The Future of TV
Description:
TV is not a new thing to most of the people now. But with the development and prevalence of computer and Internet, whether TV will still exist and benefits people or it will gradually disappear comes into discussion. In my opinion, TV will keep on playing an important role at least in the future 15 years. It is the driving force that drives the development of "Global Village".
Enablers:
- The market for home-based TV is over twice as large as that of home-based computing (Kerckhove, D.)
- Unlike computers, TV is undeniably "user-friendly".
1）The largest TV screen is 102 inch while the largest computer screen is only about 30 inch.
- The largest TV (1)
- The largest TV (2)
- Apple 30-inch Cinema Display (1)
- Apple 30-inch Cinema Display (2)
2）The video image displayed in RM or VCD format is not so good as TV.
- Not all the districts in the world have Internet. Because set Internet needs modems,telephone or ADSL lines, but TV's network has been built more widely. (The coverage density of TV in China has been over 90% while the world's highest broadband connection rate in Korea is about 20% of its population)
- The average price of TV is cheaper than computer and it is still getting cheaper and cheaper.
- Emerging Web-TV concept. For example, CWTV offers the first worldwide Web-TV media platform. It broke throught the limit of time, space and language and provides wonderful TV programs in 24 hours everyday.
Inhibitors:
- With the rapid development of computer science and technology, the cost is lower and the capability is better.
- Internet extends all over the world that it is wider than TV network.
- Intelligent computer is developing.
- The change of people's life style. The speed of people's life is faster than ever before, they don't have time to sit in front of the TV to wait for certain program.
- The information given by TV is possitive, while more and more people prefer to get information actively.
Paradigms:
There has been enormous concern about the consequences of human population growth for the environment and for social and economic development. But this growth is likely to come to an end in the foreseeable future.
Experts:
United Nations US Department of Health and Human Services
Timing:
Improving on earlier methods of probabilistic forecasting, here we show that there is around an 85 per cent chance that the world's population will stop growing before the end of the century. There is a 60 per cent probability that the world's population will not exceed 10 billion people before 2100, and around a 15 per cent probability that the world's population at the end of the century will be lower than it is today. For different regions, the date and size of the peak population will vary considerably.