Shift to Alternative Energy Sources

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Inhibitors:

- Bad economy results in less money to spend on research on alternative energy.

- Public rejection of alternative energy source (nuclear energy).

- Finding many new rich oil- and gasoline areas.

- Technical barrier for developping new technology such as fuel cell, solar cell etc

- Security issues for using hydrogen

- High initail cost to buy fuel cell and solar cell system

- Insufficient Kyoto Teaty- The U.S didn't join

 The ecomomy of CO2 quota is less efficient

- Availability of a comprehensive, economy-wide energy plan to maintain growth of use
- Availability of an effective energy server or storage device

Paradigms:

Before, there was enough oil and gasoline for everyone. Now governments and oil and gasoline companies are breaking their minds on how to deal with the demand for energy in the future.

As everyone concerns for energy crisis, electronic companies started to develop the new technology to use alternative energy. Aternative energy source has been considered very expensive because people underevaluated invisible environmental cost caused by the use of current energy source. If governments keep strick policy for environmentalism, the cost of current resourecs will go up. Eventually people will realize the use of alternative resource is ecomomical.
Alternative energy sources are now in a position to compete with more established sources, even in the absence of government subsidies.

Timing:

In 2050 only a few countries are capable of exporting oil and natural gasoline. This means that long before the prices have gone up and the public will demand an alternative energy source.

In 2015 sufficient technical advance will be realized for energy equipments which use alternative energy sources
Shell, Exxon, etc..

- Kyoto Protocol will expire in 2012
- Copenhagen is the location of the next UN Climate Change Conference (December 7 to 18, 2009).
This purpose of this conference is to establish greenhouse gas targets for the post-Kyoto period.

http://www.global-vision.org/wssd/index.html

Oil depletion analysis centre

[1]

http://www.ifmo.de/

http://www.bmwgroup.com/bmwgroup_prod/e/0_0_www_bmwgroup_com/4_news/4_4_aktuelles_lexikon/pdf/3wasserstoff.pdf

http://www.fuelcellworld.org/article_default_list.fcm?section=1&subsite=1172

http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/2008.asp
http://unfccc.int/meetings/items/4749.php
http://www.reuters.com/article/GCA-GreenBusiness/idUSTRE58G4KE20090917?pageNumber=1&virtualBrandChannel=0
http://www.businessinsider.com/clean-energy-growing-says-report
http://wetenschap.infonu.nl/onderzoek/13322-alternatieve-energiebronnen.html