Difference between revisions of "Decline in Ethnic Integration in The Netherlands"

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==Description:==
==Description:==
Now that Microsoft even distributes his software in an open source form, is seems that open source has become a serious competitor of the traditional dominating closed source. In the past couple of years the usage of open source software increased especially regarding web servers. Websites like hotscripts.com provide several of applications for business as well as for personal usage.
 
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1.1 The % of non-Western allochtones as part of the Dutch population is forecast to increase from 10.4% (2004) to 16.6% in 2050
The cost of closed source software plays a very important role in the usage of open source software in stead of closed source software. Now that the world is getting smaller and smaller each day through the internet, mobile phones and other communication devices, the supply and popularity of web logs, mail clients and fora is increasing. People wants to stay in touch and know what is happening 24/7 if possible. The owners of these web logs, mail clients and for a mostly are not financial capable to run expensive web servers at their homes. So the alternative is quite obvious; using open source software. With the improvement that are made regarding variety and stability, open source has become a serious competitor of the traditional dominating closed source software.  
1.2    This allochtone growth has historically been concentrated in Big4 cities: the % of allochtones in these cities increased from 36% (1995) to 43% (2004)
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1.3 Within Big4 cities, concentration and segregation of non-Western allochtone neighbourhoods has increased
PHP, Apache, Linux are just a few of the most popular usage of open source nowadays. While the supply of not-so-alternative-anymore-software is growing and improving compared with the traditional software, so is the demand.
1.4    Consequently and if this pattern continues, the anticipated growth in % of non-Western allochtones can be expected to result in growing concentration and segregation in the Big4 cities. We conclude that this will thus result in a decline in ethnic integration.
 
Asylum and economic migration are expected to decline over time and emigration (autochtones and allochtones alike) is expected to grow as a result of economic stagnation. However, owing to family reunions and higher birth rates of allochtones mainly, the % of non-western allochtones is expected to increase from 10.4% (2005) to 16.6% in 2050, while the % of autochtones is expected to decrease from 80.9% to 70.3% during this period {CPB}.
 
 
The majority of non-Western allochtones is living in the Randstad, i.e. mainly in Big4 cities. The overall percentage of allochtones in Big 4 cities has grown from 36% (1995) to 43%, of which 31 percentage-points are non-Western allochtones (2003) {Forum.nl}. Furthermore, the ethnic concentration of non-Western allochtones within these cities has increased: in 2004, c. 10% of neighbourhoods in Big 4 cities comprises > 50% non-Western allochtones {CPB}.


==Enablers:==
==Enablers:==

Revision as of 21:26, 13 October 2005

Description:

1.1 The % of non-Western allochtones as part of the Dutch population is forecast to increase from 10.4% (2004) to 16.6% in 2050 1.2 This allochtone growth has historically been concentrated in Big4 cities: the % of allochtones in these cities increased from 36% (1995) to 43% (2004) 1.3 Within Big4 cities, concentration and segregation of non-Western allochtone neighbourhoods has increased 1.4 Consequently and if this pattern continues, the anticipated growth in % of non-Western allochtones can be expected to result in growing concentration and segregation in the Big4 cities. We conclude that this will thus result in a decline in ethnic integration.

Asylum and economic migration are expected to decline over time and emigration (autochtones and allochtones alike) is expected to grow as a result of economic stagnation. However, owing to family reunions and higher birth rates of allochtones mainly, the % of non-western allochtones is expected to increase from 10.4% (2005) to 16.6% in 2050, while the % of autochtones is expected to decrease from 80.9% to 70.3% during this period {CPB}.


The majority of non-Western allochtones is living in the Randstad, i.e. mainly in Big4 cities. The overall percentage of allochtones in Big 4 cities has grown from 36% (1995) to 43%, of which 31 percentage-points are non-Western allochtones (2003) {Forum.nl}. Furthermore, the ethnic concentration of non-Western allochtones within these cities has increased: in 2004, c. 10% of neighbourhoods in Big 4 cities comprises > 50% non-Western allochtones {CPB}.

Enablers:

  • Cost of software development
  • Contracts with companies like Microsoft

Inhibitors:

  • Open source developments
  • Anti-trust lawsuits against standard software suppliers.
  • Quite high prices for standard software

Paradigms:

Developments like these will decrease the domination of companies like Microsoft

Experts:

  • Software developers
  • Business ICT managers

Timing:

No information is needed to understand this driving force.

Web Resources: