Difference between revisions of "Scenario Thinking Portal"
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The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario thinking and the future in general. You are invited to use the links provided by others. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well.<br> The idea is to accompany the links by a short | The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario thinking and the future in general. You are invited to use the links provided by others. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well. <br> The idea is to accompany the links by a short description of the site.<br><br> | ||
==Resource Pages== | ==Resource Pages== | ||
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====Plausible Futures==== | ====Plausible Futures==== | ||
[http://www.plausiblefutures.com Page] with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. All links with a short description of its contents, divided by subsections. There is also a section on scenario's.<br> | [http://www.plausiblefutures.com Page] with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. All links with a short description of its contents, divided by subsections. There is also a section on scenario's. <br> | ||
[[Comments on 'Plausible Futures']] | [[Comments on 'Plausible Futures']] | ||
====FreePint==== | ====FreePint==== | ||
[http://www.freepint.com/issues/170403.pdf?PHPSESSID=a2ae001192110d46d9b54367b2e68b48 In this newsletter] there is an | [http://www.freepint.com/issues/170403.pdf?PHPSESSID=a2ae001192110d46d9b54367b2e68b48 In this newsletter] there is an article on Scenario Planning by Arthur Weiss (on page 8 of the PDF). It also links to examples and an article about scenario planning. | ||
====Predicting | ====Predicting Terrorism==== | ||
[http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A55607-2001Oct1?language=printer | [http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A55607-2001Oct1?language=printer Article] on the failure to predict the way terrorists would target the US. | ||
====Internet evolution==== | ====Internet evolution==== | ||
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====World Economic Forum==== | ====World Economic Forum==== | ||
The [http://www.weforum.org World Economic Forum] is an | The [http://www.weforum.org World Economic Forum] is an independent foundation, with representatives from many leading companies, aiming at cooperation between businesses to address global social issues like poverty. Working from the point of view that major social issues need to be addressed by working together on a global scale, and that the private sector has a responsibility to play an important role in this. | ||
Looking ahead, anticipating the future is an | Looking ahead, anticipating the future is an important tool for this organisation. | ||
====European Round Table of industrialists==== | ====European Round Table of industrialists==== | ||
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====Oil Depletion Analysis Centre==== | ====Oil Depletion Analysis Centre==== | ||
The [http://www.odac-info.org ODAC] is an independent, educational charity working to raise international public awareness and promote better understanding of the world's oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, | The [http://www.odac-info.org ODAC] is an independent, educational charity working to raise international public awareness and promote better understanding of the world's oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links on the topic. | ||
====Peak Oil==== | ====Peak Oil==== | ||
[http://www.mbendi.com/indy/oilg/p0070.htm#27 Scenario] on peak-oil, the theory that the decline in | [http://www.mbendi.com/indy/oilg/p0070.htm#27 Scenario] on peak-oil, the theory that the decline in oil production that is a result of limited resources will generate a long term recession. We have no choice but to adapt. Site by MBendi, an African information site. | ||
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''This section contains links to political sites that are of interest for scenario thinking.'' | ''This section contains links to political sites that are of interest for scenario thinking.'' | ||
====Project for the New | ====Project for the New American Century==== | ||
[http://www.pnac.info/ Page] by | [http://www.pnac.info/ Page] by conservative Americans who are 'concerned with the decline in the strength of America’s defences, and in the problems this would create for the exercise of American leadership around the globe and, ultimately, for the preservation of peace.'<br> | ||
And [http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,3604,1036571,00.html here] you will find a comment on this movement by the | And [http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,3604,1036571,00.html here] you will find a comment on this movement by the British newspaper ''The Guardian'', linking the organisation to the last war in Iraq. | ||
====International Institute for Strategic Studies==== | ====International Institute for Strategic Studies==== | ||
[http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 IISS] is an independent | [http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 IISS] is an independent organisation for conflict studies. It's aim is to provide policy makers all over the world with 'the best possible objective information on military and political developments relevant tot the prospects, course and consequences of conflict having an important military dimension'. | ||
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==Science and Technology== | ==Science and Technology== | ||
''This section contains links to sites about | ''This section contains links to sites about scientific and technological development, that are of interest to scenario thinking.'' | ||
====Foresight Institute==== | ====Foresight Institute==== | ||
[http://www.foresight.org An institute] aiming at preparing the world for technology's to come. | [http://www.foresight.org An institute] aiming at preparing the world for technology's to come. Mainly focused on nanotechnology. | ||
====Institute of | ====Institute of Physics==== | ||
The [http://www.iop.org/ Institute of | The [http://www.iop.org/ Institute of Physics] is a promotional institute on the education and knowledge of pure and applied physics.<br> | ||
Site with information about a wide range of topics concerning | Site with information about a wide range of topics concerning physics. Many free online journals on different topics, including new technologies. | ||
====Information on Cold Fusion==== | ====Information on Cold Fusion==== | ||
[http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html Site] with many links to | [http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html Site] with many links to articles about cold fusion. Treating it as a serious scientific subject. Site and articles by Ludwik Kowalski from the Department of Mathematical Sciences at Montclair State University | ||
====Edge Foundation==== | ====Edge Foundation==== | ||
A [http://www.edge.org | A [http://www.edge.org think-tank site] for the worlds top scientists. Aimed at promoting 'inquiry into and discussion of intellectual, philosophical, artistic, and literary issues, as well as to work for the intellectual and social achievement of society.' | ||
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==Statistics== | ==Statistics== | ||
''This section contains links to | ''This section contains links to useful statistical data.'' | ||
<br> | <br> | ||
===Demographical Data=== | ===Demographical Data=== | ||
====UN Department of Economic and Social affairs==== | ====UN Department of Economic and Social affairs==== | ||
UN [http://www.un.org/esa/population/unpop.htm site] with lots of | UN [http://www.un.org/esa/population/unpop.htm site] with lots of useful demographical data, economical as well as social. Contains prospects of population, urbanisation and other demographical development as well. | ||
====Gender Stats==== | ====Gender Stats==== | ||
[http://devdata.worldbank.org/ Database of gender statistics] by the world bank. Contains statistics per | [http://devdata.worldbank.org/ Database of gender statistics] by the world bank. Contains statistics per region, theme and per country. | ||
====Interactive Map==== | ====Interactive Map==== | ||
Revision as of 14:41, 27 April 2005
The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario thinking and the future in general. You are invited to use the links provided by others. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well.
The idea is to accompany the links by a short description of the site.
Resource Pages
This section contains links to other scenario or future resource sites.
Which World?
Website with scenario's for the 21th century, including global trends and scenario's as well as regional.
Comments on 'Which World?'
Scenario planning
Page by Martin Börjesson, scenario thinker and strategist.
A one-page site about scenario planning, with links to information, articles, reports and more.
Comments on 'Scenario planning'
Plausible Futures
Page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. All links with a short description of its contents, divided by subsections. There is also a section on scenario's.
Comments on 'Plausible Futures'
FreePint
In this newsletter there is an article on Scenario Planning by Arthur Weiss (on page 8 of the PDF). It also links to examples and an article about scenario planning.
Predicting Terrorism
Article on the failure to predict the way terrorists would target the US.
Internet evolution
Website with reports that explore the impact of the Internet on families, communities, work and home, daily life, education, health care, and civic and political life. Site and articles by the Pew Internet & American Life Project.
Scenario Processes
This section contains links to example scenario processes.
The National Intelligence Council
The National Intelligence Council is a centre of strategic counselling within the US government, advising senior policy makers and the president.
This page contains some long term global trend scenario's on many different issues, based on intelligence information.
Shell scenario page
On this site you will find information on scenario planning by Shell. This includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones.
European Union scenario page
PDF file with an example of scenario planning within the European Commission
Business and Economy
This section contains links to resources about Business and Economy.
Global Business Network
The website of the Global Business Network gives us valuable information concerning the economy and future trends.
World Economic Forum
The World Economic Forum is an independent foundation, with representatives from many leading companies, aiming at cooperation between businesses to address global social issues like poverty. Working from the point of view that major social issues need to be addressed by working together on a global scale, and that the private sector has a responsibility to play an important role in this. Looking ahead, anticipating the future is an important tool for this organisation.
European Round Table of industrialists
ERT is a forum of around 45 European industrial leaders aiming at promoting the competitiveness and growth of Europe's economy.
Oil Shortage
Information on predicted oil shortage and its impact.
Oil Depletion Analysis Centre
The ODAC is an independent, educational charity working to raise international public awareness and promote better understanding of the world's oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links on the topic.
Peak Oil
Scenario on peak-oil, the theory that the decline in oil production that is a result of limited resources will generate a long term recession. We have no choice but to adapt. Site by MBendi, an African information site.
Politics
This section contains links to political sites that are of interest for scenario thinking.
Project for the New American Century
Page by conservative Americans who are 'concerned with the decline in the strength of America’s defences, and in the problems this would create for the exercise of American leadership around the globe and, ultimately, for the preservation of peace.'
And here you will find a comment on this movement by the British newspaper The Guardian, linking the organisation to the last war in Iraq.
International Institute for Strategic Studies
IISS is an independent organisation for conflict studies. It's aim is to provide policy makers all over the world with 'the best possible objective information on military and political developments relevant tot the prospects, course and consequences of conflict having an important military dimension'.
Science and Technology
This section contains links to sites about scientific and technological development, that are of interest to scenario thinking.
Foresight Institute
An institute aiming at preparing the world for technology's to come. Mainly focused on nanotechnology.
Institute of Physics
The Institute of Physics is a promotional institute on the education and knowledge of pure and applied physics.
Site with information about a wide range of topics concerning physics. Many free online journals on different topics, including new technologies.
Information on Cold Fusion
Site with many links to articles about cold fusion. Treating it as a serious scientific subject. Site and articles by Ludwik Kowalski from the Department of Mathematical Sciences at Montclair State University
Edge Foundation
A think-tank site for the worlds top scientists. Aimed at promoting 'inquiry into and discussion of intellectual, philosophical, artistic, and literary issues, as well as to work for the intellectual and social achievement of society.'
Statistics
This section contains links to useful statistical data.
Demographical Data
UN Department of Economic and Social affairs
UN site with lots of useful demographical data, economical as well as social. Contains prospects of population, urbanisation and other demographical development as well.
Gender Stats
Database of gender statistics by the world bank. Contains statistics per region, theme and per country.
Interactive Map
Map of Europe with different demographical data.
Economical Statistics
WTO Trade Statistics
Up-to-date trade statistics by the World Trade Organisation. Statistics on World trade as well as statistics per country. Current as well as past statistics.
IT Statistics
European IT statistics
Statistics relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).
Futurism
This section contains links to sites about and from futurists and their activities.
What is the difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning
Association of Professional Futurists
Page of a community of professional futurists.
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