Difference between revisions of "Ling-Chin Fan"
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=Learning Log:= | =Learning Log:= | ||
== 16th Aug == | == 16th Aug == | ||
1. The first step of scenario is to understand the business and the mindset of the organization. | 1. The first step of scenario is to understand the business and the mindset of the organization.<br> | ||
2. What is a good strategy: a good strategy should be fitted with any issue will be happened in the future. | 2. What is a good strategy: a good strategy should be fitted with any issue will be happened in the future.<br> | ||
3. Each scenario story should have equal possibility, otherwise, decision maker will only choose the only one scenario story with highest possibility. Which means the result becomes more like a simple forecast, rather than a orgainic strategy decision. | 3. Each scenario story should have equal possibility, otherwise, decision maker will only choose the only one scenario story with highest possibility. Which means the result becomes more like a simple forecast, rather than a orgainic strategy decision.<br> | ||
4. Scenario thinking is a process to install new or crazy ideas in managers or boards in an organization. | 4. Scenario thinking is a process to install new or crazy ideas in managers or boards in an organization.<br> | ||
5. | 5. | ||
Revision as of 06:39, 19 August 2010
Driving Forces:
3. Global oil demand and supply
4. Developing countires' commitments
Learning Log:
16th Aug
1. The first step of scenario is to understand the business and the mindset of the organization.
2. What is a good strategy: a good strategy should be fitted with any issue will be happened in the future.
3. Each scenario story should have equal possibility, otherwise, decision maker will only choose the only one scenario story with highest possibility. Which means the result becomes more like a simple forecast, rather than a orgainic strategy decision.
4. Scenario thinking is a process to install new or crazy ideas in managers or boards in an organization.
5.