Difference between revisions of "Ling-Chin Fan"

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=Rreseaerch:=
[http://www.scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Oil_Supply_and_Demand_Dynamics Oil Supply and Demand Dynamics]<br>
[http://www.scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Increasing_Commitment_from_China&action=edit&redlink=1 Increasing Commitment from China]<br>
[[OPEC]]<br>
[[China]]<br>
[[Japan]]


=Learning Log:=
== Session 1: 16th Aug ==
1. The first step of scenario is to understand the business and the mindset of the organization.<br>
2. What is a good strategy: a good strategy should be fitted with any issue will be happened in the future.<br>
3. Each scenario story should have equal possibility, otherwise, decision maker will only choose the only one scenario story with highest possibility. Which means the result becomes more like a simple forecast, rather than a orgainic strategy decision.<br>
4. Scenario thinking is a process to install new or crazy ideas in managers or boards in an organization.<br>
5. Make "out of scope" catagory to group each uncertainty.
6. Why the number matters: because the outcome can let us to think in an impossible way.

Revision as of 13:12, 31 August 2010

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