Difference between revisions of "Economic Growth in China"

From ScenarioThinking
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Line 62: Line 62:
[[China Unicom to open 3,000 Internet cafes- World IT Report 2004]]
[[China Unicom to open 3,000 Internet cafes- World IT Report 2004]]


[http://www.xinhau.com]
[http://www.xinhau.com China Economic Growth]

Revision as of 15:53, 24 November 2004

Driving Forces Template From OpenScenarios Here is a template to upload driving forces.

Table of contents:

1 Description:

2 Enablers:

3 Inhibitors:

4 Paradigms:

5 Experts:

6 Timing:

7 Web Resources:

Description:

Since China's open-door policy was initiated in late 1978, there has been rapid increase in the numbers of foreign investors and foreign capital flows to China. The growing trend of foreign investment has been magnified by the improvement of economic circumstances and market-oriented economic development. The economic growth has continuously spurred the demand for information and data. The strong development of telecommunications and IT industries have also created dramatic growth of Internet use in China.

Enablers:

China's Internet community has multiplied 128 times in a little more than six years, new statistics show.

There are now about 80 million netizens in the country, a drastic jump from the 620,000 users recorded in 1997, the China Internet Network Information Centre (CNNIC)'s latest report shows. The number grew to 79.5 million by the end of December 2003.

About 11.5 million new users were recorded in the second half of last year, a growth higher than the 8.9 million recorded in the first six months of 2003. Although large in size, the current number is only 6.2 percent of the country's total population.

Inhibitors:

The Internet in China is filtered. Chinese citizens know about filtering only through gossip, or when they discover that certain sensitive Web sites are consistently reported to be unavailable on the otherwise-functioning network. Related research done by Harvard Business School found a range of sites covering dozens of topical categories to be filtered, including dissident and democracy sites, sites covering public health and HIV, sites about religion, Tibet, Taiwan and the home pages of many institutions of higher learning around the world. Within this broad range, apart from pornography, are sites involving news. China regularly blocks the online sites of BBC, CNN, Times, PBS, The Miami Herald, and The Philadelphia Inquirer. However this restrictive attitude does not seem as a big threat over the growth of internet in China. A number of hackers had already entered the cat-and-mouse game of helping users bypass government Internet filters through proxy services.

Paradigms:

This driving force creates new governmental, technological, societal and global paradigms that will affect the future of internet.

-Political: Chinese Government decided to develop a control structure and improve its long-term mechanism to combat Internet pornography by creating the role of the China Internet Association.

-Technological: Telephone and communication services in China will be expanded using internet.

-Societal: Internet has an influential role in China's public life. As per research results, about one-fifth of Chinese citizens regularly make use of bulletin board systems (BBS), the most politically active place in Chinese cyberspace. The BBS provides unprecedented opportunities for Chinese people to engage in public affairs. In 2003, there were more than half a dozen of those online uprising events. This online communication has had a significant impact on Chinese society because there is still no systematic way for the public to participate in and express opinion about policy and social issues.

-Global: China is expected to become the world's largest Internet and information economy, surpassing the United States

Experts:

Edward Tian- China Netcom Corp.'s chief executive

Timing: Dates for key milestones in the development of the driving force.

Web Resources:

China Unicom to open 3,000 Internet cafes- World IT Report 2004

China Economic Growth