Difference between revisions of "Talk:Climate Change Negotiations"
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How would the climate change negotiations evolve in the coming 10 years? A scenario set that explores the different pathways that negotiations on Climate change will take in the next 10 years. Will there be multilateral agreements lead by the UN, or bilateral agreements, will countries or companies be in the lead, will this result in a new economic order, etc. | |||
== Discussion | == Group Discussion Journal == | ||
'''16th, Aug. 2010''' | '''16th, Aug. 2010''' | ||
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2. For "numbers matter" presentation, we will hold another meeting. | 2. For "numbers matter" presentation, we will hold another meeting. | ||
== Climate Change & Numbers == | |||
Global surface temperature increased 0.74 0.18 C (1.33 0.32 F) during the 20th century.<br> | |||
184 countries ratified Kyoto Protocol as of January 2009<br> | |||
Kyoto Protocol will expire in 2012<br> | |||
Mechanisms of Kyoto protocol:<br> | |||
*[[Emissions Trading]] | |||
*[[Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)]] | |||
*[[Joint Implementation (JI)]] | |||
== Comments to the group == | |||
Bastian: I will add a driving forces section, so everyone can add his/her DF and we '''avoid duplication'''.<br> | |||
Once we have a good number of DFs we should converge them. | |||
== Driving forces == | |||
BASTIAN:-<br> | |||
1. [[Greenhouse gas increase]]<br> | |||
2. [http://www.scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Catastrophes_-_Acts_of_God Catastrophes - Acts of God]<br> | |||
3. Urbanisation<br> | |||
<br> | |||
ROHIT:-<br> | |||
4. Increasing influence of media<br> | |||
5. Expiration of Kyoto protocol<br> | |||
<br> | |||
FAN:-<br> | |||
6. [[Oil Supply and Demand Dynamics]]<br> | |||
7. [[Increasing Commitment from China]]<br> | |||
<br> | |||
SERGEY:-<br> | |||
8. Position of US<br> | |||
9. Position of developing nation<br> | |||
10. Dynamics of Public Support<br> | |||
<br> | |||
RACHIT:-<br> | |||
11. Carbon Trading, Finances and related Economics<br> | |||
12. Innovation in Technology and Energy<br> | |||
13. Position of Corporates<br> | |||
==Ideas for focal issue == | |||
Fan: Here are some ideas of focal issues | |||
What is the role of Netherlands climate change negotiation in 2020?<br> | |||
What is the negotiation result in 2020? <br> | |||
== Numbers That Matter == | |||
What are different contributors to the green-house gas emissions?<br> | |||
1/ Sources of green house gases<br> | |||
2/ Country specific emissions<br> | |||
3/ Per capita gas emissions<br> | |||
4/ If all the cars in the converted to Hybrid how much reductions could be achieved?<br> | |||
5) Proposal Bastian: What does it really cost to reduce GHG and thus the global temperature increase to 1, 2, 3 Celsius?<br> | |||
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/104xx/doc10458/11-23-GreenhouseGasEmissions_Brief.pdf<br> | |||
http://www.povt.qren.pt/tempfiles/20091216152537moptc.pdf - this article has all required numbers. | |||