Difference between revisions of "The Future of Individual Mobility in 2020"
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Speech van de minister van Verkeer en Waterstaat, mevrouw T. Netelenbos, voor de opening van de manifestatie Mobiliteit als Uitdaging in Rotterdam op woensdag 9 juni 1999. | Speech van de minister van Verkeer en Waterstaat, mevrouw T. Netelenbos, voor de opening van de manifestatie Mobiliteit als Uitdaging in Rotterdam op woensdag 9 juni 1999. | ||
[http://www.verkeerenwaterstaat.nl/cgi-bin/nieuws/vwn_p.pl?arch_srcID=1011&id=3]<br> | [http://www.verkeerenwaterstaat.nl/cgi-bin/nieuws/vwn_p.pl?arch_srcID=1011&id=3]<br> | ||
Een scenario studie die momenteel voor Nederland door het CPB wordt gedaan. Dit is de voorstudie, erg interessant-Radjes:[http://www.cpb.nl/nl/pub/werkdoc/89/wd89.pdf]<br> | Een scenario studie: ''Omgevingsscenario's en lange termijn verkenning 1995-2020 die momenteel voor Nederland door het CPB wordt gedaan. Dit is de voorstudie, erg interessant-Radjes:[http://www.cpb.nl/nl/pub/werkdoc/89/wd89.pdf]<br> | ||
== Other == | == Other == | ||
Revision as of 20:56, 26 September 2005
Introduction
This page will contain the results of the scenario planning process of group 6 of class RSM EMBA05 on the following subject:
The Future of Individual Mobility in 2020
Research Questions
- Which technologies will affect individual mobility in the next 10 years and what will be the impact of these technologies on mobility?
- How and where will people spend their leisure time in 2015?
- What are the major destinations for vacation in 2015?
- Will people still spend the majority of their working hours in the office?
- How will congestion develop in the next 15 years?
- What are current plans of the government regarding major infrastructure projects?
- What will be the impact of oil demand and oil prices on individual mobility?
- How will an expanded EU with fading borders impact mobility?- Radjes
- If one has to choose between food and shelter versus mobility. What will it be?-Radjes
- What efforts are taken on a political level to influence mobility?-Radjes
- What is the impact of a declining world trade on mobility?-Radjes
Driving Forces
Economic:
Oil Price
Digital Literacy
Emerging economies
Technological:
Development of 3G techonology
Disruptive Technology: Wireless Local Loop
Mobility
The Rapid Increase in WiFi Transmission Rates
Societal:
Change of personal traits
Increasing Mobility
Increasing social isolation
Virtual Integration
Aging population
increase of population-demographics
Environmental:
Links
Note to group: please add your links to secondary research here:
Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat: Nota Mobiliteit
National Intelligence Council:
International Futures Model, Global Trends 2020 and Global Trends 2015
For a better understanding of the world's oil-depletion problem, see Oil Depletion Analysis Centre
RIVM: Effects of a compact urbanisation scenario on passenger mobility
[1]
Speech van de minister van Verkeer en Waterstaat, mevrouw T. Netelenbos, voor de opening van de manifestatie Mobiliteit als Uitdaging in Rotterdam op woensdag 9 juni 1999.
[2]
Een scenario studie: Omgevingsscenario's en lange termijn verkenning 1995-2020 die momenteel voor Nederland door het CPB wordt gedaan. Dit is de voorstudie, erg interessant-Radjes:[3]
Other
Gartner:
"By 2008, 41 million corporate employees globally will spend at least one day a week teleworking, and 100 million will work from home at least one day a month"; see "Teleworking: The Quiet Revolution" on gartner.com
"By 2015, wirelessly networked sensors in everything we own will form a new Web."; see "Extracting Value From the Massively Connected World
of 2015" on gartner.com