Difference between revisions of "Road map to Communication 2015"
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Based on the research questions, the driving forces, and the enablers and inhibitors to the driving forces the following systems diagram was created.<br> | Based on the research questions, the driving forces, and the enablers and inhibitors to the driving forces the following systems diagram was created.<br> | ||
[[Image: | [[Image:System_diagram_communication_2015.jpg]] | ||
==Key Certainties and Uncertainties== | ==Key Certainties and Uncertainties== | ||
Revision as of 10:19, 17 December 2005
Research questions
Research question - communication 2015
Driving Forces
Increasing Fear of Sabotage on internet
Increase the connectivity between human and media
Convergence of all media to IP network
Governmental Control of the Internet
The Increase in the speed of internet connection
The Increase in ubiquity of the internet
Improvement Nano/Biotechnology
Increased used of MSN and other instant messaging tools
Systems diagram
Based on the research questions, the driving forces, and the enablers and inhibitors to the driving forces the following systems diagram was created.
Key Certainties and Uncertainties
From the systems diagram and the links between the various elements of the system the following set of key certainties and key uncertainties was derived. Taking into account are also the strength of the links and the number of links between the various elements. Grouping certain elements on a higher aggregate level gave us a better overview and understanding to the (un)certainties:
Relative certainties
- Increase of ubiquity/availability/speed of internet
-
Globalization: increasing interdependancy among people/countries and flow of information/goods/people
- Different media will converge to one infrastructure (IP Network) which means that cost of communication will decrease
- Improvement in nano/biotechnology will happen
Key uncertainties
- The extent to which one lives its life on line (This is going to redefine all elements in the systems diagram that relate to family/human relations)
- Are new boundaries going to be raised to prevent globalisation, are we moving towards a global village or to new nationalism (new protectionism and governmental control) or will there be a building of "closed communities"?
- Speed of convergence is not clear, level of adoption of new technologies is unclear and there may be difficulties in managing the flow of information
- Increased connectivity human/media will lead to all kinds of issues such as privacy and genetic issues
Research Documentation
Pause or Play? The Future of Interactive Services for TV Accenture white paper
Path to Profitability: How Cable Companies can Achieve Attractive Returns on iTV Servicesanother Accenture white paper
Freeband Communication is a Dutch national research program aiming to create a leading knowledge position for the Netherlands in the area of ambient, intelligent communication. Link to Freeband
Personal Networking Pilot 2008
link to: PNP 2008