Scenario Quality Ranking

Group 1
Hi Mates, I would suggest we individually write some comments to previous scenarios and discuss by using wiki. Then, if necessary, we can plan to get together in school... What do you think??? Regards, Katsushi

<Rank High> Internet Commerce: free internet service provision 2003 (1996)

Clear explanation in Trend and Matrix makes Scenario convincing.

<Rank Middle> Health: health in 2010 (1996)

Interesting contents.But relationship between driving forces and scenarios is vague to me...

<Rank Low> Telecommunications: telcoms 2003 (1996)

The axis for scenarios seems unreflected...

Group 2
BEST Human Relationships in 2015

   Reasons: Original, easy to understand, linkage between elements

Telecommunications in 2015

   Reasons: Well-researched, detailed, in places uncany in predicting future.  Signposts were good.  Crowded waters scenario especially strong.

Leisure in 2010 Distance Education in 2010

   Reasons: Easy to read, nice framework, it goes to the point

Branding in 2005 Workspace in 2010 Food Retailing in 2006

   Reasons: Focused on Alberthein in Netherlands too narrow, Difficult to read, Not very revolutionary ideas

Electronic Cash in 2010 Telecommunications in 2003

   Reasons: Not well thought out.  Unclear.  Basic assumptions left unstated.  Research was very poor.  Scenarios not believable--actors did things that were illogical given the scenario laid out.

Internet in 2005

   Reasons: Unoriginal, not forward looking enough, no linkage between elements, badly organized

WORST

Group 3

Group 4

Group 5

Group 6