Increase of international conflicts against muslims

Description:

International conflict behaviour is caused by: opposing interests and capabilities (or specific sociocultural differences and similarities between parties), contact and salience (awareness), significant change in the balance of powers, individual perceptions and expectations, a disrupted structure of expectations and a will to conflict (www.hawaii.du/pwerkills). REcent international conflicts between Western and Muslim societies appear to result from a combination of these factors, most specifically from opposing interests and potential changes in the balance of powers - going forward, these drivers appear to remain largely intact which should thus likely result in a continuation or even increase in international conflicts of Western countreis against muslim nations.

Enablers:

• cognitive imbalance
  
• status difference
  
• coercive state pwer
  
• sociocultural differences
  

Inhibitors:

o The evolution of the current parliamentary democracy. Will the Dutch parliament be able to let loose, or will it intervene as it does now.
o The convergence of European health care market systems. Will the EU formulate a policy on health care market systems? So far, the EU has only intervened in food security, labor market and border crossing health care consumption.

Paradigms:

The fundamental shift in thinking is the transformation from a regulated system, like in most other European countries to a much more market oriented system in which government has much less control and market forces will drive development.

Experts:

Ministry of health (www.minvws.nl), College Bouw (www.cbz.nl), ZAio (www.ctg-zaio.nl)

Timing:

Start new insurance system (zorgverzekeringswet) 1-1-2006
Start new hospital financing system (DBC’s) 1-1-2005, finish 1-1-2008
Start liberalization construction of hospitals (WTZi) 1-1-2006, finish 2012

Web Resources:

www.minvwsnl
www.zorgaanzet.nl
www.cbz.nl
www.ctg-zaio.nl