Energy crisis in Asia

Description:

While economic growth in China has certainly contributed to world economy there have also been problems as the result of the growth. One of the most serious problems is a shortage of energy. The power shortage will continue into the future due to China's economic growth, which is being fueled by the infrastructure and manufacturing industries. Consumption of electricity and oil for automobiles is rapidly increasing in China because of industrialization and an increase of automobiles. In spite of the rapid industrialization the supply of electricity was limited in 26 provinces in China in 2004.

An energy crisis slows down chinese economy which can result in slowing of the world economy. The 2008 energy crisis in China damaged power infrastructure resultingin further energy shortfalls in the manufacturing hub of Guangdong. - Higher price of energy (oil, natural gas, uranium, etc)

- Higher tension on territorial dispute among Asian countries to secure potential oil region (South China Sea, northern territories between Japan and Russia), etc - Bad effect on supply of goods from China to the world

Enablers:

Extreme cold temperatures
Market manipulation
Industrial actions
Disasters
Instability in key producing regions
Clash of Asian countries over territorial disputes of potential energy sources
Failure of regulation on energy consumption and then sudden energy crisis in China
Failure of development of alternative energy

Inhibitors:

Energy conservation
Development of new and larger power plants
Development of new energy sources
Amicable solution on the potential oil region in the South China Sea and then development of the area
Successful governmental regulation for rapid growth of energy consumption in China
Hybrid or fuel-cell cars in China, U.S, and other countries
Amicable solution in Middle East
Securing coal and natural gas supplies with long term contracts

Paradigms:

The energy crisis have changed the way the world sees China's rapid growth. China's reliance on coal fired power plants it quickly moving them up the list of carbon emissions putting question marks above the way developing eceonomies generate their power.
A longer term energy crisis in China would stifle the economic growth and drive up energy commodity prices. This would impact the world and focus national interests either on the development of new sources of energy or on the securing of natural resources.

Timing:

'90s Chinese government revised its policy on self-sufficiency of energy because of the rapid increase of energy consumption in China
'93 China became a net importer of oil
'94 U.S and North Korea agree on KEDO
'01 China and Russia agree on an oil pipeline construction
'03 U.S, Japan and South Korea agree to freeze KEDO program
'05 China (CNPC) takes over Kazakhstan's oil company
'05 China secures oil rights in Iran, Kazakhstan, Iraq, Sudan, Venezuela
'05 China experiences severe energy shortgaes
'08 China again experiences severe energy shortgaes resulting in damage to power networks