Difference between revisions of "Increasing Risk of Labour Strikes in China"

From ScenarioThinking
Jump to navigation Jump to search
m (Strike in China moved to Increasing Risk of Labour Strikes in China: Name more accurately describes a driving force indicating direction and specificity)
Line 1: Line 1:
==Description:==
==Description:==
China is doing a fast growth with opening the door, extending international
As the chinese economy continues to grow and as China continues to open up to the outside world,
trade and cooperation, .<br> and introducing a foreign fund and advanced
there is an increased chance of labour strikes occuring within the country. The new information and  
technology. .<br>
technologies entering the country coupled with the increasing wealth dispersion will combine to
As China will grow like this speed, the Gap between the poor
increase social anxiety, which could lead to population strikes or even riots.
and rich is getting bigger. <br> It already reached a dangerous level, and can
trigger a social anxiety. <br>
Workers will go on a strike to improve their wage
and well-being.<br>
 


==Enablers:==
==Enablers:==
Extend organizations of unions.<br>
*'''Continued Economic Growth:''' will lead to an increase in the wealth difference between citizens
Learn advanced union cultures due to increasing investment by foreign
*'''Increased interaction with outside world:''' will lead to new ideas entering the society such as the labour cultures from the west
companies.<br>
*'''Increasing amounts of leisure time:''' People will have the time to start questioning the regime
 
*'''Increased privitization of industry:''' As more companies fall outside the direct control of the goverment, they are less likely to be as tightly controled by the communist party


==Inhibitors:==
==Inhibitors:==
Easily lay off workers, especially workers who can stir up a strike.<br>
*'''Strength of the central government:''' The government has a strong hold over the country and has a history of forcefully putting down any uprising.
Huge workforce to be supplemented from rural communities.<br>
*'''Increasing working age population:''' As the number of available workers increase it will be simple to replace un-ruly employeees


==Paradigms:==
==Paradigms:==
1) Adopted the policy of reform and opening to the outside world.<br>
Any move towards unionization could have major effects on China's industry. It could effect large social and health changes throghout the country.  
2) The country's per capita GDP has increased by five times.
Additionally, disruptions to production could cause the economic growth of the country to slow, further causing citizens to question the central governments authority.


==Experts:==
==Experts:==
Line 28: Line 23:
http://www.mof.gov.cn/english/english.htm
http://www.mof.gov.cn/english/english.htm
==Timing:==
==Timing:==
The 2008 Olympic Games in Beijing
 
==Web Resources:==
==Web Resources:==
htty://www.commondreams.org <br>
htty://www.commondreams.org <br>
Htty://www.washingtonpost.com <br>
Htty://www.washingtonpost.com <br>
==Revision History==
#
#Edited by Geoff Spielman on 15th September 2009

Revision as of 21:34, 15 September 2009

Description:

As the chinese economy continues to grow and as China continues to open up to the outside world, there is an increased chance of labour strikes occuring within the country. The new information and technologies entering the country coupled with the increasing wealth dispersion will combine to increase social anxiety, which could lead to population strikes or even riots.

Enablers:

  • Continued Economic Growth: will lead to an increase in the wealth difference between citizens
  • Increased interaction with outside world: will lead to new ideas entering the society such as the labour cultures from the west
  • Increasing amounts of leisure time: People will have the time to start questioning the regime
  • Increased privitization of industry: As more companies fall outside the direct control of the goverment, they are less likely to be as tightly controled by the communist party

Inhibitors:

  • Strength of the central government: The government has a strong hold over the country and has a history of forcefully putting down any uprising.
  • Increasing working age population: As the number of available workers increase it will be simple to replace un-ruly employeees

Paradigms:

Any move towards unionization could have major effects on China's industry. It could effect large social and health changes throghout the country. Additionally, disruptions to production could cause the economic growth of the country to slow, further causing citizens to question the central governments authority.

Experts:

http://www.mof.gov.cn/index.htm
http://www.mof.gov.cn/english/english.htm

Timing:

Web Resources:

htty://www.commondreams.org
Htty://www.washingtonpost.com

Revision History

  1. Edited by Geoff Spielman on 15th September 2009