Scenario Planning Process
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Typicall, the scenario planning process is as follows:
- Identify people who will contribute a wide range of perspctives
- Comprehensive interviews/workshop about how participants see big shifts coming in society, economics, politics,technology,etc
- Duster or group these views into connected patterns
- Group draws a list of priorities(the best ideas)
- Sketch out rough pictures of the future based on these priorities (stories, rough scenarios)
- Further work out to detailed impact scenarios (determine in what way each scenario will affect the corporation)
- Identify early warning signals (thins that are indicative for a particular scenario to unfold)
- Monitor, evaluate, and review scenarios
From http://www.valuebasedmanagement.net/methods_scenario_planning.html