Difference between revisions of "Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030"
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= | =Team Members= | ||
Imelia Bonahan <br> | Imelia Bonahan <br> | ||
Pieter Cusell <br> | Pieter Cusell <br> | ||
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Mert Cakar <br> | Mert Cakar <br> | ||
== | =Introduction= | ||
=Scenarios= | |||
==Scenario Tree== | |||
[[File:Scenario_tree_mobility.jpg|650px|]] | |||
==Scenario Stories== | |||
*[[Business As Usual]]<br> | |||
*[[One For All]]<br> | |||
*[[Orange Revolution]]<br> | |||
==Timelines== | |||
<gallery> | <gallery> | ||
Image: | Image:Time_line_Business_as_usual.jpg|''Business as Usual'' | ||
Image: | Image:Time_line_One_for_All.jpg|''One for All'' | ||
Image:Time_line_Orange_Revolution.jpg|''Orange Revolution'' | |||
</gallery> | </gallery> | ||
== | |||
1. [[Longer home to work travel distances]]<br> | ==Systems Diagram== | ||
2. [[Increase in rate of car ownership ]]<br> | [[File:Systems_diagram_mobility_final.jpg|800px|]] | ||
3. [[Increase in environmental awareness]]<br> | |||
4. [[Better public Transport]]<br> | =Driving Forces= | ||
5. [[Increase requirement in efficiency]]<br> | 1. Mert - [[Longer home to work travel distances]]<br> | ||
6. [[Increase in quality life requirement]]<br> | 2. Mert - [[Increase in rate of car ownership ]]<br> | ||
7. [[Reduction in travel time in cars]]<br> | 3. Vishal Kapoor--[[Increase in environmental awareness]]<br> | ||
8. [[Utilization of unconventional powered cars]]<br> | 4. Vishal Kapoor--[[Better public Transport]]<br> | ||
9. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Increase_of_societal_costs_of_mobility Increase of societal costs of mobility]<br> | 5. Imelia - [[Increase requirement in efficiency]]<br> | ||
10. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Increasing_impact_of_advance_technologies_on_mobility Increasing impact of advance technologies on mobility]<br> | 6. Imelia - [[Increase in quality life requirement]]<br> | ||
7. Vikas Rajgarhia--[[Reduction in travel time in cars]]<br> | |||
8. Vikas Rajgarhia--[[Utilization of unconventional powered cars]]<br> | |||
9. Pieter - [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Increase_of_societal_costs_of_mobility Increase of societal costs of mobility]<br> | |||
10. Pieter - [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Increasing_impact_of_advance_technologies_on_mobility Increasing impact of advance technologies on mobility]<br> | |||
11. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Shift_to_Alternative_Energy_Sources&oldid=32975 Shift to Alternative Energy Sources]<br> | 11. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Shift_to_Alternative_Energy_Sources&oldid=32975 Shift to Alternative Energy Sources]<br> | ||
12. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Pay-as-you-drive&oldid=14244 Pay-as-you-drive] <br> | 12. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Pay-as-you-drive&oldid=14244 Pay-as-you-drive] <br> | ||
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22. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Improvement_in_transportation_through_inventions Improvement in transportation through inventions]<br> | 22. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Improvement_in_transportation_through_inventions Improvement in transportation through inventions]<br> | ||
= | =Research Questions= | ||
1. Is | 1. [[Is public transport in NL private?]]<br> | ||
2. What is the rate of immigration?<br> | 2. [[What is the rate of immigration?]]<br> | ||
3. What is the influence of EU on policies of Dutch government?<br> | 3. [[What is the influence of EU on policies of Dutch government?]]<br> | ||
4. Is office space in Netherlands saturated?<br> | 4. [[Is office space in Netherlands saturated?]]<br> | ||
5. Are | 5. [[Are offices moving out of cities?]]<br> | ||
6. [[Which cities Dutch people prefer for living and working?]]<br> | 6. [[Which cities Dutch people prefer for living and working?]]<br> | ||
7. [[What are the new developments on mobility?]]<br> | 7. [[What are the new developments on mobility?]]<br> | ||
8. [[What are the plans of Dutch government for mobility?]]<br> | 8. [[What are the plans of Dutch government for mobility?]]<br> | ||
9. What is the effect of economic growth on mobility?<br> | 9. [[What is the effect of economic growth on mobility?]]<br> | ||
10. What is good life for Dutch people?<br> | 10. [[What is good life for Dutch people?]]<br> | ||
11. What are travel habits of Dutch people?<br> | 11. [[What are travel habits of Dutch people?]]<br> | ||
12. What are new plans for public transport?<br> | 12. [[What are new plans for public transport?]]<br> | ||
13. What is brick wall for Dutch mobility?<br> | 13. [[What is brick wall for Dutch mobility?]]<br> | ||
14. How many years do we have before hitting the brick wall?<br> | 14. [[How many years do we have before hitting the brick wall?]]<br> | ||
15. What causes traffic congestion?<br> | 15. [[What causes traffic congestion?]]<br> | ||
16. How are business interaction going to change in the future?<br> | 16. [[How are business interaction going to change in the future?]]<br> | ||
17. How are the other EU states dealing with mobility problem?<br> | 17. [[How are the other EU states dealing with mobility problem?]]<br> | ||
18. What kind of an economy does NL have?<br> | 18. [[What kind of an economy does NL have?]]<br> | ||
19. How do Dutch people feel about this?<br> | 19. [[How do Dutch people feel about this?]]<br> | ||
20. How will life style and value evolve in the future?<br> | 20. [[How will life style and value evolve in the future?]]<br> | ||
= | =Useful Links= | ||
*http://www.cbs.nl/en-GB/menu/themas/verkeer-vervoer/nieuws/default.htm<br> | *http://www.cbs.nl/en-GB/menu/themas/verkeer-vervoer/nieuws/default.htm<br> | ||
*http://www.bovagrai.info/auto/2009/8.7.html<br> | *http://www.bovagrai.info/auto/2009/8.7.html<br> | ||
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*http://www.swov.nl/rapport/Factsheets/UK/FS_Mobility.pdf<br> | *http://www.swov.nl/rapport/Factsheets/UK/FS_Mobility.pdf<br> | ||
= | =Useful videos= | ||
*http://vimeo.com/12054501<br> | *http://vimeo.com/12054501<br> | ||
*http://www.slideshare.net/f2c/citynet-herman-wagter<br> | *http://www.slideshare.net/f2c/citynet-herman-wagter<br> | ||
= | =Interview Questions= | ||
Vishal<br> | Vishal<br> | ||
1) With regards to mobility what is the key question for NL?<br> | 1) With regards to mobility what is the key question for NL?<br> | ||
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3. How fast would the mobility trend change both from the user interest and technology development readiness?<br> | 3. How fast would the mobility trend change both from the user interest and technology development readiness?<br> | ||
4. How is the user awareness and concern so far (public and bussiness community)?<br> | 4. How is the user awareness and concern so far (public and bussiness community)?<br> | ||
=Key Learning points= | |||
1.Interrelations play a very important part and are sometimes not evident, it is through constant exploring that the group can understand the driving forces | |||
2.Although divergent thinking during a scenario buildup may be incoherent, while converging on a scenario it is important to have coherence. | |||