Difference between revisions of "The Future of Individual Mobility in 2020"
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Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat: [http://www.vananaarbeter.nl/NotaMobiliteit/ Nota Mobiliteit]<br> | Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat: [http://www.vananaarbeter.nl/NotaMobiliteit/ Nota Mobiliteit]<br> | ||
National Intelligence Council: | National Intelligence Council: | ||
[http://ifsmodel.org International Futures Model]<br> | [http://ifsmodel.org International Futures Model], [http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_globaltrend2020.html Global Trends 2020] and [http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_globaltrend2015.html#link3 Global Trends 2015]<br> | ||
== Other == | == Other == | ||
Revision as of 20:10, 19 September 2005
Introduction
This page will contain the results of the scenario planning process of group 6 of class RSM EMBA05 on the following subject:
The Future of Individual Mobility in 2020
Research Questions
- Which technologies will affect individual mobility in the next 10 years and what will be the impact of these technologies on mobility?
- How and where will people spend their leisure time in 2015?
- What are the major destinations for vacation in 2015?
- Will people still spend the majority of their working hours in the office?
- How will congestion develop in the next 15 years?
- What are current plans of the government regarding major infrastructure projects?
- What will be the impact of oil demand and oil prices on individual mobility?
- Etc, etc, ...
Driving Forces
Economic:
Oil Price
Digital Literacy
Technological:
Development of 3G techonology
Disruptive Technology: Wireless Local Loop
Mobility
The Rapid Increase in WiFi Transmission Rates
Societal:
Change of personal traits
Increasing Mobility
Increasing social isolation
Virtual Integration
Aging population
Environmental:
Links
Note to group: please add your links to secondary research here:
Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat: Nota Mobiliteit
National Intelligence Council:
International Futures Model, Global Trends 2020 and Global Trends 2015
Other
Gartner:
"By 2008, 41 million corporate employees globally will spend at least one day a week teleworking, and 100 million will work from home at least one day a month"; see "Teleworking: The Quiet Revolution" on gartner.com
"By 2015, wirelessly networked sensors in everything we own will form a new Web."; see "Extracting Value From the Massively Connected World
of 2015" on gartner.com