Difference between revisions of "Future of Workspace"

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==Team composition==
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*[[Arjan Hannink]]
*[[Jasper Odijk]]
*[[Ron Sneijers]]
*[[Sander van den Belt]]
*[[Wojtek Chowanski]]
 
==Introduction==
How will the business workspace look in the next ten years.
 
 
Hopefully like this <br>
http://download.sneijers.net/hawaii.jpg
 
===Scope===
To be filled in
 
===Current landscape===
 
How mobile is the European workforce? The following facts and figures give a general overview of current situation in the EU labour market.
 
*[[Job-to-job mobility]]
*[[Geographical mobility]]
*[[Cross-border workers]]
*[[Foreign language learning]]
*[[Skills & labour shortages]]
*[[Free movement and enlargement of the EU]]
 
Source: http://europa.eu.int/comm/employment_social/workersmobility2006/fact_figures_en.htm
 
==Research dimensions==
1. Technological<br>
2. Political and Legal<br>
3. Enviromental<br>
4. Economical<br>
5. Social <br>
 
==Driving Forces==
+++Please Order all new driving forces alphabetical+++
 
'''Guys, to avoid duplicate driving forces you also have to link your driving force at this [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Driving_Forces page ] '''
 
===Technological===
*[[High Speed Train Network (HSL)]]
*[[Network Bandwidth]]
*[[Pay-as-you-drive]]
*[[Technological convergence]]
*[[The increase of digital developing functions in a mobile phone]]
*[[Virtual Communication]]
*[[Virtual Communities]]
*[[WiBro]]
*[[WiMAX]]
 
===Political and Legal===
*[[European integration]]
*[[European Labour Market]]
*[[World Unification]]
 
===Enviromental===
*[[Global Warming]]
*[[Global Dimming]]
*[[Green Buildings]]
*[[Green transporation mediums]]
*[[Pollution]]
*[[Public meeting spaces]]
*[[Traffic Congestion]]
 
===Economical===
*[[Business in Society]]
*[[High Speed Train Network (HSL)]]
*[[Iranian Oil Bourse]]
*[[Pay-as-you-drive]]
*[[Traffic Congestion]]
 
===Social===
*[[Aging Europe]]
*[[Business in Society]]
*[[Emergence of new Technology Related Diseases]]
*[[immigration]]
*[[Increasing Mobility]]
*[[Mobile workplace]]
*[[People's need for communication and information]]
*[[Power of Information-anywhere, everywhere]]
*[[The Globalization of Culture (or Cultural Globalization)]]
*[[The Language Barrier]]
*[[Urbanization and Social Status]]
 
<br><br>
 
==Research questions==
===Technological===
*[[What's the most promising emerging technology to support virtual communication and doing business?]]
*[[How will the future workscape be equiped? Which devices will be used?]]
*[[What kind of technological infrastructure is needed to support the future workspace?]]
*[[What role will security play in the future workspace?]]
* <br><br>
 
===Political and Legal===
*[[What are the effects of unequal minimum wages between European countries on the workspace?]]
*[[How can you find harmony between European countries on regulations and legislation concerning the workspace with respect to country's sovereignty?]]
*[[What’s the role of the European Union on the workspace? How can they support it and how can they thwart it?]]
*[[How will political/international relations affect the future workspace?]]
*[[What sorts of initiatives are being carried out by other governmental institutions around the world?]]
*[[Legal and regulatory constraints on the application and implementation of a future workspace]]
 
===Enviromental===
*[[How will enviromental legislature affect the bottom line of our company?]]<br>
*[[How will Kyoto protocol affect operating costs of an office building?]]<br>
*[[What future enviromental protection legislature will have an affect on transporation to/from our place of work?]] <br>
*[[How will alternative sources of energy affect the way we work?]]<br>
*[[What are the most serious affects of our workspace on the environment?]]
 
===Economical===
*[[What will the general European economical developments most likely be within the coming decade?]]
*[[How will the general European economical development affect the future of the workspace?]]
*[[How will the future workspace contribute to the economical direction and position of Europe?]]<br>
 
===Social===
*[[How could religion affect possible implications in a future workspace?]]<br>
*[[Will there be a standard language in a multi-cultural company?]]<br>
*[[How does the future workspace influence the client/colleque relationship?]]<br>
*[[How will a future workspace change the organisational hierarchy?]]<br>
*[[How do you control and manage employees when you can work anywhere anytime?]]<br>
*[[How will a future workspace affect the training process?]]
*How will a future workspace affect knowledge sharing within the corporation and within the entire supply chain of companies?
*How will immigration and people with other cultural backgrounds affect the future workspace?<br><br>
 
==Predetermined and critical uncertainties==
 
==Framework / System diagrams==
 
===Assumptions===
 
==Scenarios==
 
===Scenario 1 Assumptions===
 
* Improving mobility of workforce
* Less flexible state of organizations
* Standardized state of mobile technology
* Dissolving state of the EU
* More flexible state of society
* Low liberation of labor laws
* Declining state of economy
* Stable state of environment
====People are ready, business / Europe is not====
 
* People are ready for a change as the society is more flexible, and the the state of the economy continues to slip.
* EU governments are bogged down by politicians who are out for intrests of their particular country due to the dissolving state of the EU.
* Businesses are hesitant to innovate and invest as legislation is stuck in first gear due to the low liberalization of labor laws.
* Low economic growth is seen across the board.
* Nationalistic governments limit foreign investment.
* Large multinationals struggle as fierce competition from smaller rivals increases.  Unable to draw up more competetive contracts with unions, small adaptive enterpreneurships flourish.
* Massive layoffs at Phillips, Daimler Benz and SAP.
* Galileo space program falls apart as control cannot be agreed upon.  Germany wants to retain majority share and increase control in the program, and causes EU countries to withdraw their contributions.
* Britain exits from the EU.  Transfer payments and unfair portions of agricultular subsidies are paid out of Britains expense.  Britain expends ties with America.
 
===Scenario 2 Assumptions===
 
* Stable mobility of workforce
* Traditional state of organizations
* Proprietary standards of mobile technology
* More integrated state of the EU
* Traditional state of society
* High liberation of labor laws
* Growth state of economy
* Improving state of environment
 
====Europe ready and flexible, businesses and people are not====
 
* Europe flourishes due to the competative work environment.
* Margers and acquisitions as companies wish to impose their technology standard on the industry.
* Oracle purchases SAP.
* Foreign investment is at an all time high as the EU economy grows.
* Fight for greater share of the marketplace decreases prices.
* Russia joins the European union as high liberization of the job marketproduces more jobs.
 
 
===Scenario 3 Assumptions===
 
* Deteriorating mobility of workforce
* Traditional state of organizations
* Standardized state of mobile technology
* Stable state of the EU
* Traditional state of society
* Slack state of labor laws
* Stabilization of economy
* Deteriorating environment
 
==Technology is ready, but Europe, businesses and people are hesitant==
 
==Strategic Roadmap==
 
==References==
===Articles===
*[http://europa.eu.int/information_society/activities/atwork/_documents/3rdwave_prove.pdf 3rd wave of Internet and collaborative working environments] (PDF)
*[http://www.emergingcommunication.com/ Ambient Intelligence: The evolution of technology, communication and cognition towards the future of human-computer interaction]
*[http://europa.eu.int/information_society/activities/atwork/work_paradigms/experts_group/documents/experts_group_scenarios.pdf Application Scenarios for  Next Generation Collaborative Working Environments 2005 - 2010] (PDF)
*[http://europa.eu.int/information_society/activities/atwork/hot_news/publications/documents/collabwork2005.pdf Collaboration@Work Report 2005] (PDF)
*[http://europa.eu.int/information_society/activities/atwork/_documents/collaborative_solutions_seem.pdf Collaborative Solutions in the Single European Electronic Market (SEEM). Strategy vision and Research challenges.] (PDF)
*[http://europa.eu.int/information_society/activities/atwork/hot_news/publications/documents/legal_and_regulatory_constraints.pdf Legal and regulatory constraints on the application and implementation of IST research results that may affect their impact on knowledge society development through new working environments ] (PDF)
*[http://europa.eu.int/information_society/activities/atwork/work_paradigms/experts_group/documents/next_generation_collab_environments_report.pdf Report on Next Generation Collaborative Working Environments 2005 - 2010]
*[http://europa.eu.int/information_society/activities/atwork/hot_news/publications/documents/ami_chapterfinal.pdf Section IV: Ambient Intelligence In Practice: Future Perspectives And Applications; Chapter 13 : "AMI-endowed Collaboration@Work] (PDF)
*[http://europa.eu.int/information_society/activities/atwork/marie_curie/docs/marie_curie_report_final_web.pdf Successfully crossing frontiers in IT - working in research. Information Society Marie Curie Industry Host Fellowships and Training Accompanying Measures.] (PDF)
 
===Books===
*[http://eu.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0470844914,descCd-tableOfContents.html The Sixth Sense: Accelerating Organizational Learning with Scenarios (ISBN: 0-470-84491-4)]
 
===Websites===
*[http://www.economist.com/sponsor/forwardthinking/ Aviva Forward Thinking - The economist]
*[http://europa.eu.int/comm/employment_social/workersmobility2006/index_en.htm EU - Towards a european labour market]
*[http://www.gbn.com/ArticleDisplayServlet.srv?aid=32655 Global Business Network Documents]
*[http://www.pwc.com/Extweb/service.nsf/docid/CDAD20E8E70CAF7E80256FBE005F0106 PWC - International mobility insight]
*[[Scenario Thinking Portal]]
 
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Latest revision as of 20:08, 10 March 2010

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