Difference between revisions of "Increase of international conflicts against muslims"

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==Description:==
==Description:==
Due to developments in society (ageing population, increased consumerism) and medical technology there will stay an upwards pressure to health care expenditures. Government will keep the responsibility for accessibility, quality and affordability of health care for all citizens, but it defines this role more facilitating. Liberalization means less government involvement in the health care procurement market. The health care procurement market in the Netherlands is defined as the market between sellers (hospitals) and buyers (mostly insurers, but in the future maybe also employer and individuals).
International conflict behaviour is caused by: opposing interests and capabilities (or specific sociocultural differences and similarities between parties), contact and salience (awareness), significant change in the balance of powers, individual perceptions and expectations, a disrupted structure of expectations and a will to conflict (www.hawaii.du/pwerkills).
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Recent international conflicts between Western and Muslim societies clearly result from a combination of these factors (reasons most often mentioned in this context are opposing oil-interests and/or potential significant change in the balance of powers owing to the threat of WMD)
Liberalization will lead to all kinds of new health organization models, like Health Maintenance Organizations (cooperation between insurance and hospital, e.g. USA), hospital-nursing homes combinations, but also listed hospitals. As from 2012 it will be possible for hospitals to make a profit.
Going forward, these drivers appear to remain largely intact which could thus result in a continuation in international conflicts of Western countries against muslim nations. Furthermore, nations like Iran and potentially Pakistan also appear vulnerable for international conflicts when looking at these causes.  
A continuation or even an increase in international conflicts against muslim countries will be likely.
 
==Enablers:==
==Enablers:==
o The increase of health care cost will urge the government to introduce more efficient, market oriented systems. The current Dutch government adagio is “market where possible, and only intervene when necessary <br>
* cognitive imbalance <br>
o In the current budget system all capital expenditures are separately funded and guaranteed by government. As from 2012 hospitals will be fully responsible for their income and production (WTZi).<br>
* status difference <br>
o The new hospital financing system (DBC’s) makes differences between hospitals in price and quality visible. By that competition between hospitals will increase<br>
* coercive state pwer <br>
* sociocultural differences <br>
 
==Inhibitors:==
==Inhibitors:==
o The evolution of the current parliamentary democracy. Will the Dutch parliament be able to let loose, or will it intervene as it does now. <br>
* sociocultural similarity
o The convergence of European health care market systems. Will the EU formulate a policy on health care market systems? So far, the EU has only intervened in food security, labor market and border crossing health care consumption. <br>
* decentralized or weak, coercive state power
 
==Paradigms:==
==Paradigms:==
The fundamental shift in thinking is the transformation from a regulated system, like in most other European countries to a much more market oriented system in which government has much less control and market forces will drive development.
The main awareness should be that a continuation of international conflicts against muslim countries will further fuel muslim fundamentalism and terrorism since veteran fighters, highly skilled in guerilla wars and organizing attacks, will return towards Western countries while the general feeling of hate towards Western coutnreies ´waging ware against Muslims´ will increase.
 
==Experts:==
==Experts:==
Ministry of health (www.minvws.nl), College Bouw (www.cbz.nl), ZAio (www.ctg-zaio.nl)
see sources
 
==Timing:==
==Timing:==
Start new insurance system (zorgverzekeringswet) 1-1-2006 <br>
not avaialable for this force
Start new hospital financing system (DBC’s) 1-1-2005, finish 1-1-2008 <br>
 
Start liberalization construction of hospitals (WTZi) 1-1-2006, finish 2012 <br>
==Web Resources:==
==Web Resources:==
www.minvwsnl <br>
www.hawaii.edu/powerkills/wpp.chap16.htm <br>
www.zorgaanzet.nl <br>
www.aivd.nl <br>
www.cbz.nl <br>
www.ctg-zaio.nl <br>

Latest revision as of 20:23, 14 December 2005

Description:

International conflict behaviour is caused by: opposing interests and capabilities (or specific sociocultural differences and similarities between parties), contact and salience (awareness), significant change in the balance of powers, individual perceptions and expectations, a disrupted structure of expectations and a will to conflict (www.hawaii.du/pwerkills). Recent international conflicts between Western and Muslim societies clearly result from a combination of these factors (reasons most often mentioned in this context are opposing oil-interests and/or potential significant change in the balance of powers owing to the threat of WMD) Going forward, these drivers appear to remain largely intact which could thus result in a continuation in international conflicts of Western countries against muslim nations. Furthermore, nations like Iran and potentially Pakistan also appear vulnerable for international conflicts when looking at these causes. A continuation or even an increase in international conflicts against muslim countries will be likely.

Enablers:

  • cognitive imbalance
  • status difference
  • coercive state pwer
  • sociocultural differences

Inhibitors:

  • sociocultural similarity
  • decentralized or weak, coercive state power

Paradigms:

The main awareness should be that a continuation of international conflicts against muslim countries will further fuel muslim fundamentalism and terrorism since veteran fighters, highly skilled in guerilla wars and organizing attacks, will return towards Western countries while the general feeling of hate towards Western coutnreies ´waging ware against Muslims´ will increase.

Experts:

see sources

Timing:

not avaialable for this force

Web Resources:

www.hawaii.edu/powerkills/wpp.chap16.htm
www.aivd.nl

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