Difference between revisions of "Road map to Communication 2015"
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== Research questions == | == Research questions == | ||
[[Research question - communication 2015]]<br> | [[Research question - communication 2015]]<br> | ||
== Systems diagram == | |||
Based on a first brainstorm session a prelimiary system diagram has been drawn | |||
[[Image:Initial_system_diagram_communication_2015.jpg]] | |||
further developed into this final picture<br> | |||
[[Image:System_diagram_communication_2015.jpg]] | |||
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[[Disappearance of "family"]] | [[Disappearance of "family"]] | ||
==Key Certainties and Uncertainties== | ==Key Certainties and Uncertainties== | ||
Revision as of 13:08, 17 December 2005
Research questions
Research question - communication 2015
Systems diagram
Based on a first brainstorm session a prelimiary system diagram has been drawn
further developed into this final picture
Driving Forces
Increasing Fear of Sabotage on internet
Increase the connectivity between human and media
Convergence of all media to IP network
Governmental Control of the Internet
The Increase in the speed of internet connection
The Increase in ubiquity of the internet
Improvement Nano/Biotechnology
Key Certainties and Uncertainties
From the systems diagram and the links between the various elements of the system the following set of key certainties and key uncertainties was derived. Taking into account are also the strength of the links and the number of links between the various elements. Grouping certain elements on a higher aggregate level gave us a better overview and understanding to the (un)certainties:
Relative certainties
- Increase of ubiquity/availability/speed of internet
-
Globalization: increasing interdependancy among people/countries and flow of information/goods/people
- Different media will converge to one infrastructure (IP Network) which means that cost of communication will decrease
- Improvement in nano/biotechnology will happen
Key uncertainties
- The extent to which one lives its life on line (This is going to redefine all elements in the systems diagram that relate to family/human relations)
- Are new boundaries going to be raised to prevent globalisation, are we moving towards a global village or to new nationalism (new protectionism and governmental control) or will there be a building of "closed communities"?
- Speed of convergence is not clear, level of adoption of new technologies is unclear and there may be difficulties in managing the flow of information
- Increased connectivity human/media will lead to all kinds of issues such as privacy and genetic issues
Research Documentation
The future technological development in internet
http://www.ieee802.org/11
http://www.intel.com/personal/do_more/wireless/wifi.htm
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/802.11
Pause or Play? The Future of Interactive Services for TV
Accenture white paper
Path to Profitability: How Cable Companies can Achieve Attractive Returns on iTV Services
another Accenture white paper
Internet: The fear of sabotage
NIC 2020 report :see pag 97
Governamental control on media and communication
ECHELON America's Secret Global Surveillance Network
Freeband Communication is a Dutch national research program aiming to create a leading knowledge position for the Netherlands in the area of ambient, intelligent communication.
Freeband
Personal Networking Pilot 2008
link to: PNP 2008
Identification in the virtual reality
Identity 2.0
Engines of Creation: The Coming Era of Nanotechnology
http://www.foresight.org/EOC/EOC_Chapter_5.html#section01of06
Foresight Institute: Preparing for Nanotechnology
http://www.foresight.org/
Nanotechnology by dr. Ralph Merkle
http://www.zyvex.com/nano/
About Nanotechnology
http://www.foresight.org/nano/index.html
To return to the home page of the Future of Communication clickThe_future_of_communication_in_2015