Difference between revisions of "Future of Mobility in Netherlands 2030"
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[[File:traffic.jpg|300px|right]] | |||
[[File:train.jpg|300px|right]] | |||
=Team Members= | |||
Imelia Bonahan <br> | |||
Pieter Cusell <br> | |||
Vikas Rajgarhia <br> | |||
Vishal Kapoor <br> | |||
Mert Cakar <br> | |||
=Introduction= | |||
=Scenarios= | |||
==Scenario Tree== | |||
[[File:Scenario_tree_mobility.jpg|650px|]] | |||
==Scenario Stories== | |||
*[[Business As Usual]]<br> | |||
*[[One For All]]<br> | |||
*[[Orange Revolution]]<br> | |||
==Timelines== | |||
<gallery> | |||
Image:Time_line_Business_as_usual.jpg|''Business as Usual'' | |||
Image:Time_line_One_for_All.jpg|''One for All'' | |||
Image:Time_line_Orange_Revolution.jpg|''Orange Revolution'' | |||
</gallery> | |||
==Systems Diagram== | |||
[[File:Systems_diagram_mobility_final.jpg|800px|]] | |||
http:// | =Driving Forces= | ||
1. Mert - [[Longer home to work travel distances]]<br> | |||
2. Mert - [[Increase in rate of car ownership ]]<br> | |||
3. Vishal Kapoor--[[Increase in environmental awareness]]<br> | |||
4. Vishal Kapoor--[[Better public Transport]]<br> | |||
5. Imelia - [[Increase requirement in efficiency]]<br> | |||
6. Imelia - [[Increase in quality life requirement]]<br> | |||
7. Vikas Rajgarhia--[[Reduction in travel time in cars]]<br> | |||
8. Vikas Rajgarhia--[[Utilization of unconventional powered cars]]<br> | |||
9. Pieter - [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Increase_of_societal_costs_of_mobility Increase of societal costs of mobility]<br> | |||
10. Pieter - [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Increasing_impact_of_advance_technologies_on_mobility Increasing impact of advance technologies on mobility]<br> | |||
11. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Shift_to_Alternative_Energy_Sources&oldid=32975 Shift to Alternative Energy Sources]<br> | |||
12. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Pay-as-you-drive&oldid=14244 Pay-as-you-drive] <br> | |||
13. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/The_increasing_effect_of_the_development_of_technology_on_the_global_economy The increasing effect of the development of technology on the global economy]<br> | |||
14. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Reducing_IT-infrastructure_cost&oldid=12828 Reducing IT-infrastructure cost]<br> | |||
15. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Urbanization_and_Social_Status Urbanization and Social Status]<br> | |||
16. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Increasing_Mobility&oldid=29722 Increasing Mobility]<br> | |||
17. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Dynamic_Mobile_Workspace Dynamic Mobile Workspace]<br> | |||
18. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Virtual_Integration&oldid=12801 Virtual Integration]<br> | |||
19. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Fossil_fuel_consumption&oldid=29164 fuel consumption]<br> | |||
20. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php?title=Global_Warming&oldid=29471 Global Warming]<br> | |||
21. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Increasing_Efficiency_in_Energy_Use Increasing Efficiency in Energy Use]<br> | |||
22. [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Improvement_in_transportation_through_inventions Improvement in transportation through inventions]<br> | |||
=Research Questions= | |||
1. [[Is public transport in NL private?]]<br> | |||
2. [[What is the rate of immigration?]]<br> | |||
3. [[What is the influence of EU on policies of Dutch government?]]<br> | |||
4. [[Is office space in Netherlands saturated?]]<br> | |||
5. [[Are offices moving out of cities?]]<br> | |||
6. [[Which cities Dutch people prefer for living and working?]]<br> | |||
7. [[What are the new developments on mobility?]]<br> | |||
8. [[What are the plans of Dutch government for mobility?]]<br> | |||
9. [[What is the effect of economic growth on mobility?]]<br> | |||
10. [[What is good life for Dutch people?]]<br> | |||
11. [[What are travel habits of Dutch people?]]<br> | |||
12. [[What are new plans for public transport?]]<br> | |||
13. [[What is brick wall for Dutch mobility?]]<br> | |||
14. [[How many years do we have before hitting the brick wall?]]<br> | |||
15. [[What causes traffic congestion?]]<br> | |||
16. [[How are business interaction going to change in the future?]]<br> | |||
17. [[How are the other EU states dealing with mobility problem?]]<br> | |||
18. [[What kind of an economy does NL have?]]<br> | |||
19. [[How do Dutch people feel about this?]]<br> | |||
20. [[How will life style and value evolve in the future?]]<br> | |||
http://www.cooperativemobilityshowcase.eu/nl/en/2010/Pages/Presentations.aspx | =Useful Links= | ||
*http://www.cbs.nl/en-GB/menu/themas/verkeer-vervoer/nieuws/default.htm<br> | |||
*http://www.bovagrai.info/auto/2009/8.7.html<br> | |||
*http://www.nrc.nl/binnenland/article1919356.ece/Het_aantal_files_groeit_sneller_dan_het_aantal_auto_s<br> | |||
*http://www.ed.nl/economie/4606170/Autos-rijden-als-treintje-van-Helmond-naar-Eindhoven.ece<br> | |||
*http://www.cijfers.net/gassuh.html<br> | |||
*http://www.ruimtemonitor.nl/kennisportaal/default.aspx?menucomid=26&pid=34&id=4436&themeId=-1<br> | |||
*http://www.rijksoverheid.nl/documenten-en-publicaties/rapporten/2009/07/03/mobiliteitsbalans-2009%5B3%5D.html<br> | |||
*http://www.rijksoverheid.nl/documenten-en-publicaties/rapporten/2010/03/29/verklaring-mobiliteit-en-bereikbaarheid-1985-2008-ontwikkeling-en-verklaring-van-de-mobiliteit-en-bereikbaarheid.html<br> | |||
*http://www.wcit2010.org/tracks/Mobility<br> | |||
*http://www.cooperativemobilityshowcase.eu/nl/en/2010/Pages/Presentations.aspx<br> | |||
*http://www.swov.nl/rapport/Factsheets/UK/FS_Mobility.pdf<br> | |||
http://www. | =Useful videos= | ||
*http://vimeo.com/12054501<br> | |||
*http://www.slideshare.net/f2c/citynet-herman-wagter<br> | |||
=Interview Questions= | |||
Vishal<br> | |||
1) With regards to mobility what is the key question for NL?<br> | |||
2) Does government have any plans to increase use of public transport and are there any long term projects currently underway or being considered that will affect the mobility?<br> | |||
3) Apart from the public transport is there any new technology for the roads such as sensors to control traffic on highways and has it been tried out ? <br> | |||
4) In the past have climate change regulations affected the government decisions and resulted in regulations specifically for NL, and are there any new regulations being considered?<br> | |||
Pieter<br> | |||
1.What is the problem you want to solve/ where are you dreaming of?<br> | |||
2.What is the current impact of the glass fiber network in Amsterdam?<br> | |||
3.How can ICT solutions like glass fiber network influence the mobility in the Netherlands?<br> | |||
5.What are your solutions for the future of mobility in the Netherlands 2030?<br> | |||
6.What are your solutions for solving the traffic jams in the Netherlands?<br> | |||
7.What do you think is the impact of the aging populations on the mobility in the Netherlands?<br> | |||
Mert<br> | |||
1. What are the current problems with mobility in Netherlands?<br> | |||
2. What is the government's plan to tackle these problems?<br> | |||
3. What are the trends among Dutch people in terms of traveling across the country?<br> | |||
4. What are the trends among businesses in Netherlands in terms of moving the goods across the country?<br> | |||
5. What are the uncertainties in mobility in Netherlands?<br> | |||
Vikas<br> | |||
1. Even though road use for business is increasing, why is there no corresponding increase in productivity?<br> | |||
2. What are your views on the concept of Superbus?<br> | |||
3. Are there any identified areas where public money can be spent instead of road development to increase productivity?<br> | |||
4. In your opinion, how can road use for business work can be reduced? What are the major components of road use for business (meetings, travelling to / from office, etc.)?<br> | |||
Imelia<br> | |||
1. How is the proportion on the focus between ICT solution vs infrastructure and other technology solution on mobility issue?<br> | |||
2. How is the plan and trend on the public transportation utilization in Netherland? Looking at its position compare to other country<br> | |||
3. How fast would the mobility trend change both from the user interest and technology development readiness?<br> | |||
4. How is the user awareness and concern so far (public and bussiness community)?<br> | |||
=Key Learning points= | |||
1.Interrelations play a very important part and are sometimes not evident, it is through constant exploring that the group can understand the driving forces | |||
2.Although divergent thinking during a scenario buildup may be incoherent, while converging on a scenario it is important to have coherence. | |||
2 | |||