Evolution of how we come up with the scenarios?
For each scenario, we elaborate it in these 6 main driving forces point of view. We only choose the applicable ones.
1)Legacy system
Extremes:
a)No rights, everyone can copy
b)Everything is copyrighted
2)Open standard
Extremes:
a)All open and free
b)Open but expensive (niche market)
3)Sharing information
Extremes:
a)Everything will be shared (legal/illegal, quality/ not)
b)Nobody is willing to share
4)Demand for privacy
Extremes:
a)Demand is the same everywhere
b)Contradicting, fluctuating demands
5)State of technology
Extremes:
a)Advancing technology (continuously)
b)Non advancing technology
6)Revenues generation
Extremes:
a)Very expensive, everything private properties (Facts get patented)
b)Cheap information, so cheap that it loses value, no incentives of using it or adding value to it
Scenarios outline
Scenario 1 :Every facts become patented
a. Assume that now it is totally globalize now (globally accepted, societal issue)
b. Everyone can read but not modifiable
c. Increasing piracy
d. Role of technology : From 1960 , due to piracy, money lost. Check out the amount from the link. Now, the technology has advances (s/w to downloads freely available) so resulting in increasing piracy. Is the tech advanced enough to support the fact that everything is patented? Support the patent rule – Can you secure your stuff with the available technology?
e. Money making business ( profitable since all information can be sold)
f. Niche market ( people who has the information can make money)
g. No Cooperation/coordination
h. Linux will be patented?
i. Has to think both adv/dis
j. Describe the difference between patent – reading rights/writing rights
k. What can be patented and to what degrees it can be patented?
l. Less redundancy since once it has been patented, 2 ppl cannot patent the same thing
m. Open standards (open source/open content) Contradicting to the second scenario. They advocate non-patented issues
n. Stakeholders : government, vendors/businesses, customers, developers o.Disadvantage: Discourages people to get information from the internet because they have to pay for it. More use of books or other stuff
Scenario 2:Nothing is patented
a. Assume that now it is totally globalize now (globally accepted, societal issue)
b. More people will use the information from the internet
c. The network will be too busy, because the web is the main place to share information and thus higher bandwidth is needed and increase in technology to support the high usage of the internet
d. Everything will be open standards (open source/open content).
e. Role of technology
f. Government should have a role in controlling the information. They should set laws for cyber crime
g. Stakeholders : government, vendors/businesses, customers, developers
h. If everyone can add/edit, no guarantee of quality
i. Lose of value of information since nothing is patented, no one can be sure about the information and thus result in lose of the value
j. Increasing in knowledge sharing
k. Increase the rework – redundancy
l. Accountability can’t be track
m. State of technology
n. Unreliable information/misleading information. Consequences , increase in criminality
Scenario 3: IP will become customized
a. A general story: IP now is globalize but there is contradicting demand for privacy. Some demand more privacy some less. We can look at this problem on individual level for example in companies
b. For individuals/countries, ethical (culture, privacy, sex, religion, norms, gender) issues will arise. In Arabic countries, we can describe sensitive issues. Not possible to globalize sensitive issues. In china, we can find Chinese depression
c. For companies and multinationals will want to keep their competitive advantage so IP also become a problem to them as well.
d. Increasing lawsuits because the countries have different laws for IP, so maybe in 1 country it is allowed to copy but another country it is not allowed.
e. Contradicting willingness to share
f. Emerging a business where brokers will determine whether it is legal to do or not since all countries have different laws. Legal issues play a very important role in this scenario. Business of brokers arise where they will know/decide all the laws/legals of all countries
g. Role of technology : Does it support
h. All negatives of globalize IP ( mention all disadvantages of the current state of globalize IP)
i. Stakeholders : government, vendors/businesses, customers, developers, brokers
j. In conclusion : IP will be customized in the future