Difference between revisions of "The future of the global economy in 2015"

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'''Politics'''<br>
'''Politics'''<br>
* What will be the role of the Central Banks (ECB, FED)to the economy?<br>
* What will be the role of the Central Banks (ECB, FED)to the economy?<br>
*  
* What will the effect be of terrorism on the economy?


'''Society'''<br>
'''Society'''<br>

Revision as of 13:33, 25 September 2005

Introduction


This page will contain the results of the scenario planning process of group 3 of class RSM EMBA05 on the following subject:

The future of the global economy in 2015

The members of Group 3 are:

  • Peter Groen
  • Wendi Mennen
  • Maarten Post
  • Harry Schoots
  • Eric Verbeek

Research Documentation

http://www.stern.nyu.edu/globalmacro/ which contains a link to an Economist article to get us started: Analysis: The Economist, Sep 06, 2005 The perfect storm.


http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/The_Future_of_the_Global_Village_in_2020 which contains a scenario of last years students.

http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html is the homepage of the National Intelligence Councel. Mapping the Global future is a useful report.

Research Questions

Note to group: please add your research questions below.

ECONOMY

  • Which countries drive the asian economy?
  • Are the economies in terms of GDP increasing, and how rapidly?
  • What are the trade balances of the major economies in asia, for example China and India?
  • Which countries drive the african econmy?
  • Are the economies increasing in terms of GDP, and how rapidly?
  • What are the trade balances of some of the important economies in africa?
  • Which countries drive the south and middle america econmy?
  • Are the economies in south and middle america increasing in terms of GDP, and how rapidly?
  • What are the trade balances of some of the important economies in south and middle america?
  • What is GDP in the USA , and what is the increase factor?
  • What is the trade balance in the USA, and how is this balanced?
  • Which countries drive the European economies (including Russia)?
  • What is the GDP of the European countries, and what is the increase factor?
  • What is the trade balance of these European countries?
  • What are the resource constraints of the future economy?
  • What are the resource constraints of China, India, US, Europe, South America, and Africa?
  • What is the strenght of the American Dollar compared to the Euro, Yen, Guan,...? Is it declining of increasing in the past 10 years?

Politics

  • What will be the role of the Central Banks (ECB, FED)to the economy?
  • What will the effect be of terrorism on the economy?

Society

  • What are the effects of the greying population in Europe to the economy?

Technology and business

  • What are the effects of off shoring production work?
  • What is the growth rate of E-commerce in the world?
  • How long does it take the OPEC countries to double their refinery capacity?