Difference between revisions of "The Future of Individual Mobility in 2020"
| Line 18: | Line 18: | ||
#If one has to choose between food and shelter versus mobility. What will it be?-Radjes<br> | #If one has to choose between food and shelter versus mobility. What will it be?-Radjes<br> | ||
#What efforts are taken on a political level to influence mobility?-Radjes<br> | #What efforts are taken on a political level to influence mobility?-Radjes<br> | ||
# What is the impact of a declining world trade on mobility?-Radjes<br> | #What is the impact of a declining world trade on mobility?-Radjes<br> | ||
# How will architecture change the landscape of office, home and shopping area? <br> | # How will architecture change the landscape of office, home and shopping area? And how will that impact mobility? <br> | ||
# | # Will individual economical growth create an environment that stimulates indovidual or group mobility? <br> | ||
# What would be the impact of the threat of terrorism on infrastructure and control and how would it affect mobility? <br> | |||
# How would virtualization affect mobility? <br> | |||
# Will the population of Europe grow, stabilize or decline? In which parameter? In wich geographies? <br> | |||
# Where would be the most congested areas? <br> | |||
# Will urbanization be ruled by the same principles of today? <br> | |||
# Why would people still find the need to move? <br> | |||
# What drives governors, mayors and politicians to chose for a certain mobility route versus another? Is it increase in population, increase of business in their region or increase of natural parks etc.? <br> | |||
== Driving Forces == | == Driving Forces == | ||
Revision as of 16:20, 27 September 2005
Introduction
This page will contain the results of the scenario planning process of group 6 of class RSM EMBA05 on the following subject:
The Future of Individual Mobility in 2020
Research Questions
- Which technologies will affect individual mobility in the next 10 years and what will be the impact of these technologies on mobility?
- How and where will people spend their leisure time in 2015?
- What are the major destinations for vacation in 2015?
- Will people still spend the majority of their working hours in the office?
- How will congestion develop in the next 15 years?
- What are current plans of the government regarding major infrastructure projects?
- What will be the impact of oil demand and oil prices on individual mobility?
- How will an expanded EU with fading borders impact mobility?- Radjes
- If one has to choose between food and shelter versus mobility. What will it be?-Radjes
- What efforts are taken on a political level to influence mobility?-Radjes
- What is the impact of a declining world trade on mobility?-Radjes
- How will architecture change the landscape of office, home and shopping area? And how will that impact mobility?
- Will individual economical growth create an environment that stimulates indovidual or group mobility?
- What would be the impact of the threat of terrorism on infrastructure and control and how would it affect mobility?
- How would virtualization affect mobility?
- Will the population of Europe grow, stabilize or decline? In which parameter? In wich geographies?
- Where would be the most congested areas?
- Will urbanization be ruled by the same principles of today?
- Why would people still find the need to move?
- What drives governors, mayors and politicians to chose for a certain mobility route versus another? Is it increase in population, increase of business in their region or increase of natural parks etc.?
Driving Forces
Economic:
Oil Price
Digital Literacy
Emerging economies
Technological:
Development of 3G techonology
Disruptive Technology: Wireless Local Loop
Mobility
The Rapid Increase in WiFi Transmission Rates
high efficent fuels and motors
Societal:
Change of personal traits
Increasing Mobility
Increasing social isolation
Virtual Integration
Aging population
increase of population-demographics
Environmental:
Links
Note to group: please add your links to secondary research here:
Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat: Nota Mobiliteit
National Intelligence Council:
International Futures Model, Global Trends 2020 and Global Trends 2015
For a better understanding of the world's oil-depletion problem, see Oil Depletion Analysis Centre
RIVM: Effects of a compact urbanisation scenario on passenger mobility
[1]
Speech van de minister van Verkeer en Waterstaat, mevrouw T. Netelenbos, voor de opening van de manifestatie Mobiliteit als Uitdaging in Rotterdam op woensdag 9 juni 1999.
[2]
Een scenario studie: Omgevingsscenario's en lange termijn verkenning 1995-2020 die momenteel voor Nederland door het CPB wordt gedaan-Radjes:[3]
Other
Gartner:
"By 2008, 41 million corporate employees globally will spend at least one day a week teleworking, and 100 million will work from home at least one day a month"; see "Teleworking: The Quiet Revolution" on gartner.com
"By 2015, wirelessly networked sensors in everything we own will form a new Web."; see "Extracting Value From the Massively Connected World
of 2015" on gartner.com