Difference between revisions of "Future of the City Centre 2025"

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=Introduction=   
=Introduction=   
How will city centre be like in 2025? What could change in the city centre, in a post-crisis environment. Will it stay as a meeting spot, with a business function. Will offices still be the place where people work? City centres in Huston or Detriot city has returned to markert gardering, with the houses abandoned. Or will it have a new lease of life, renewed through urban agriculture, (witness the NYC lightrail project, etc)? What will the city's relevance be when physical meetings come to an end?
The city center is a place of special significance to communities and nations.  Long the economic engine, the city center has change as technology has improved.  Transportation, communication, and internet technologies has destroyed some city centers while enhancing others.  Climate change, natural resources, green technology, immigration, and the financail crisis of 2008 will shape the city centers of the future.  So what will city centre be like in 2025? What will a post-crisis center look like? Will it remain a meeting spot, with a business function? Will people continue to work in offices? Will centers decay and the land return to agricultural function like in Detroit, or will centers have a new lease on life and reinvent themselves through the green movement? The Future of the City Centre 2025 explores this question and provides a peek into what the future may hold.
 
 
Problem Owner:Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR
Problem Owner:Sander de Iong, Secretary General Rotterdam IAB, EDBR


=Scenarios=
=Scenarios=
==Scenario Stories==
[[File:4scenarios.jpg]]
 
 
[[ Business as Usual ]]     


==Scenario Tree==
[[ Spiral of Destruction ]]   
 
[[ Green clusters ]] 
 
[[ Empowerment]]
 
==Drafts==
 
[[Systems Map]]
 
[[Matrix]]
 
[[Scenario Axis]]


==Systems Diagram==
==Systems Diagram==
[[File:system city.jpg]]


==Timelines==
[[System Diagram]]
 
[[Emotions Chart]]
 
== Scenario Axis ==
 
[[Scenario Axis Matrix ]]


=Driving Forces=
=Driving Forces=
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[[ Government intervention ]]
[[ Government intervention ]]
[[Public participation]]
[[Future of climate change negotiation]]


====Environmental Driving Forces====
====Environmental Driving Forces====
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[[Limited Oil Reserves]]
[[Limited Oil Reserves]]


[[Deforestation]]
[[Migration of population]]
 
[[Intense Farming Practices]]


====Societal Driving Forces====
====Societal Driving Forces====
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[[Increased need for young and educated immigration ]]
[[Increased need for young and educated immigration ]]


[[Food Supply]]
[[Green lifestyle]]
 
[[Increase in Green Space within Cities]]
 
[[Increase in Climate Refugees]]


====Economic Driving Forces====
====Economic Driving Forces====
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[[Floating House]]<BR>
[[Floating House]]<BR>
[[Future of mobility (The Netherlands)]]
[[Future of innovation]]
[[Increase use of biometrics such as Iris Scans]]
[[Rise of Vertical Farms]]


=Research Questions=
=Research Questions=
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[[ How does transportation impact city centers?]]
[[ How does transportation impact city centers?]]


[[Does globalization affect city center? cole]]
[[Does globalization affect city center?]]
 
 
 
[[How does the political system in Western countries influence city development?]]  (Louis)
 
What are the global environmental policies impact the city center?  (Fahad)
 
[[What is the inter relation between economic activity and city center? (Cole)]]
 
Is there any common pattern for success-story cities? (Akcan)
 
Is there any common pattern for unpopular cities? (Akcan, Eglantine)
 
How will the climate change impact the city geography? (Akcan)
 
- [[What kind of technologic advance can we expect in the next 15 years?]] (Louis)<br>
- How do Information and technology technologies impact city centers? (Louis)<br>
 
 
[[How many people can the world's water system support?]]
 
[[Will intense agricultural practices reduce crop yeilds resulting in a famine?]]
 
[[There is a finite supply of oil, as the reserve is depleted what energy source will move goods/people across the globe?]]
 
 
 
 
 
 
==Government and Politics==


[[What is the current state of the world's water supply?]]


==Economics==
[[What will the population look like in 2025?]]


==Society and Culture==
[[How does the political system in Western countries influence city development?]]


==Environment==


=References=
=References=


==Websites==
Pictures obtained from the following sources


==Videos==
Empowerment: http://3danimation.e-spaces.com/royalty-free-images.html


==News and Journal Articles==
Green Clusters: http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/04/china-plans-green-city.php


==Previous Scenarios==
Spiral of Destruction: http://www.guardian.co.uk/books/2010/jan/09/whole-earth-catalog-book-review


=Recommended Reading=
Business as Usual: http://www.hkoutdoors.com/hong-kong-news/hk-air-pollution.html

Revision as of 23:13, 5 October 2010