Difference between revisions of "Academic Reflection paper"

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References

[1]Global Business Network. http://www.gbn.com/ArticleDisplayServlet.srv?aid=32655
[2]Under Science. http://www.inderscience.com/search/index.php?mainAction=search&action=record&rec_id=6516

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-Considering the above...Scenario thinking is growing in use—and its use will continue to grow—because it is one
-of the few proven tools for developing our capacity to understand and manage uncertainty.
-It is a powerful tool that tests the mind, challenges belief, stretches the spirit, and at its best
-creates new sources of hope. People who take naturally to scenario thinking are lifelong
-learners; they believe that the world is continually changing and are forever seeking insight
-from new places, making new connections, and innovating new solutions.
-If the next generation of nonprofit leaders routinely uses scenario thinking, the cumulative
-effects for the sector as a whole will be significant. Civil society organizations must find new
-ways to create urgency and collective will for addressing large interdependent problems,
-both old and new. Scenario thinking will not be the only tool for making progress, but it
-could well become among the most important.
-In contrast, there is only a small number of studies which analyse
-the relationship between scenario planning and firm performance or try to evaluate the
-accuracy of the outcomes of a scenario. Regarding further research on scenario
-techniques, firstly, there is clearly a gap to be closed. A starting point for an assessment
-could be to distinguish between content and process and to develop on that basis a
-method for evaluation. Secondly, scenario building is often considered as primarily a tool
-for large multinational corporations. To develop a suitable scenario approach for small
-and medium-sized enterprises on a scientific ground could also be a favourable task for
-research in this field. Thirdly, scenario techniques may be improved a lot if they are
-combined with other future methods (like e.g. roadmapping, Delphi, creativity
-techniques) and a concise mix of methods could also be evaluated.[2]
 == References ==

Difference between revisions of "Academic Reflection paper"

Revision as of 01:32, 1 June 2010

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