan<br>
=Introduction=
=Introduction=
"Meet the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."<br>
 
"Sustainable Development is a process of change in which the exploitation of resources, the direction of investments, the orientation of technological development; and institutional change are all in harmony and enhance both current and future potential to meet human needs and aspirations." from the United Nations Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development: Our Common Future (Brundtland Commission) http://www.un-documents.net/ocf-02.htm#I<br>
 
 
Or in other words:
 
 
Sustainable Development meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs<br>
 
 
Sustainable development deals with Social Equity, the Economy, and the Environment<br>
 
=Research Questions=
=Research Questions=
What is the history?<br>
;Definition
How did sustainability start?<br>
#[[What is the definition of Sustainability?]]<br>
What are the driving forces in the past? <br>
#[[What is "The Tragedy of the Commons"?]]<br>
Who/what does sustainability effect the most?<br>
;General
Who is the best/worst at sustainability?<br>
 
How is sustainability measured?<br>
#[[What is the history of sustainability?]]<br>
Why does sustainability matter?<br>
;Envirnoment
What is most important to sustain?<br>
#[[What is the rate of Ice melt?]]
What does sustainability mean?<br>
# [[What is the urgent issue relating to sustainability?]]<br>
Do we need to be sustainability<br>
# [[What can we do as a individual?]]<br>
# [[What is measurable?]]<br>
#[[What are current international regulations regarding sustainability?]]
;Energy
#[[What are the current major ways of power generation]]
#[[What is the most efficient power generation method in terms of cost and CO2 emission?]]
#[[What to extent cost of renewable energy will be cheeper?]]
;Technology
#[[What are the key technologies?]]
#[[Can technological development solve environmental issues dramatically?]]
;Resource
#[[What is the outlook of world energy in the next 20 years?]]
#[[How much oil is left in the world? When will oil run out?]]<br>
#[[Is water the Key Limiting Factor?]]<br>
#[[Will other natural resource, other than energy, play serious roles in the future sustainability?]]
#[[What are the other threats to sustainability?]]<br>
#[[How do human beings interact with/affect natural resource?]]
#[[What are the energy trends in India and China?]]
#[[What are the impacts of climate change to the future sustainability?]]
;Value
#[[What is the most important value for sustainability?]]
#[[What is the method evaluating values?]]
#[[What are the values of the worlds leading polluters?]]
;Pollution
#[[What is the most important pollutant?]]
#[[Which Fossil Fuels give off most Carbon Dioxide? What are the worst Fossil Fuels?]]<br>
;Population
#[[Is our population growing?]]
#[[Is there a limit to growth?]]


How sustainability can effect on economy?<br>
;Education
How sustainability can effect on our life?<br>
#[[What is Education for Sustainable Development (ESD)?]]
Why do we need sustainability now?<br>
What is the motivation for companies to work for sustainability?<br>
How will growth in developing countries effect on sustainability?<br>
Can technological development solve environmental issues dramatically?<br>
What is the urgent issue relating to sustainability?<br>
What can we do as a individual?<br>


1. What is the purpose of sustainability?  Why does it matter? What is it?<br>
=Driving Forces=
2. Is sustainability a slow or fast change?  What changes are present day solutions and which are long-term solutions?<br>
#[[Sustainable Resources]]
3. What is the balance of profits and sustainability?<br>
#[[Alternative Energy]]
4. What is the definition of Sustainability?  Lifestyle, products, CO2?<br>
#[[Technological Development]]
5. Is less bad of sustainability actually good? What is the goal of sustainability?  What is sufficient?<br>
#[[Education]]
6. Are things really measureable?<br>
#[[Business]]
7. Where should the solution come from?  Is there a universal answer?<br>
#[[Economy]]
#[[Regulations for Sustainability]]
#[[Values]]
#[[Population]]
#[[Pollution]]


• Water: Is It the Key Limiting Factor?
=Systems Diagram=
• What is sustainability?
[[image:Diagram_sustainability1.jpg|200px|1st draft]]
• What is the value of the global services for sustainability e.g. air and water purification, agricultural pollination, nutrient cycling, soil enrichment, climate stabilization, medicinal products and drought mitigation?
• What would happen if we do not work on sustainability?
• How much should be done?
• Who should be responsible for sustainability e.g. government, individuals, country?
• How bad is the current situation?
• What happened if we slow growth? Does that mean that we do not need to work on sustainability?


=Driving Forces=
1st draft
Name, description, enablers, inhibitors, paradigms, experts, timing, web resources<br>
==Greed==
==Pain==
==Information==
===Politics===
===Entertainment===
===Business===
==Attitudes==
Affected by Intelligence, needs, and personality<br>
===Values===
Basic convictions<br>
What is right, what is wrong<br>
Value system<br>
Terminal values and Instrumental values<br>


===Beliefs===
[[image:systemmap.jpg|200px|Final version]]


=Scenarios=


=References=
Final version
Erasumus prof. Michael Braungart (co-author Cradle to Cradle)<br>
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1B8fTujfL30<br>


Robert Rubinstien (Green Investment)<br>
=Scenario Tree=
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jBUV1PJE8r4<br>


The Limits to Growth<br>
[[image:ScenarioTree_s2.jpg|400px]]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth <br>
==Books==
Natural Capitalism<br>
Limits to Growth<br>
Triple Bottom Line<br>


==News Articles==
=Scenarios=
New Green Business<br>
# [[Collapse of the Environment]]
http://money.cnn.com/2009/03/24/smallbusiness/trash_talker_terracycle.fsb/index.htm?postversion=2009032512<br>
# [[Tragedy of Commons]]
http://www.terracycle.net/<br>
# [[New Enlightenment]]
# [[Market Regulation]]


==Previous Scenarios==
=References=
#[[Websites]]
#[[Books]]
#[[News Articles]]
#[[Notes]]

Latest revision as of 12:31, 17 October 2009

Welcome to the Future of Sustainability in 2030

Group Members

Yojiro Fukaya
Eric Lam
Yunzhu (Carrie) Ma
Hugh Malkin
Kay Mei Tan

Introduction

"Sustainable Development is a process of change in which the exploitation of resources, the direction of investments, the orientation of technological development; and institutional change are all in harmony and enhance both current and future potential to meet human needs and aspirations." from the United Nations Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development: Our Common Future (Brundtland Commission) http://www.un-documents.net/ocf-02.htm#I


Or in other words:


Sustainable Development meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs


Sustainable development deals with Social Equity, the Economy, and the Environment

Research Questions

Definition
  1. What is the definition of Sustainability?
  2. What is "The Tragedy of the Commons"?
General
  1. What is the history of sustainability?
Envirnoment
  1. What is the rate of Ice melt?
  2. What is the urgent issue relating to sustainability?
  3. What can we do as a individual?
  4. What is measurable?
  5. What are current international regulations regarding sustainability?
Energy
  1. What are the current major ways of power generation
  2. What is the most efficient power generation method in terms of cost and CO2 emission?
  3. What to extent cost of renewable energy will be cheeper?
Technology
  1. What are the key technologies?
  2. Can technological development solve environmental issues dramatically?
Resource
  1. What is the outlook of world energy in the next 20 years?
  2. How much oil is left in the world? When will oil run out?
  3. Is water the Key Limiting Factor?
  4. Will other natural resource, other than energy, play serious roles in the future sustainability?
  5. What are the other threats to sustainability?
  6. How do human beings interact with/affect natural resource?
  7. What are the energy trends in India and China?
  8. What are the impacts of climate change to the future sustainability?
Value
  1. What is the most important value for sustainability?
  2. What is the method evaluating values?
  3. What are the values of the worlds leading polluters?
Pollution
  1. What is the most important pollutant?
  2. Which Fossil Fuels give off most Carbon Dioxide? What are the worst Fossil Fuels?
Population
  1. Is our population growing?
  2. Is there a limit to growth?
Education
  1. What is Education for Sustainable Development (ESD)?

Driving Forces

  1. Sustainable Resources
  2. Alternative Energy
  3. Technological Development
  4. Education
  5. Business
  6. Economy
  7. Regulations for Sustainability
  8. Values
  9. Population
  10. Pollution

Systems Diagram

1st draft

1st draft

Final version


Final version

Scenario Tree

ScenarioTree s2.jpg

Scenarios

  1. Collapse of the Environment
  2. Tragedy of Commons
  3. New Enlightenment
  4. Market Regulation

References

  1. Websites
  2. Books
  3. News Articles
  4. Notes
Retrieved from "https://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Future_of_Sustainability_2030&oldid=32523"