Difference between revisions of "A World of Polars"

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In this scenario, the world will develop into just several large unions but not hundreds of countries as nowadays. The European Union will keep growing from now on and will include all the european countries in the near future but finally become an integrated large country. That means there will be no England, German, France, Netherlands and so on. All of them will be just like states of a country called "European Union". At the same time, there will be also Asian Union, American Union, Afican Union, etc.  
In this scenario, the world is composed of several regions like EU. Within each region, the barries such as exchange rate or quota no longer exist between countries, in other words, it is a free trade region. People will share more in common than they do today due to plenty of communination in culture and economy. Several major languages will be more popular in one region. But there still will be barriers between different regions. We can say then that the region acts more like a single country today. It protects its memebers by greater economy power produced via combining nations tightly and speaking in one voice.  


Each union will have its own army and have just one political government and leader. Within the union, people communicate with each other much easier than nowadays because of the development of technology of media, Internet, transportation and so on. Each union has its own language and one single type of culture. As we know, even in one single country, different districts may have some differences in life style such as food, clothes, living, travelling, etc. But the mainstream is almost the same.  
National governments will not play as important roles as they do today in making decisions such as exchange rate. The reason is that the same currency in each single region excludes the problems with exchange rate. Due to the disappearance of exchange rate in a region, the influence of national goverments in the international finance market also decreases. However,
national governments will still hold power, although will decrease a little bit, in developing national cultures. In addition, national governments are going to control their own economy structure which largely affects their national economy. They also need to care about the envrionment of their own countries.


Companies in each union will do business with each other with better opportunity than with companies in other union such as lower taxes, cheaper transportation fee, shorter time, faster communication and so on. Each union protects its own economics and natural resources. So energy shortage maybe become one big problem to certain unions. Because the distribution of natural resources is not so balanced that make sure each union has all kinds of sufficient resources. Maybe one union has lots of water resources while another has much more abundant oil. So among different unions, the exchange or trade of these resources will become the most important business trade.
Development of technology will make communication more convinient. In a single region, people will not have to apply for visa when they plan to travel. Just buy a ticket and all is done. So it is more like tavelling in a villiage. Besides, the  Internet will be even more popular and powerful. With the help of advanced Internet, people in one region will share more in common, such as languages. The TV program will be more regional shared by countries in one region. But for different regions they have different Internet standards. This is becuase more and more affects Internet will have on regional economy, the region wants to control its own security. The region wants to make their own decision on the development of Internet.


Internet will develop into larger network within each union. The speed of such network will be faster but the different standands of interfaces between different unions will become the barrier of the cheap and fast communication through Internet. The TV will develop into two main categories, one is union and the other is global. The former one will take the major part and provide more information within the union and the latter just opens a vision for the people what is happening in other unions.
Transnational enterprises will focus more in one region not one country for the international finace which supply capital for them deals mainly with regional economy not a single country. As a result of the regionalized world, international finance organizations such as IMF will handle problems among regions. They will make policy to influence the international finance
market taking into acount the region policy. Further more, the international investment within one region will grow dramatically for there is going to be no barrirs like exhange rate and qutoes. Development in IT will also help decrease the cost of informatin which is good news for both international investment and international trade. International trade will go up for the development of technology in transportation makes it faster.
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<center>[[Image:A_world_of_polars.JPG|thumb|Scenario 3: A world of polars]]</center>
 
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Latest revision as of 21:30, 30 March 2005

In this scenario, the world is composed of several regions like EU. Within each region, the barries such as exchange rate or quota no longer exist between countries, in other words, it is a free trade region. People will share more in common than they do today due to plenty of communination in culture and economy. Several major languages will be more popular in one region. But there still will be barriers between different regions. We can say then that the region acts more like a single country today. It protects its memebers by greater economy power produced via combining nations tightly and speaking in one voice.

National governments will not play as important roles as they do today in making decisions such as exchange rate. The reason is that the same currency in each single region excludes the problems with exchange rate. Due to the disappearance of exchange rate in a region, the influence of national goverments in the international finance market also decreases. However, national governments will still hold power, although will decrease a little bit, in developing national cultures. In addition, national governments are going to control their own economy structure which largely affects their national economy. They also need to care about the envrionment of their own countries.

Development of technology will make communication more convinient. In a single region, people will not have to apply for visa when they plan to travel. Just buy a ticket and all is done. So it is more like tavelling in a villiage. Besides, the Internet will be even more popular and powerful. With the help of advanced Internet, people in one region will share more in common, such as languages. The TV program will be more regional shared by countries in one region. But for different regions they have different Internet standards. This is becuase more and more affects Internet will have on regional economy, the region wants to control its own security. The region wants to make their own decision on the development of Internet.

Transnational enterprises will focus more in one region not one country for the international finace which supply capital for them deals mainly with regional economy not a single country. As a result of the regionalized world, international finance organizations such as IMF will handle problems among regions. They will make policy to influence the international finance market taking into acount the region policy. Further more, the international investment within one region will grow dramatically for there is going to be no barrirs like exhange rate and qutoes. Development in IT will also help decrease the cost of informatin which is good news for both international investment and international trade. International trade will go up for the development of technology in transportation makes it faster.

Scenario 3: A world of polars



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