Difference between revisions of "Future of the City Centre 2025"

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Louis Tzeng<br>
Louis Tzeng<br>


==presentation feedback ==
=Introduction=
Good start to the emotions, but a little long
The city center is a place of special significance to communities and nations. Long the economic engine, the city center has change as technology has improved. Transportation, communication, and internet technologies has destroyed some city centers while enhancing others. Climate change, natural resources, green technology, immigration, and the financail crisis of 2008 will shape the city centers of the future.  So what will city centre be like in 2025? What will a post-crisis center look like? Will it remain a meeting spot, with a business function? Will people continue to work in offices? Will centers decay and the land return to agricultural function like in Detroit, or will centers have a new lease on life and reinvent themselves through the green movement?  The Future of the City Centre 2025 explores this question and provides a peek into what the future may hold.
Change the term emotional value to ability of to evoke positive emotional responses ( but shorter)
 
  You are explaining the scenarios rather than TELLING a story, the audience gets lost-
  Gets better when it is read, but it Is still not a story
  Liked the bring in of mass migration- good to connect city centers to context of climate change ( something most people will not have thought of before)
  Governments default on loans - explain the effects better than stock markets will crash ---
Too early to build inthe end of oil supremacy - 2010-2015 should be later
Where is the pain that leads to the restarting of the economy
Like the link to cradle to cradle - think through he implications better
Nor plusable that 40% of energy can be from fossil fuels???
Natural disasters happen all over not just in one scenario


=Introduction= 
How will city centre be like in 2025? What could change in the city centre, in a post-crisis environment. Will it stay as a meeting spot, with a business function. Will offices still be the place where people work? City centres in Huston or Detriot city has returned to markert gardering, with the houses abandoned. Or will it have a new lease of life, renewed through urban agriculture, (witness the NYC lightrail project, etc)? What will the city's relevance be when physical meetings come to an end?
Problem Owner:Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR
Problem Owner:Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR


=Scenarios=
=Scenarios=
==Scenario Stories==
[[File:4scenarios.jpg]]
 
 
[[ Business as Usual ]]     
 
[[ Spiral of Destruction ]]   


[[ Business as usual ]]
[[ Green clusters ]]  


[[ Spiral of destruction ]]
[[ Empowerment]]


[[ Green clusters ]]
==Drafts==


[[ Empowerment of city centers]]
[[Systems Map]]


==Scenario Tree==
[[Matrix]]
 
[[Scenario Axis]]


==Systems Diagram==
==Systems Diagram==
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[[Emotions Chart]]
[[Emotions Chart]]


==Timelines==
== Scenario Axis ==


[[Scenario Axis]]
[[Scenario Axis Matrix ]]


=Driving Forces=
=Driving Forces=
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[[ Government intervention ]]
[[ Government intervention ]]
[[Public participation]]
[[Future of climate change negotiation]]


====Environmental Driving Forces====
====Environmental Driving Forces====
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[[Limited Oil Reserves]]
[[Limited Oil Reserves]]


[[Deforestation]]
[[Migration of population]]
 
[[Intense Farming Practices]]


====Societal Driving Forces====
====Societal Driving Forces====
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[[Increased need for young and educated immigration ]]
[[Increased need for young and educated immigration ]]


[[Food Supply]]
[[Green lifestyle]]
 
[[Increase in Green Space within Cities]]
 
[[Increase in Climate Refugees]]


====Economic Driving Forces====
====Economic Driving Forces====
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[[Floating House]]<BR>
[[Floating House]]<BR>
[[Future of mobility (The Netherlands)]]
[[Future of innovation]]
[[Increase use of biometrics such as Iris Scans]]
[[Rise of Vertical Farms]]


=Research Questions=
=Research Questions=
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[[ How does transportation impact city centers?]]
[[ How does transportation impact city centers?]]


[[Does globalization affect city center? cole]]
[[Does globalization affect city center?]]


[[What is the current state of the world's water supply?]]
[[What is the current state of the world's water supply?]]
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[[What will the population look like in 2025?]]
[[What will the population look like in 2025?]]


[[How does the political system in Western countries influence city development?]]


What are the current environment state (pollution, exposure to natural disaster) of city centers? (Fahad)
[[How does the political system in Western countries influence city development?]]  (Louis)
What are the global environmental policies impact the city center?  (Fahad)
[[What is the inter relation between economic activity and city center? (Cole)]]
Is there any common pattern for success-story cities? (Akcan)
Is there any common pattern for unpopular cities? (Akcan, Eglantine)
How will the climate change impact the city geography? (Akcan)
What are the forecasts for climate change (sea level rise)? (Akcan)<br>
How will the technological innovations change city lifestyle and landscape (car, public transportation, mobile technologies)?<br>
- [[What kind of technologic advance can we expect in the next 15 years?]] (Louis)<br>
- How do Information and technology technologies impact city centers? (Louis)<br>
[[How many people can the world's water system support?]]
[[Will intense agricultural practices reduce crop yeilds resulting in a famine?]]
[[There is a finite supply of oil, as the reserve is depleted what energy source will move goods/people across the globe?]]
==Government and Politics==
==Economics==
==Society and Culture==
==Environment==


=References=
=References=


==Websites==
Pictures obtained from the following sources


==Videos==
Empowerment: http://3danimation.e-spaces.com/royalty-free-images.html


==News and Journal Articles==
Green Clusters: http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/04/china-plans-green-city.php


==Previous Scenarios==
Spiral of Destruction: http://www.guardian.co.uk/books/2010/jan/09/whole-earth-catalog-book-review


=Recommended Reading=
Business as Usual: http://www.hkoutdoors.com/hong-kong-news/hk-air-pollution.html

Revision as of 23:13, 5 October 2010

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