Scenario Quality Ranking
Group 1
Hi Mates,
I would suggest we individually write some comments to previous scenarios and discuss by using wiki. Then, if necessary, we can plan to get together in school... What do you think??? Regards, Katsushi
<Rank High> Internet Commerce: free internet service provision 2003 (1996)
Clear explanation in Trend and Matrix makes Scenario convincing.
<Rank Middle>
Health:
health in 2010 (1996)
Interesting contents.But relationship between driving forces and scenarios is vague to me...
<Rank Low>
Telecommunications:
telcoms 2003 (1996)
The axis for scenarios seems unreflected...
Group 2
BEST
Human Relationships in 2015
Reasons: Original, easy to understand, linkage between elements
Telecommunications in 2015
Reasons: Well-researched, detailed, in places uncany in predicting future. Signposts were good. Crowded waters scenario especially strong.
Leisure in 2010 Distance Education in 2010
Reasons: Easy to read, nice framework, it goes to the point
Branding in 2005 Workspace in 2010 Food Retailing in 2006
Reasons: Focused on Alberthein in Netherlands too narrow, Difficult to read, Not very revolutionary ideas
Electronic Cash in 2010 Telecommunications in 2003
Reasons: Not well thought out. Unclear. Basic assumptions left unstated. Research was very poor. Scenarios not believable--actors did things that were illogical given the scenario laid out.
Internet in 2005
Reasons: Unoriginal, not forward looking enough, no linkage between elements, badly organized
WORST
Group 3
Group 4 - "Group For Waikiki"
Spencer Rosen
1) Interpersonal Communication: 23 out of 40
2) Free Internet Service Provision 2003 (1996): 20 out of 40
Claudie Chaumette 3) Relationships 2020 (1997): 29 out of 40 4) Health in 2010 (1996): 15 out of 40
Lucia Nedelcu 5) Distance Education 2011 (1996): 36 out of 40 6) Internet Banking: 18 out of 40
Eser Torun 7) Crime 2015 (1997): 25 out of 40 8) Branding 2005 (1999): 19 out of 40
Mari Smith 9) Genetic Revolution 10) Leisure 2010 (1999)
Group 5
Group 6