Difference between revisions of "The future of e-books in 2017"

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== Introduction ==
<h1 style="background:#9b98d1; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 9px;">Introduction</h1>
hen writing systems were invented in ancient civilizations, nearly everything that could be written upon—stone, clay, tree bark, metal sheets—was used for writing. In China,silk was also a base for writing and writing was done with brushes. Many other materials were used as bases: bone, bronze, pottery, shell, etc.Any material which will hold and transmit text is a candidate for books. <br>
When writing systems were invented in ancient civilizations, nearly everything that could be written upon—stone, clay, tree bark, metal sheets—was used for writing. In China,silk was also a base for writing and writing was done with brushes. Many other materials were used as bases: bone, bronze, pottery, shell, etc. Any material which will hold and transmit text is a candidate for books. <br>




Nowadays information technology and the Internet offer total new ways of publishing. For years, newspapers and magazines have been published online, and on 90s also traditional printed books reached digital form. Electronic books or e-books, can now be bought and downloaded from online e-bookstores and be read on computer screen or portable e-book device.  
Nowadays information technology and the Internet offer total new ways of publishing. For years, newspapers and magazines have been published online, and on 90s also traditional printed books reached digital form. Electronic books or e-books, can now be bought and downloaded from online e-bookstores and be read on computer screen or portable e-book device.  
[[Image:sony.jpg|right]]


[http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html Right to read]
[http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html Right to read]


----
<h1 style="background:#9b98d1; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 9px;">feedback</h1>
timeline in scenario 1 is too fast- plausability issues 
which DRM solution, why ? will there not be more than one system, for different types of books,
DRM should be discarded in one of the scenarios
what about DRM and privacy
what about new systems of direct publishing, end of the book - blogs are the king, or video blogs for that matter
will books remain to be text alone, or have other rich media, books that read to you for example, hyperlinked books,
not sure that we should have a big success, low success and failure scenarios, are there not other possiblities?
sounds more like the future of the e-book than the future of the book
think about usability
liked the cartoons
today 90% of music sales are CDs


===Client Questions===
<h1 style="background:#9b98d1; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 9px;">Team Composition</h1>
* [mailto:bfahner@mordor.nl Bauke Fahner]
* [mailto:xyjiangleiden@gmail.com XinYu Jiang]
* [mailto:bassluijsmans@gmail.com Bas Sluijsmans]
* [mailto:s_tauriainen@yahoo.co.uk Sanna Tauriainen]
* [mailto:rvos5@.chello.nl Raymond de Vos]


<h1 style="background:#9b98d1; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 9px;">Client Questions</h1>


Future of the Book questions:
Future of the Book questions:
 
''(All the answers can be read in the [[Client question analysis section]])''
* as the materials that are now published in books are learned through  
* as the materials that are now published in books are learned through computer screens, what about the form will stay the same and what will change? authorship, editing, presentation style, stored locally?<br />
computer screens, what about the form will stay the same and what will  
change? authorship, editing, presentation style, stored locally?


closely related question:
closely related question:


* will there be parallel publishing of a book on screen and print, and  
* will there be parallel publishing of a book on screen and print, and if so, will they be mostly similar or will it be a largely different production (such as a novel and movie).
if so, will they be mostly similar or will it be a largely different  
production (such as a novel and movie).




* what will be the role, if any, of scanned books in the future ecology?  
* what will be the role, if any, of scanned books in the future ecology? sales tool?  reference work for searching?  only old books will be used this way?  old books wont be used even on screens by the general public?
    sales tool?  reference work for searching?  only old books will be  
used this way?  old books wont be used even on screens by the general  
public?
 


different question:
different question:


* certain types of books are large part gone already: books of court  
* certain types of books are large part gone already: books of court opinions, phonebooks, readers guide to periodical literature...    Given the types of books that are out there, what will they morph or disappear into a computer service?
opinions, phonebooks, readers guide to periodical literature...    Given  
the types of books that are out there, what will they morph or disappear  
into a computer service?


-brewster kahle


-brewster
<h1 style="background:#9b98d1; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 9px;">Research Questions</h1>
 
=== Team Composition ===
<li>[mailto:bfahner@mordor.nl Bauke Fahner]</li>
<li>[mailto:xyjiangleiden@gmail.com XinYu Jiang]</li>
<li>[mailto:bassluijsmans@gmail.com Bas Sluijsmans]</li>
<li>[mailto:s_tauriainen@yahoo.co.uk Sanna Tauriainen]</li>
<li>[mailto:rvos5@.chello.nl Raymond de Vos]</li>
 
== Research Questions ==
In our research we have identified 5 different categories, namely:
In our research we have identified 5 different categories, namely:


Line 59: Line 59:
See the [[research questions section]] for the actual questions and answers.
See the [[research questions section]] for the actual questions and answers.


== Driving Forces ==
<h1 style="background:#9b98d1; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Driving Forces</h1>
''Based on the [http://www.valuebasedmanagement.net/methods_PEST_analysis.html PEST] theory''
''Based on the [http://www.valuebasedmanagement.net/methods_PEST_analysis.html PEST] theory''
=== Political ===
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 8px;">Political</h2>
* [[Authors rights and personality rights changes]]
* [[Authors rights and personality rights changes]]
* [[Members of WIPO leave]]
* [[Members of WIPO leave]]
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* [[Government control of publishing ]]
* [[Government control of publishing ]]


=== Economic ===
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Economic</h2>
* [[Authors of books will be creating books under "open source like" licences]]
* [[Authors of books will be creating books under "open source like" licences]]
* [[eBooks and the effect on knowledge sharing in developing countries]]
* [[eBooks and the effect on knowledge sharing in developing countries]]
* [[Importance of learning increases over protection]]
* [[Importance of learning increases over protection]]
* [[Emergence of E-publishing]]
* [[Emergence of E-publishing]]
* [[Emergence of Library 2.0]]


=== Environmental ===
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Environmental</h2>
* [[ Paper Industry and Environmental Issues]]
* [[ Paper Industry and Environmental Issues]]


=== Social ===
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Social</h2>
* [[Literacy rates increase worldwide]]
* [[Literacy rates increase worldwide]]
* [[Escalation of plagiarism accusation]]
* [[Escalation of plagiarism accusation]]
Line 82: Line 83:
* [[Perception of reading habit]]
* [[Perception of reading habit]]


=== Technological ===
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Technological</h2>
* [[Development of e-book readers]]
* [[Development of e-book readers]]
* [[New features compared to printed books]]
* [[New features compared to printed books]]
Line 92: Line 93:
* [[Conversion of books to eBooks]]
* [[Conversion of books to eBooks]]


== Diagrams ==
<h1 style="background:#9b98d1; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Diagrams</h1>


=== Systems Diagram ===
=== Systems Diagram ===


=== Other diagrams ===
==== Version 1 ====
[[Image:070320_SYSTEMDIAG_V0.2.jpg|thumb|left|'''Version 1 of the System Diagram''']]
Here is the final version of the System Diagram for the scenario on the future of the book.
The diagram has been changed to give a better view of the system. Further more some relationships have been added between the different elements in the system.
<br>
<br>
<pagerating from="Poor" to="Good" category="Systems Diagram"> Rate this diagram</pagerating>
<br>
<br>
 
----
<br>
==== Version 0.1 ====
[[Image:BookSystem.png|thumb|left|'''Version 0.1 of the System Diagram''']]
First version of the Systems Diagram, based on the brainstorm session by the group members.
<br>
<pagerating from="Poor" to="Good" category="Systems Diagram"> Rate this diagram</pagerating>
<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
 
----
 
<h1 style="background:#9b98d1; border:1px solid #AAAAAA;padding-left: 10px; height: 1.1 em;">Scenarios</h1>
*[[Scenario 1 - Extinction of Traditional Books]]
 
*[[Scenario 2 - E-books for Niches]]
 
*[[Scenario 3 - Paper, Paper, Paper]]
 
<h1 style="background:#9b98d1; border:1px solid #AAAAAA;padding-left: 10px; height: 1.1 em;">Scenario Presentations</h1>
*[[Scenario 1 - Extinction of Traditional Books - Pictures]]
 
*[[Scenario 2 - E-books for Niches - Pictures ]]
 
*[[Scenario 3 - Paper, Paper, Paper - Pictures]]
 
 
<h1 style="background:#9b98d1; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-top:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">References & Links</h1>


== Scenarios ==
[[References page]]
=== Scenario 1 ===
=== Scenario 2 ===
=== Scenario 3 ===


== References ==
[[Known Projects and sites]]

Latest revision as of 09:50, 3 May 2007

Introduction

When writing systems were invented in ancient civilizations, nearly everything that could be written upon—stone, clay, tree bark, metal sheets—was used for writing. In China,silk was also a base for writing and writing was done with brushes. Many other materials were used as bases: bone, bronze, pottery, shell, etc. Any material which will hold and transmit text is a candidate for books.


Nowadays information technology and the Internet offer total new ways of publishing. For years, newspapers and magazines have been published online, and on 90s also traditional printed books reached digital form. Electronic books or e-books, can now be bought and downloaded from online e-bookstores and be read on computer screen or portable e-book device.

Sony.jpg

Right to read

feedback

timeline in scenario 1 is too fast- plausability issues  
which DRM solution, why ? will there not be more than one system, for different types of books, 
DRM should be discarded in one of the scenarios
what about DRM and privacy
what about new systems of direct publishing, end of the book - blogs are the king, or video blogs for that matter
will books remain to be text alone, or have other rich media, books that read to you for example, hyperlinked books,
not sure that we should have a big success, low success and failure scenarios, are there not other possiblities?
sounds more like the future of the e-book than the future of the book
think about usability
liked the cartoons
today 90% of music sales are CDs

Team Composition

Client Questions

Future of the Book questions: (All the answers can be read in the Client question analysis section)

  • as the materials that are now published in books are learned through computer screens, what about the form will stay the same and what will change? authorship, editing, presentation style, stored locally?

closely related question:

  • will there be parallel publishing of a book on screen and print, and if so, will they be mostly similar or will it be a largely different production (such as a novel and movie).


  • what will be the role, if any, of scanned books in the future ecology? sales tool? reference work for searching? only old books will be used this way? old books wont be used even on screens by the general public?

different question:

  • certain types of books are large part gone already: books of court opinions, phonebooks, readers guide to periodical literature... Given the types of books that are out there, what will they morph or disappear into a computer service?

-brewster kahle

Research Questions

In our research we have identified 5 different categories, namely:

  1. History (Xin Yu)
  2. Economic Perspective/Value (Raymond)
  3. General Information (Raymond/Sanna)
  4. Prospective usage of books (Bas)
  5. Law, Legislation and Stakeholders (Bauke)

See the research questions section for the actual questions and answers.

Driving Forces

Based on the PEST theory

Political

Economic

Environmental

Social

Technological

Diagrams

Systems Diagram

Version 1

Version 1 of the System Diagram

Here is the final version of the System Diagram for the scenario on the future of the book. The diagram has been changed to give a better view of the system. Further more some relationships have been added between the different elements in the system.

<pagerating from="Poor" to="Good" category="Systems Diagram"> Rate this diagram</pagerating>



Version 0.1

Version 0.1 of the System Diagram

First version of the Systems Diagram, based on the brainstorm session by the group members.
<pagerating from="Poor" to="Good" category="Systems Diagram"> Rate this diagram</pagerating>




Scenarios

Scenario Presentations


References & Links

References page

Known Projects and sites