Difference between revisions of "RSM MBA 2010 Scenarios"

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=Scenario Questions=
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=Scenario Course=
 +
 
 +
===What makes a good Scenario Set (Class Learning)===
 +
 
 +
*new thinking <br>
 +
*shocking beliefs <br>
 +
*methodology (fit for purpose) <br>
 +
*make sure you answer the question <br>
 +
*plausible <br>
 +
*coherent <br>
 +
*easy to understand (same language) <br>
 +
*depth of knowledge (eg. Future of China) <br>
 +
*research question -> driving forces -> scenarios <br>
 +
*introduction should state the purpose of project <br>
 +
*balance across scenarios (equally likely) <br>
 +
 
 +
===Main Learning Points===
 +
<b>please add your learning points here!!</b>
 +
* Investigating Fundamental Business Model of Consulting <br>
 +
* General Trends of No Value, i.e. tracing the root of the symptom <br>
 +
* Move away from obvious Assumptions <br>
  
 
==Numbers that matter presentation dates==
 
==Numbers that matter presentation dates==
 
+
(please write the title of the presentation here)<br>
 +
(please put your numbers that matter presentation up here)<br>
 
Tue 17th of Aug-  <br>
 
Tue 17th of Aug-  <br>
Wed 18th of Aug- "Future of the City Centre 2025" presentation <br>
+
Wed 18th of Aug- [[World Runs on Solar Power]] - "Future of the City Centre 2025" presentation <br>
Thu 19th of Aug- "Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030" presentation <br>
+
Thu 19th of Aug- [[Better Usage of Global Military Expenditure]] - "Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030" presentation <br>
Mon 23rd of Aug-"Climate Change Negotiations" presentation<br>
+
Mon 23rd of Aug- [[Antiretroviral Therapy Programme for South Africa]] - "Climate Change Negotiations" presentation<br>
Tue 24th of Aug- "Tablets in Education" presentation <br>
+
Tue 24th of Aug- [[Achieving Millennium Development Goal 2]] - "Tablets in Education" presentation <br>
Wed 25th of Aug- "Future of Consulting" presentation <br>
+
Wed 25th of Aug- [[Deforestation vs adult&drug tax]] - "Future of Consulting 2020" presentation <br>
Fri 27th of Aug- "Future of Innovation 2020" presentation <br>
+
Fri 27th of Aug- [[World Hunger and Food wastage]]"Future of Innovation 2020" presentation <br>
  
 
==[[Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030]]==
 
==[[Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030]]==
The Netherlands has 90 billion km driven in NL, of which 50% is business related, with a significant increase in business use, yet not a corresponding increase in productivity of the economy.  This means that investing in new roads is NOT the best way to spend public money.  How will mobility evolve in the next 20 years.  <br> - Herman Wagter, Business Development Director Glasvezelnet Amsterdam<br>Twitter http://twitter.com/hermanwagter <br>
+
The Netherlands has 90 billion km driven in NL, of which 50% is business related, with a significant increase in business use, yet not a corresponding increase in productivity of the economy.  This means that investing in new roads is NOT the best way to spend public money.  How will mobility evolve in the next 20 years.  <br>
 +
<b>Problem Owner:</b>Herman Wagter, Business Development Director Glasvezelnet Amsterdam<br>Twitter http://twitter.com/hermanwagter <br>
 
http://www.linkedin.com/ppl/webprofile?vmi=&id=720779&pvs=pp&authToken=zZoa&authType=name&locale=en_US&trk=ppro_viewmore&lnk=vw_pprofile<p>
 
http://www.linkedin.com/ppl/webprofile?vmi=&id=720779&pvs=pp&authToken=zZoa&authType=name&locale=en_US&trk=ppro_viewmore&lnk=vw_pprofile<p>
  
Line 18: Line 40:
  
  
==Future of the City Centre 2025==
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==[[Future of the City Centre 2025]]==
How will city centre be like in 2025?  What could change in the city centre, in a post-crisis environment.  Will it stay as a meeting spot, with a business functionWill offices still be the place where people work? City centres in Huston or Detriot city has returned to markert gardering, with the houses abandoned.  Or will it have a new lease of life, renewed through urban agriculture, (witness the NYC lightrail project, etc)? What will the city's relevance be when physical meetings come to an end?<br>
+
The city center is a place of special significance to communities and nations.  Long the economic engine, the city center has change as technology has improved.  Transportation, communication, and internet technologies has destroyed some city centers while enhancing others.  Climate change, natural resources, green technology, immigration, and the financail crisis of 2008 will shape the city centers of the future.  So what will city centre be like in 2025?  What will a post-crisis center look like? Will it remain a meeting spot, with a business function? Will people continue to work in offices? Will centers decay and the land return to agricultural function like in Detroit, or will centers have a new lease on life and reinvent themselves through the green movement? The Future of the City Centre 2025 explores this question and provides a peek into what the future may hold.
Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR<br>
+
 
 +
 
 +
Problem Owner:Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR
 
http://www.iabrotterdam.com/Content/www.iabrotterdam.com/Documenten/CV%20Sander%20de%20Iongh.pdf<p>
 
http://www.iabrotterdam.com/Content/www.iabrotterdam.com/Documenten/CV%20Sander%20de%20Iongh.pdf<p>
  
 
Team members: Cole Carrigan, Eglantine Dang, Akcan Islamoglu, Fahad Nayyar, Louis Tzeng
 
Team members: Cole Carrigan, Eglantine Dang, Akcan Islamoglu, Fahad Nayyar, Louis Tzeng
  
Basic info of Rotterdam:
+
For further information could be found on [[Future of the City Centre 2025]]
 
 
Area:
 
- Municipality / City 319 km2 (123.2 sq mi)
 
- Land 206 km2 (79.5 sq mi)
 
- Water 113 km2 (43.6 sq mi)
 
Population (18 March 2010)
 
- Municipality / City 603 425
 
- Density 2,850/km2 (7,381.5/sq mi)
 
- Metro Approx. 1.6 million
 
Historical population
 
1796: 53,200 inhabitants
 
1830: 72,300
 
1849: 90,100
 
1879: 148,100
 
1899: 318,500
 
1925: 547,900
 
1965: 551,000
 
1984: 555,000
 
2005: 596,407
 
2006: 588,576
 
2007: 584,046
 
2010: 603,425
 
  
 +
==Future of Tablets in Education==
 +
In this scenario set we explore the future of tablet technology in education.  Neither the desktop PC/laptop, nor the internet have thus far managed to revolutionize the education system, in spite of the enormous potential these technologies hold for education.  The excitement around tablet computers appears to be different though.  We explore whether the penetration of tablets in the educational system will differ from that achieved by previous computing technologies.  We also explore what form or manner this could possibly hold. In addition we broadened our research to explore whether technology, in general, will revolutionize the whole learning process. Our research focuses mainly on the EU region and refers both to primary and secondary education. <br>
  
Interview Questions:
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Problem owner: [http://www.linkedin.com/ppl/webprofile?vmi=&id=1006520&pvs=pp&authToken=Q3QD&authType=name&locale=en_US&trk=ppro_viewmore&lnk=vw_pprofile Bernard de Groot], CIO [http://www.sanoma-uitgevers.nl/nl-web-Home.php Sanoma] Learning & Literature <br>
  
1.  What is Rotterdam's city center?  What does it look like in 2 years?
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Team Members: <br>
2.   What defines a city center?
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[http://nl.linkedin.com/pub/chun-seok-chang/19/479/115 Chun Seok Chang] <br>
3.   If no city center, why are you interested in city centers? If yes, what are your interests in city center?
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[http://nl.linkedin.com/pub/spyridoula-drakopoulou/19/254/7b2 Spyridoula Drakopoulou] <br>
4.   What are the driving forces shaping the future of city centers?
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[http://nl.linkedin.com/pub/margo-martinez/1/aa0/7a3 Margo Martinez] <br>
5.   How will global warming affect city centers? Will Rotterdam's current city center be habitable?
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[http://uk.linkedin.com/pub/ines-ranguelova/6/929/a87 Ines Ranguelova] <br>
6.   How will fossil fuels affect live in city centers?
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[http://nl.linkedin.com/in/neelssteyn Neels Steyn] <br>
7.   What are the ideal demographics for city centers?
 
8.   How will having a vibrant city center affect the economics of the city?
 
9.   How can city centers remain attractive to long-term housing residents?
 
10.  What happens to the city center as population goes up and goes down?
 
11.  How will mobile technology affect life in city centers?
 
12. What will transportation look like in 2 years in city centers?
 
13. How will dietary needs affect life in city centers?
 
  
Useful Links:
+
Please visit our [[Future of Tablets in Education Main Page]]
RCI http://www.rotterdamclimateinitiative.nl/
 
Randstad 2040
 
 
 
==Future of Tablets in Education==
 
[[Future of Tablets in Education Main Page]]
 
  
 
==Future of Consulting 2020==
 
==Future of Consulting 2020==
Traditional consulting evolved out of McKinsey's practice in New York who famously said that men's socks should reach their knees, because "a client should never see flesh".  Much of these ideas are still alive in consulting today.   
+
Traditional consulting evolved out of McKinsey's practice in New York who famously said that men's socks should reach their knees, because "a client should never see flesh".  Much of these ideas are still alive in consulting today.<br>  
Joost Pryde, Co-Founder House of Performance<br>
+
<b>Problem Owner:</b>Joost Pryde, Co-Founder House of Performance<br>
 
http://www.hofp.nl/wa.asp?idWebPage=18558&idDetails=378<br>
 
http://www.hofp.nl/wa.asp?idWebPage=18558&idDetails=378<br>
 
Twitter: http://twitter.com/jpreyde
 
Twitter: http://twitter.com/jpreyde
  
Team members: Pankaj Daryani, Taras Ivanysenko, Kiho Lee, Conor Ruff, Lidia Sholkova
+
[[Future of Consulting 2020]]
 
 
 
 
[[Interview questions]] <br>
 
 
 
Numbers that matter in Consulting - global statistics for consulting industry:
 
 
 
http://www.plunkettresearch.com/Industries/Consulting/ConsultingStatistics/tabid/177/Default.aspx  (LS)
 
 
 
Global Consulting Industry Revenue (including HR, IT, strategy, operations management & business advisory services) equals 345 Billion US Dollars. (LS)<br>
 
Management Consulting is by far the largest segment with $142.7B in 2008 (CR)<br>
 
  
-What is the fastest growing segment of consulting? IT? We should be able to find this out with numbers (CR)<br>
+
==Future of Innovation 2030==
  
Background
+
What will innovation look like in the future (2030)?  Will all innovation be open, or will that lead to the average, and no innovation? What role will technology play in this space?  <br>
 +
[[Image: Female_AILA.jpg|right|120px]]
 +
<b>Problem Owner:</b> Russ Conser -Manager GameChanger Shell International E&P Inc [http://www.linkedin.com/ppl/webprofile?vmi=&id=3080859&pvs=pp&authToken=feji&authType=name&locale=en_US&trk=ppro_viewmore&lnk=vw_pprofile] .<br>
  
Joost Preyde (IT):<br>
+
Team members:<br>
quote: "All progress depends on the unreasonable man. <br>
+
Alexandra Ursu <br>
Education:<br>
+
Eghe Saliu-Lawal<br>
1981-1985 Flight Engineering; 1985-1987 MBA<br>
+
Jia Rong Wu <br>
Work: •Partner House of Performance (12 years) <br>
+
Sally Henderson <br>
•Consultant at Principal Consult; •Consultant at Alexander Proudfoot; •Marketing Sales B2B at Shell Chemical <br>
+
Sonal Gilani<br>
Reading book now: Mojo: How to Get It, How to Keep It, How to Get It Back if You Lose It  (so we can talk/ask him the most strange questions)<br>
 
  
==Future of Innovation 2020==
+
Please visit our [[Future of Innovation Main Page]]
[[Future of Innovation Main Page]]
 
  
 
==Future of Climate Change Negotiations in 2020==
 
==Future of Climate Change Negotiations in 2020==
Line 110: Line 92:
 
Aart van der Horst: http://nl.linkedin.com/pub/aart-van-der-horst/18/121/53a <br>
 
Aart van der Horst: http://nl.linkedin.com/pub/aart-van-der-horst/18/121/53a <br>
 
Further information could be found on the [[Climate_Change_Negotiations|scenario page]]
 
Further information could be found on the [[Climate_Change_Negotiations|scenario page]]
 +
 +
==Agenda for presentations for Friday 27th of August 2010==
 +
 +
13.30 - 14.00 Future of the City Center 2025<br>
 +
14.00 - 14.30 Future of Consulting <br>
 +
14.30 - 15.00 Future of Innovation<br>
 +
15.00 - 15.30 Future of Mobility in Netherlands<br>
 +
15.30 - 16.00 Future of Tablets in Education<br>
 +
16.00 - 16.30 Future of Climate Change Negotiations<br>

Latest revision as of 00:37, 1 March 2011

Scenario Course

What makes a good Scenario Set (Class Learning)

  • new thinking
  • shocking beliefs
  • methodology (fit for purpose)
  • make sure you answer the question
  • plausible
  • coherent
  • easy to understand (same language)
  • depth of knowledge (eg. Future of China)
  • research question -> driving forces -> scenarios
  • introduction should state the purpose of project
  • balance across scenarios (equally likely)

Main Learning Points

please add your learning points here!!

  • Investigating Fundamental Business Model of Consulting
  • General Trends of No Value, i.e. tracing the root of the symptom
  • Move away from obvious Assumptions

Numbers that matter presentation dates

(please write the title of the presentation here)
(please put your numbers that matter presentation up here)
Tue 17th of Aug-
Wed 18th of Aug- World Runs on Solar Power - "Future of the City Centre 2025" presentation
Thu 19th of Aug- Better Usage of Global Military Expenditure - "Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030" presentation
Mon 23rd of Aug- Antiretroviral Therapy Programme for South Africa - "Climate Change Negotiations" presentation
Tue 24th of Aug- Achieving Millennium Development Goal 2 - "Tablets in Education" presentation
Wed 25th of Aug- Deforestation vs adult&drug tax - "Future of Consulting 2020" presentation
Fri 27th of Aug- World Hunger and Food wastage"Future of Innovation 2020" presentation

Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030

The Netherlands has 90 billion km driven in NL, of which 50% is business related, with a significant increase in business use, yet not a corresponding increase in productivity of the economy. This means that investing in new roads is NOT the best way to spend public money. How will mobility evolve in the next 20 years.
Problem Owner:Herman Wagter, Business Development Director Glasvezelnet Amsterdam
Twitter http://twitter.com/hermanwagter

http://www.linkedin.com/ppl/webprofile?vmi=&id=720779&pvs=pp&authToken=zZoa&authType=name&locale=en_US&trk=ppro_viewmore&lnk=vw_pprofile

Team Members: Imelia Bonahan, Pieter Cusell, Vikas Rajgarhia, Vishal Kapoor, Mert Cakar

Future of the City Centre 2025

The city center is a place of special significance to communities and nations. Long the economic engine, the city center has change as technology has improved. Transportation, communication, and internet technologies has destroyed some city centers while enhancing others. Climate change, natural resources, green technology, immigration, and the financail crisis of 2008 will shape the city centers of the future. So what will city centre be like in 2025? What will a post-crisis center look like? Will it remain a meeting spot, with a business function? Will people continue to work in offices? Will centers decay and the land return to agricultural function like in Detroit, or will centers have a new lease on life and reinvent themselves through the green movement? The Future of the City Centre 2025 explores this question and provides a peek into what the future may hold.


Problem Owner:Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR http://www.iabrotterdam.com/Content/www.iabrotterdam.com/Documenten/CV%20Sander%20de%20Iongh.pdf<p>

Team members: Cole Carrigan, Eglantine Dang, Akcan Islamoglu, Fahad Nayyar, Louis Tzeng

For further information could be found on Future of the City Centre 2025

Future of Tablets in Education

In this scenario set we explore the future of tablet technology in education. Neither the desktop PC/laptop, nor the internet have thus far managed to revolutionize the education system, in spite of the enormous potential these technologies hold for education. The excitement around tablet computers appears to be different though. We explore whether the penetration of tablets in the educational system will differ from that achieved by previous computing technologies. We also explore what form or manner this could possibly hold. In addition we broadened our research to explore whether technology, in general, will revolutionize the whole learning process. Our research focuses mainly on the EU region and refers both to primary and secondary education.

Problem owner: Bernard de Groot, CIO Sanoma Learning & Literature

Team Members:
Chun Seok Chang
Spyridoula Drakopoulou
Margo Martinez
Ines Ranguelova
Neels Steyn

Please visit our Future of Tablets in Education Main Page

Future of Consulting 2020

Traditional consulting evolved out of McKinsey's practice in New York who famously said that men's socks should reach their knees, because "a client should never see flesh". Much of these ideas are still alive in consulting today.
Problem Owner:Joost Pryde, Co-Founder House of Performance
http://www.hofp.nl/wa.asp?idWebPage=18558&idDetails=378
Twitter: http://twitter.com/jpreyde

Future of Consulting 2020

Future of Innovation 2030

What will innovation look like in the future (2030)? Will all innovation be open, or will that lead to the average, and no innovation? What role will technology play in this space?

Female AILA.jpg

Problem Owner: Russ Conser -Manager GameChanger Shell International E&P Inc [1] .

Team members:
Alexandra Ursu
Eghe Saliu-Lawal
Jia Rong Wu
Sally Henderson
Sonal Gilani

Please visit our Future of Innovation Main Page

Future of Climate Change Negotiations in 2020

A scenario set that explores the different pathways that negotiations on Climate change will take in the next 10 years. Will there be multilateral agreements lead by the UN, or bilateral agreements, will countries or companies be in the lead, will this result in a new economic order, etc.
Aart van der Horst: http://nl.linkedin.com/pub/aart-van-der-horst/18/121/53a
Further information could be found on the scenario page

Agenda for presentations for Friday 27th of August 2010

13.30 - 14.00 Future of the City Center 2025
14.00 - 14.30 Future of Consulting
14.30 - 15.00 Future of Innovation
15.00 - 15.30 Future of Mobility in Netherlands
15.30 - 16.00 Future of Tablets in Education

16.00 - 16.30 Future of Climate Change Negotiations