Difference between revisions of "The future of the global economy in 2015"

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== Introduction ==
This page has moved here:
<br>
This page will contain the results of the scenario planning process of group 3 of class RSM EMBA05 on the following subject:<br><br>
''The future of the global economy in 2015''<br><br>


The members of Group 3 are:<br>
[[The future of the global economy in 2020]]
* Peter Groen
* Wendi Mennen
* Maarten Post
* Harry Schoots
* Eric Verbeek
 
==Research Documentation==
http://www.stern.nyu.edu/globalmacro/ which contains a link to an <b>Economist</b> article to get us started: Analysis: The Economist, Sep 06, 2005 The perfect storm.<br><br>
 
http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/The_Future_of_the_Global_Village_in_2020 which contains a scenario of last years students.<br><br>
 
http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html is the homepage of the <b>National Intelligence Councel</b>. Mapping the Global future is a useful report.<br><br>
 
http://www.millenniumassessment.org is the homepage of the <b>Millenium Ecosystem Assessment</b>. Latest research of the MA states that environmental concerns increase opportunities and challenges for business that ultimately might influence the global economy.<br><br>
 
http://t21.ca contains a selection of world global trends on different aspects based on many sources. http://t21.ca/economic/index.htm lists the economic key findings.<br><br>
 
The <b>Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB)</b> performed a scenario analysis on the economic future of Europe, downloadable from http://www.cpb.nl/eng/econ/lange_termijn/recente_studies.html<br>Try also this report on Globalisation and the Global Environment: four quantitative scenarios: http://www.cpb.nl/nl/general/org/homepages/aml/gitage_si.pdf<br><br>
 
The <b>OECD</b> published a study on the future of the global economy: The Future of Global Economy: Towards a long boom? http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/42/0/35394025.pdf<br><br>
 
 
==Research Questions==
Note to group: please add your research questions below.<br><br>
 
'''ECONOMY'''<br>
* Which countries drive the asian economy?<br>
* Are the economies in terms of GDP increasing, and how rapidly?<br>
* What are the trade balances of the major economies in asia, for example China and India?<br>
* Which countries drive the african econmy?<br>
* Are the economies increasing in terms of GDP, and how rapidly?<br>
* What are the trade balances of some of the important economies in africa?<br>
* Which countries drive the south and middle america econmy?<br>
* Are the economies in south and middle america increasing in terms of GDP, and how rapidly?<br>
* What are the trade balances of some of the important economies in south and middle america? <br>
* What is GDP in the USA , and what is the increase factor?<br>
* What is the trade balance in the USA, and how is this balanced?<br>
* Which countries drive the European economies (including Russia)?<br>
* What is the GDP of the European countries, and what is the increase factor? <br>
* What is the trade balance of these European countries?<br>
* What are the resource constraints of the future economy?<br>
* What are the resource constraints of China, India, US, Europe, South America, and Africa? <br>
* What is the strenght of the American Dollar compared to the Euro, Yen, Guan,...? Is it declining of increasing in the past 10 years? <br>
* What is the size and trend in global trade?
* What other forms of exchange (except) money are used?
 
'''Politics'''<br>
* What will be the role of the Central Banks (ECB, FED)to the economy?<br>
* What will the effect be of global terrorism on the economy?
* How will the (in)stability of the Middle-Eastern states influence the global economy?<br>
* What will be the effect of the European Union on the global economy (if any)?<br>
 
'''Society'''<br>
* What are the effects of the greying population in Europe to the economy? <br>
* What is the effect of the globalising on the economy?
 
'''Technology and business'''<br>
* What are the effects of off shoring production work?
* What is the growth rate of E-commerce in the world?
* How long does it take the OPEC countries to double their refinery capacity?
* What is the effect of the oil prices on the economy <br>
* What are the effects of the reducing energy supply on the global economy?

Latest revision as of 13:23, 11 December 2005

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The future of the global economy in 2020

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