Difference between revisions of "Decline in Ethnic Integration in The Netherlands"
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==Description:== | ==Description:== | ||
1.1 The % of non-Western allochtones as part of the Dutch population is forecast to increase from 10.4% (2004) to 16.6% in 2050 | |||
1.2 This allochtone growth has historically been concentrated in Big4 cities: the % of allochtones in these cities increased from 36% (1995) to 43% (2004) | |||
1.3 Within Big4 cities, concentration and segregation of non-Western allochtone neighbourhoods has increased | |||
1.4 Consequently and if this pattern continues, the anticipated growth in % of non-Western allochtones can be expected to result in growing concentration and segregation in the Big4 cities. We conclude that this will thus result in a decline in ethnic integration. | |||
Asylum and economic migration are expected to decline over time and emigration (autochtones and allochtones alike) is expected to grow as a result of economic stagnation. However, owing to family reunions and higher birth rates of allochtones mainly, the % of non-western allochtones is expected to increase from 10.4% (2005) to 16.6% in 2050, while the % of autochtones is expected to decrease from 80.9% to 70.3% during this period {CPB}. | |||
The majority of non-Western allochtones is living in the Randstad, i.e. mainly in Big4 cities. The overall percentage of allochtones in Big 4 cities has grown from 36% (1995) to 43%, of which 31 percentage-points are non-Western allochtones (2003) {Forum.nl}. Furthermore, the ethnic concentration of non-Western allochtones within these cities has increased: in 2004, c. 10% of neighbourhoods in Big 4 cities comprises > 50% non-Western allochtones {CPB}. | |||
==Enablers:== | ==Enablers:== | ||
Revision as of 21:26, 13 October 2005
Description:
1.1 The % of non-Western allochtones as part of the Dutch population is forecast to increase from 10.4% (2004) to 16.6% in 2050 1.2 This allochtone growth has historically been concentrated in Big4 cities: the % of allochtones in these cities increased from 36% (1995) to 43% (2004) 1.3 Within Big4 cities, concentration and segregation of non-Western allochtone neighbourhoods has increased 1.4 Consequently and if this pattern continues, the anticipated growth in % of non-Western allochtones can be expected to result in growing concentration and segregation in the Big4 cities. We conclude that this will thus result in a decline in ethnic integration.
Asylum and economic migration are expected to decline over time and emigration (autochtones and allochtones alike) is expected to grow as a result of economic stagnation. However, owing to family reunions and higher birth rates of allochtones mainly, the % of non-western allochtones is expected to increase from 10.4% (2005) to 16.6% in 2050, while the % of autochtones is expected to decrease from 80.9% to 70.3% during this period {CPB}.
The majority of non-Western allochtones is living in the Randstad, i.e. mainly in Big4 cities. The overall percentage of allochtones in Big 4 cities has grown from 36% (1995) to 43%, of which 31 percentage-points are non-Western allochtones (2003) {Forum.nl}. Furthermore, the ethnic concentration of non-Western allochtones within these cities has increased: in 2004, c. 10% of neighbourhoods in Big 4 cities comprises > 50% non-Western allochtones {CPB}.
Enablers:
- Cost of software development
- Contracts with companies like Microsoft
Inhibitors:
- Open source developments
- Anti-trust lawsuits against standard software suppliers.
- Quite high prices for standard software
Paradigms:
Developments like these will decrease the domination of companies like Microsoft
Experts:
- Software developers
- Business ICT managers
Timing:
No information is needed to understand this driving force.