The Future of Individual Mobility in 2020

Introduction

This page will contain the results of the scenario planning process of group 6 of class RSM EMBA05 on the following subject:

The Future of Individual Mobility in 2020

Research Questions

1. Which technologies will affect individual mobility in the next 10 years and what will be the impact of these technologies on mobility?
   
2. How and where will people spend their leisure time in 2015?
   
3. What are the major destinations for vacation in 2015?
   
4. Will people still spend the majority of their working hours in the office?
   
5. How will congestion develop in the next 15 years?
   
6. What are current plans of the government regarding major infrastructure projects?
   
7. What will be the impact of oil demand and oil prices on individual mobility?
8. Etc, etc, ...

Driving Forces

Economic:

Oil Price
Digital Literacy

Technological:

Development of 3G techonology
Disruptive Technology: Wireless Local Loop
Mobility
The Rapid Increase in WiFi Transmission Rates

Societal:

Change of personal traits
Increasing Mobility
Increasing social isolation
Virtual Integration
Aging population

Environmental:

Links

Note to group: please add your links to secondary research here:

Ministerie van Verkeer en Waterstaat: Nota Mobiliteit
National Intelligence Council: International Futures Model

Other

Gartner:

"By 2008, 41 million corporate employees globally will spend at least one day a week teleworking, and 100 million will work from home at least one day a month"; see "Teleworking: The Quiet Revolution" on gartner.com
"By 2015, wirelessly networked sensors in everything we own will form a new Web."; see "Extracting Value From the Massively Connected World of 2015" on gartner.com