Difference between revisions of "India"
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= | = Expected Affects of Climate Change on India = | ||
== Agriculture == | |||
- Agriculture and rural society would face maximum disruptions. India would possibly need a second Green Revolution. Considering a range of equilibrium climate change scenarios which project a temperature rise of 2.5oC to 4.9oC for India, it is estimated that:<br> | |||
(a) without considering the carbon dioxide fertilization effects, yield losses for rice and wheat vary between 32-40% and 41-52%, respectively.<br> | |||
(b) GDP would drop by between 1.8 to 3.4%.<br> | |||
== Sea Level Rise == | |||
- Flooding of coastal areas and an estimated displacement of 10 million people living in Indian coasts<br> | |||
- About 35% of Bangladesh would be submerged with 1m rise in sea level causing many millions to seek refuge in India.<br> | |||
Mass migration within India & from Bangladesh/Srilanka towards Indian mainland would cause severe congestion which Indian cities are ill-equipped to manage.<br> | |||
== Other Effects == | |||
1. Climate change will exacerbate the existing inequalities in Indian society and economy. This could cause severe internal disruptions | |||
2. There is high risk of failure of densely populated, agriculturally dependent, under developed and politically unstable states of India due to disruptions caused by after effects of climate change | |||
3. Water scarcity are expected and an increased probability of disputes with neighbours China/Bangladesh/Pakistan. | |||
4. Public health would be drastically affected | |||
5. High but irregular frequency of natural phenomenon such as cyclones, floods, draughts are expected. | |||
==India's perspective on Copenhagen == | ==India's perspective on Copenhagen == | ||